for Wednesday, 21 August 2013 [8:34 AM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TYPHOON TRAMI (MARING) UPDATE NUMBER 011
Issued: 6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Wednesday 21 August 2013
Next Update: 6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Wednesday 21 August 2013
TRAMI (MARING) has intensified into a Typhoon as it quickly moved out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) after passing Miyako Islands early this morning.
This typhoon will continue to induce the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) - bringing cloudy and windy conditions with "on-and-off" slight to moderate to sometimes heavy rains across the western sections of Luzon and Visayas...becoming more frequent along Occidental Mindoro, the National Capital Region (Metro Manila), Bataan, Zambales, Cordillera Administrative Region, Central Luzon and Ilocos Region today. Flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially along river banks and mountain slopes.
Meanwhile, Tropical Storm (TS) PEWA (01C) has maintained its strength while moving rapidly across the open seas of the Western Pacific Ocean. Latest dynamic forecast models continues to show the system moving generally northwestward for the next 2 days. Its center was located about 605 km east-southeast of Wake Island or 5,125 km east-northeast of the Philippines (18.5N Lat 172.3E Lon)...with maximum winds of 85 km/hr near the center...moving NW @ 28 kph. This storm is too far away to affect any part of the Philippines.
Residents and visitors along Taiwan and Southeastern China should closely monitor the development of Trami (Maring).
Do not use this for life or death decisions. This update is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your national weather agency for official warnings, advisories or bulletins.
CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS
As of 5:00 am today, the eye of Typhoon Trami (Maring) was located over the East China Sea...about 355 km east of Taipei, Taiwan or 620 km north-northeast of Basco, Batanes...currently moving northwest with an increased forward speed of 30 km/hr towards Southeastern China.
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have increased to 120 km/hr near the center with higher gusts. Tropical Storm Force Winds (63-100 km/hr) extend outward up to 185 kilometers from the center. Trami (Maring) remains a large-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 720 kilometers across. The 24-hour rainfall accumulation near the center of Trami (Maring) is estimated to be heavy (300 mm).
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
Typhoon Trami (Maring) is expected to move west-northwestward during the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the core of Trami (Maring) will be passing just to the north of Taiwan later this afternoon...and will make landfall over Fujian Province, just north of Fuzhou City on Thursday morning. By Friday morning, Trami (Maring) will be over the eastern part of Hunan Province as it continues moving over land.
Trami (Maring) is still expected to slightly intensify during the next 12 hours...just before it makes landfall...and will start to weaken rapidly as the system moves over land, across Southeastern China. It will just be a remnant low pressure by Friday morning. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows that Trami (Maring) could reach its highest sustained winds of 130 km/hr later today.
The following is the summary of the 2-day forecast outlook on this system:
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Tracks have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY
Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas. You can also view this image link for you to understand the parts.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION
Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Wed Aug 21, 2013
Class/Name: TY Trami (Maring)
Location of Eye: 25.3º N Lat 125.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 120 km NE of Ishigakijima
Distance 2: 300 km WSW of Okinawa, Japan
Distance 3: 355 km E of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 4: 530 km SE of Wenzhou, China
Distance 5: 590 km ESE of Fuzhou, China
Distance 6: 620 km NNE of Basco, Batanes
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 120 kph near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 150 kph
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale: Category 1
Present Movement: NW @ 30 kph
Towards: Yaeyama and Miyako Islands
CPA [ETA] to Fujian Province: Early Monday [3-5AM PhT]
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): Heavy [300 mm]
Minimum Central Pressure: 974 millibars (hPa)
Size (in Diameter): 720 km [Large]
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 22 ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 4-5 ft (1.2-1.7 m)
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF | Google Map (Flash)
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
_____________________________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________________________________________________
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
__________________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TY TRAMI (MARING)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
<<<Typhoon2000.com Mobile >>>
Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts!
For more details: Text T2K TYPHOON to
2800 (Globe/TM) | Offline (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*Only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
Click here on how to use this service (in PDF file)
Powered by: Synermaxx Corporation
Copyright © 2013 Typhoon2000.com All Rights Reserved
| Reply via web post | Reply to sender | Reply to group | Start a New Topic | Messages in this topic (1) |
No comments:
Post a Comment