Bushman's Typhoon Blog: November 2008

Monday, November 17, 2008

TS NOUL (TONYO) to hit SE Vietnam after lunch...[Update #004]

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #004

Name: TROPICAL STORM NOUL [TONYO/26W/0820]

Issued: 1:00 PM MANILA TIME (05:00 GMT) MON 17 NOVEMBER 2008
Source: JTWC WARNING #005 / T2K EXTRAPOLATION ANALYSIS
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

_____________________________________________________________________________

NOUL (TONYO) BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM...RAPIDLY ACCELERATINGD WESTWARD...

NOW VERY NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN VIETNAM, JUST SOUTH-SOUTHEAST

OF NHA TRANG CITY...LANDFALL EXPECTED IN THE NEXT HOUR...STRONG WINDS

AND HEAVY RAINS SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA.

*Interests in Cambodia, SE & Southern Vietnam should closely monitor the progress of NOUL.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: TS NOUL may briefly reach 85 or 100 kph just prior

to hitting land. It will make landfall over Southeastern Vietnam after

noontime today...and cross SE and Southern Vietnam throughout this

afternoon until early evening, passing more or less 50 km North of Ho

Chi Minh City. The core is expected to weaken rapidly as land interaction

begins and shall be off Cambodia late this evening until tomorrow morning.

It shall exit over the Gulf of Thailand tomorrow afternoon and cross the

Isthmus of Kra tomorrow evening. The 3 to 5-day long range forecast shows

NOUL traversing the North Indian Ocean thru Andaman Sea and regaining

Tropical Storm status on Thursday Nov 20...and approaching the East Coast

of India on Saturday Nov 22. NOUL is likely to changed its identity from

a Tropical Storm to a CYCLONE (term usually used for tropical cyclones

off Indian Ocean and the Bay of Bengal).

+ EFFECTS: NOUL's main circulation has began to enter Southeastern Viet-

nam...its rainbands now affecting most of Southeastern Vietnam...the whole

of Southern Vietnam will be under its circulation later this afternoon til

tonight. These bands is expected to moderate to heavy rains with passing

strong squalls...and wind gusts not in excess of 100 kph. 1-day rainfall

accumulations of 100 up to 200 mm is possible along its rain bands...with

isolated accumulations of up to 300 mm near the center of NOUL. Residents

in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for

possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the

anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary

measures must be initiated if necessary.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
_____________________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 12:00 PM MANILA TIME (04:00 GMT) MON 17 NOV 2008
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 11.6º N...LONGITUDE 109.8º E
DISTANCE 1: 95 KM (50 NM) SE OF NHA TRANG CITY, VIETNAM
DISTANCE 2: 350 KM (190 NM) ENE OF HO CHI MINH CITY, VIETNAM
DISTANCE 3: 535 KM (290 NM) EAST OF PHNOM PENH, CAMBODIA

MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 75 KM/HR (40 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 95 KM/HR (50 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: TROPICAL STORM
COASTAL STORM SURGE HEIGHT: 0-3 FEET (0-0.9 METERS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 993 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WEST @ 24 KM/HR (13 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTHEASTERN VIETNAM
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 295 KM (160 NM)/SMALL
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 11 FEET (3.3 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 8 AM MANILA TIME MON NOV 17
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: NONE

08, 20, 44 & 68 HR. FORECAST:

8 PM (12 GMT) 17 NOVEMBER: 11.4N 108.7E / 65-85 KPH / W @ 26 KPH

8 AM (00 GMT) 18 NOVEMBER: 11.0N 105.9E / 45-65 KPH / W @ 28 KPH

8 AM (00 GMT) 19 NOVEMBER: 10.4N 99.5E / 55-75 KPH / W @ 30 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 20 NOVEMBER: 11.2N 92.9E / 65-85 KPH / WNW @ 28 KPH

REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 17 NOVEMBER POSITION: 11.4N 111.4E.
^TS 26W (NOUL) HAS SLOWLY INTENSIFIED WHILE CONTINUING GENER-
ALLY WESTWARD OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED
OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE CIRCULATION IN RESPONSE TO STRONG
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE AND PASSAGE ACROSS A HIGH HEAT CONTENT SEA
SURFACE...(more)

>> NOUL, meaning: Glows, red sky. Name contributed by: DPR Korea.
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________

RECENT WUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:

