Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TS KONG-REY (NANDO) Update #011

for Friday, 30 August 2013 [7:49 AM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY (NANDO) UPDATE NUMBER 011
Issued: 7:30 AM PhT (23:30 GMT) Friday 30 August 2013

Tropical Storm KONG-REY (NANDO) now starting to move towards Western Japan...its rain circulation remains over Northern Taiwan.

This storm will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) - bringing mostly cloudy and breezy conditions with occasional slight to moderate to sometimes heavy rains or thunderstorms across the northern part of the South China Sea, Taiwan Strait and Southern Taiwan. The threat of flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially along river banks and mountain slopes of the affected areas. Residents are advised to take necessary precautions.

Residents and visitors along Western and Southern Japan should closely monitor the development of Kong-Rey (Nando).

Do not use this for life or death decisions. This update is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your national weather agency for official warnings, advisories or bulletins.

CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS

As of 5:00 am today, the center of TS Kong-Rey (Nando) was located over the East China Sea...about 365 km north-northeast of Taipei, Taiwan or 235 km east of Wenzhou, China...currently moving north-northeast with an increased forward speed of 22 km/hr towards Western Japan.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are at 75 km/hr near the center with higher gusts. Tropical Storm Force Winds (63-117 km/hr) extend outward up to 65 kilometers from the center. Kong-Rey (Nando) remains an average-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 500 kilometers across. The 24-hour rainfall accumulation to the southwest of the center of Kong-Rey (Nando) is estimated to be heavy (300 mm).

2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

TS Kong-Rey (Nando) is expected to move northeast to east-northeast with a rapid increase in forward speed throughout the forecast period. On the forecast track, the core of Kong-Rey (Nando) will remain over the East China Sea through the next 24 hours...and will make landfall over Western Kyushu (Japan) on Saturday afternoon. By Sunday morning, the storm will be over the northern coast of Honshu (Japan) after traversing Kyushu and Western Honshu.

TS Kong-Rey (Nando) could still re-intensify within the next 12 to 24 hours before losing strength through 48 hours...and will become an Extratropical (Mid-latitude) Cyclone on Saturday afternoon. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows Kong-Rey (Nando) reaching a 1-minute sustained winds of 85 km/hr on Saturday morning.

The following is the summary of the 2-day forecast outlook on this system:

SATURDAY MORNING: Re-intensifies slightly while over the East China Sea, as it accelerates toward Western Japan...about 390 km southwest of Nagasaki, Japan [5AM AUG 31: 30.8N 126.5E @ 85kph].
SUNDAY MORNING: Over the northern coast of Honshu (Japan)...becomes Extratropical...about 70 km northwest of Kyoto, Japan [5AM SEP 01: 35.6N 135.2E @ 75kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Tracks have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas. You can also view this image link for you to understand the parts.

INNER RAINBANDS - where Tropical Storm Conditions with Tropical Storm Force Winds (63-95 kph) will be expected. Affected Areas: Southern part of the East China Sea.
OUTER RAINBANDS - where Tropical Depression Conditions with light, moderate to strong winds (30-62 kph) will be expected. Affected Areas: Coastal areas of Fujian and Eastern Guangdong (China), Northern Taiwan and Taiwan Strait (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 200 mm (slight to heavy rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 201 to 300 mm (heavy) along areas to the southwest of the center of Kong-Rey (Nando).

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Fri Aug 30, 2013
Class/Name: TS Kong-Rey (Nando)
Location of Center: Near 28.0º N Lat 123.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 235 km E of Wenzhou, China
Distance 2: 260 km SE of Ningbo, China
Distance 3: 365 km NNE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 4: 495 km WNW of Okinawa, Japan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 75 kph near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 95 kph
Present Movement: NNE @ 22 kph
Towards: Western Japan
24hr Rainfall Accum (SW of Center): Heavy [300 mm]
Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
Size (in Diameter): 500 km [Average]
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 16 feet
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF | Google Map (Flash)

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CURRENT TRACKING MAP:

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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:

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NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS KONG-REY (NANDO)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

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