_______________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: NOAA Satellite Service (http://www.noaa.gov/)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
      signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

:: Typhoon2000.com (T2K) Mobile >> Powered by: Synermaxx
Receive the latest 6-hrly storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To get:
Send T2K TYPHOON to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TS NOUL (TONYO/26W)...go visit
our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

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Sunday, November 16, 2008

TD TONYO (26W) - Update #003

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #003

Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONYO [26W]

Issued: 1:00 PM MANILA TIME (05:00 GMT) SUN 16 NOVEMBER 2008
Source: JTWC WARNING #001 / T2K EXTRAPOLATE ANALYSIS
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

_____________________________________________________________________________

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONYO (26W) HAS MOVED OUT OF THE PHILIPPINE AREA

OF RESPONSIBILITY (PAR) AFTER CROSSING SOUTHERN PALAWAN EARLY LAST

NIGHT...NOW ACCELERATING WESTWARD PASSING ACROSS THE SPRATLY ISLANDS

...AIMING FOR SOUTHERN VIETNAM.

*Interests in Southern Vietnam should closely monitor the progress of TONYO.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: TONYO is expected to maintain its Westward track

for the next 5 days...may reach tropical storm status later today and

make landfall over Southern Vietnam tomorrow evening, Nov 17 - just east

of Ho Chi Minh City (formerly Saigon). The core is expected to pass very

near to the south of Ho Chi Minh around 3 to 4 AM on Tuesday, Nov 18.

The 3 to 5-day long range forecast shows TONYO traversing the Gulf of

Thailand as a minimal tropical storm on Wednesday morning, Nov 19...and

shall cut across Isthmus of Kra Wednesday afternoon...moving into

Andaman Sea off Indian Ocean on Thursday Nov 20, changing its identity

from a Tropical Storm to a CYCLONE (term usually used for tropical

cyclones off Indian Ocean and the Bay of Bengal).

+ EFFECTS: TONYO's circulation remains over the South China Sea, along

the Spratlys...its eastern rainbands no longer affecting Southern Pala-

wan...western rainbands shall reach Southern Vietnam later tonight or

tomorrow morning. These bands is expected to bring scattered, widespread

rains with passing moderate to strong squalls...with wind gusts not in

excess of 75 kph. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 50 up to 150 mm is

possible along its rain bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 250

mm near the center of TONYO. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes

must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash

floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought

about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if

necessary.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
_____________________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 12:00 PM MANILA TIME (04:00 GMT) SUN 16 NOV 2008
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 10.4º N...LONGITUDE 114.6º E
DISTANCE 1: 85 KM (45 NM) SSE OF PAGASA ISLAND, SPRATLYS
DISTANCE 2: 455 KM (245 NM) WNW OF PUERTO PRINCESA CITY, PALAWAN, PH
DISTANCE 3: 625 KM (338 NM) ESE OF NHA TRANG CITY, VIETNAM

DISTANCE 4: 865 KM (468 NM) ESE OF HO CHI MINH CITY, VIETNAM
MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 55 KM/HR (30 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 75 KM/HR (40 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COASTAL STORM SURGE HEIGHT: 0 FEET (0 METERS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1000 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WEST @ 30 KM/HR (16 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTHERN VIETNAM
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 400 KM (215 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 10 FEET (3.0 METERS)
VIEW FINAL T2K TRACKING MAP: 12 PM MANILA TIME SUN NOV 16
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: NONE

12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
8 PM (12 GMT) 16 NOVEMBER: 10.4N 113.4E / 65-85 KPH / W @ 22 KPH

8 AM (00 GMT) 17 NOVEMBER: 10.6N 111.0E / 75-95 KPH / W @ 22 KPH

8 AM (00 GMT) 18 NOVEMBER: 10.5N 105.9E / 55-75 KPH / W @ 24 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 19 NOVEMBER: 10.0N 100.6E / 65-85 KPH / W @ 26 KPH

REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 16 NOVEMBER POSITION: 10.1N 115.6E.
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________

RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:

_______________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: NOAA Satellite Service (http://www.noaa.gov/)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
      signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

:: Typhoon2000.com (T2K) Mobile >> Powered by: Synermaxx
Receive the latest 6-hrly storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To get:
Send T2K TYPHOON to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TD TONYO (26W)...go visit
our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

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Saturday, November 15, 2008

TD TONYO (96W) - Update #002

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #002

Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONYO [96W]

Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) SAT 15 NOVEMBER 2008
Source: PAGASA SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #006 / T2K SAT DATA ANALYSIS
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

_____________________________________________________________________________

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONYO (96W) HAS CROSSED NORTHERN MINDANAO AND

SOUTHERN VISAYAS YESTERDAY...NOW OFF THE SEA OF SULU...A MUCH

STRONGER SECONDARY CIRCULATION WEST OF ZAMBOANGA CITY (6.6N 120.8E)

MAY LIKELY BE THE NEW NEAR-SURFACE CENTER IF CONTINUED CONSOLIDATION

OCCURS.

*Interests in Palawan should closely monitor the progress of TONYO.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: TONYO is expected to maintain its WNW track for the

next 2 to 3 days...it shall cross Central Palawan later tonight, passing

just north of Puerto Princesa City. The 48-hour forecast shows TONYO

moving out into the South China Sea.

+ EFFECTS: After interacting with the terrain of Northern Mindanao,

TONYO's circulation has shrunked dramatically, but a new and much

stronger circulation has been expanding west of Zamboanga City...now

spreading across much of Sulu Sea, Borneo and Western Mindanao. These

bands is expected to bring scattered, widespread rains with passing

moderate to strong squalls...with wind gusts not in excess of 50 kph.

1-day rainfall accumulations of 50 up to 150 mm is possible along its

rain bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 250 mm near the

center of TONYO. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must

remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash

floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains

brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be

initiated if necessary.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Moderate to strong Northeast (NE) Monsoon

enhanced by TD TONYO and a Monsoon Trough (ITCZ) is currently affecting

Eastern Luzon, Bicol Region and Eastern Visayas. Partly cloudy to cloudy

skies with light to moderate passing rains w/ at times heavy downpour &

NE'ly winds not exceeding 40 km/hr can be expected along the affected

areas. Landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening

flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes,

river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
_____________________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) SAT 15 NOV 2008
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 9.4º N...LONGITUDE 122.2º E
DISTANCE 1: 120 KM (65 NM) WEST OF DUMAGUETE CITY, PH
DISTANCE 2: 150 KM (80 NM) NW OF DIPOLOG CITY, PH
DISTANCE 3: 150 KM (80 NM) SSW OF ILOILO CITY, PH

DISTANCE 4: 210 KM (113 NM) SSE OF CUYO ISLAND, PH
DISTANCE 5: 385 KM (208 NM) EAST OF PUERTO PRINCESA CITY, PALAWAN, PH

MAX WINDS [10-MIN AVG]: 45 KM/HR (25 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 60 KM/HR (33 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COASTAL STORM SURGE HEIGHT: 0 FEET (0 METERS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1002 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 22 KM/HR (12 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SULU SEA-PALAWAN AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 400 KM (215 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 8 FEET (2.4 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 5 AM MANILA TIME SAT NOV 15

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#01 - PALAWAN, ZAMBOANGA DEL NORTE & SOUTHERN NEGROS.

24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 16 NOVEMBER: 10.2N 118.0E

2 AM (18 GMT) 17 NOVEMBER: 11.0N 113.2E

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 15 NOVEMBER POSITION: 9.4N 122.8E.
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________

RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:

_______________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: NOAA Satellite Service (http://www.noaa.gov/)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
      signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

:: Typhoon2000.com (T2K) Mobile >> Powered by: Synermaxx
Receive the latest 6-hrly storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To get:
Send T2K TYPHOON to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TD TONYO (96W)...go visit
our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

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Messages in this topic (1) Reply (via web post) | Start a new topic

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Friday, November 14, 2008

TD TONYO (96W) - Update #001

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #001

Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONYO [96W]

Issued: 1:00 PM MANILA TIME (05:00 GMT) FRI 14 NOVEMBER 2008
Source: PAGASA SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #003
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

_____________________________________________________________________________

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONYO (96W), A NEWLY-F0RMED SYSTEM WHICH DEVELOPED

OFF THE PHILIPPINE SEA LAST NIGHT...NOW APPROACHING THE COAST OF

SURIGAO DEL SUR...CIRCULATION BECOMING DISORGANIZED. SCATTERED WIDESPREAD
RAINS WITH ACCOMPANYING SQUALLS (AKA. "SUBASKO") WITHIN ITS RAINBANDS
ARE CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF MINDANAO AND

SOUTHERN VISAYAS.

*Interests along the Northern Mindanao and Visayas should closely monitor the progress of TONYO.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: TONYO is expected to continue tracking West to WNW

within the next 12 to 24 hours...shall start crossing Surigao Del Sur

and Agusan Provinces this afternoon...and pass between Bukidnon-Misamis

Oriental tonight. TONYO shall be off Bohol Sea tomorrow morning and shall

pass to the southern coast of Negros Island before noon tomorrow...near

Puerto Princesa City or over Central Palawan before noon on Sunday Nov

16 and over the South China Sea on Monday morning Nov 17.

+ EFFECTS: TONYO's circulation has remained a little disorganized due to

its interaction with Mindanao's land mass...its scattered western rainbands

continues to spread across Eastern, Northern and Central Mindanao and por-

tions of Southern Visayas. These bands is expected to bring widespread

rains with passing moderate to strong squalls...with wind gusts not in

excess of 60 kph. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 50 up to 150 mm is possi-

ble along its rain bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 250 mm near

the center of TONYO. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain

alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods,

mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by

this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Moderate to strong Northeast (NE) Monsoon

enhanced by TD TONYO is currently affecting Eastern Luzon, Bicol Region

& Visayas. Partly cloudy to cloudy skies with light to moderate passing

rains w/ at times heavy downpour & NE'ly winds not exceeding 45 km/hr

can be expected along the affected areas. Landslides, mudslides, mudflows

(lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep

mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of

the affected areas.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
_____________________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 11:00 AM MANILA TIME (03:00 GMT) FRI 14 NOV 2008
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 8.3º N...LONGITUDE 126.8º E
DISTANCE 1: 55 KM (30 NM) EAST OF BISLIG CITY, PH
DISTANCE 2: 160 KM (85 NM) SE OF BUTUAN CITY, PH
DISTANCE 3: 200 KM (108 NM) EAST OF MALAYBALAY CITY, PH

DISTANCE 4: 220 KM (120 NM) SSE OF SURIGAO CITY, PH
DISTANCE 5: 245 KM (132 NM) ESE OF CAGAYAN DE ORO CITY, PH
DISTANCE 6: 360 KM (195 NM) SE OF TAGBILARAN CITY, PH

DISTANCE 7: 385 KM (208 NM) ESE OF DIPOLOG CITY, PH

DISTANCE 8: 390 KM (210 NM) SE OF CEBU CITY, PH

DISTANCE 9: 400 KM (215 NM) ESE OF DUMAGUETE CITY, PH

MAX WINDS [10-MIN AVG]: 45 KM/HR (25 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 60 KM/HR (33 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COASTAL STORM SURGE HEIGHT: 0 FEET (0 METERS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1002 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 19 KM/HR (10 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SURIGAO DEL SUR-AGUSAN PROVINCES AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 400 KM (215 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 8 FEET (2.4 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 11 AM MANILA TIME FRI NOV 14

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#01 - SURIGAO DEL NORTE, DINAGAT ISLAND, SURIGAO DEL SUR, SIARGAO

ISLANDS, AGUSAN DEL NORTE, AGUSAN DEL SUR, DAVAO DEL NORTE,

DAVAO ORIENTAL, DAVAO DEL SUR, MISAMIS ORIENTAL, CAMIGUIN,

LANAO DEL NORTE, LANAO DEL SUR, BUKIDNON, NORTH COTABATO,

MAGUINDANAO, SULTAN KUDARAT, & SOUTH COTABATO.

24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
8 AM (00 GMT) 15 NOVEMBER: 9.0N 123.4E

8 AM (00 GMT) 16 NOVEMBER: 9.7N 119.4E

8 AM (00 GMT) 17 NOVEMBER: 10.1N 115.3E

REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 14 NOVEMBER POSITION: 8.2N 127.4E.
_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________

RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:

_______________________________________________________________________________________

RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: NOAA Satellite Service (http://www.noaa.gov/)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
      signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

:: Typhoon2000.com (T2K) Mobile >> Powered by: Synermaxx
Receive the latest 6-hrly storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To get:
Send T2K TYPHOON to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TD TONYO (96W)...go visit
our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm