Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TD KONG-REY (NANDO) Update #012

for Friday, 30 August 2013 [7:51 PM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL DEPRESSION KONG-REY (NANDO) UPDATE NUMBER 012
Issued: 7:15 PM PhT (11:15 GMT) Friday 30 August 2013

KONG-REY (NANDO) has weakened into a Tropical Depression as it veered to the northeast...now heading towards Northern Kyushu...its rain circulation remains over Northern Taiwan.

This storm will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) - bringing mostly cloudy and breezy conditions with occasional slight to moderate to sometimes heavy rains or thunderstorms across the northern part of the South China Sea, Taiwan Strait and Southern Taiwan. The threat of flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially along river banks and mountain slopes of the affected areas. Residents are advised to take necessary precautions.

Residents and visitors along Western and Southern Japan should closely monitor the development of Kong-Rey (Nando).

Do not use this for life or death decisions. This update is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your national weather agency for official warnings, advisories or bulletins.

CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS

As of 5:00 pm today, the center of TD Kong-Rey (Nando) was located over the East China Sea...about 700 km north-northeast of Taipei, Taiwan or 515 km southwest of Sasebo, Japan...currently moving northeast with an increased forward speed of 30 km/hr towards Northern Kyushu, Japan.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are at 55 km/hr near the center with higher gusts. Kong-Rey (Nando) remains an average-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 390 kilometers across. The 24-hour rainfall accumulation to the southwest of the center of Kong-Rey (Nando) is estimated to be heavy (100 mm).

2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

TD Kong-Rey (Nando) is expected to continue to move northeastward throughout the forecast period. On the forecast track, the core of Kong-Rey (Nando) will pass along the northern shores of Western Japan by Saturday morning and will be over the Sea of Japan by Saturday afternoon. By Sunday afternoon, Kong-rey will be over the Pacific Ocean just to the south of Hokkaido after traversing Northern Honshu (Japan).

TD Kong-Rey (Nando) could still re-intensify within the next 12 to 24 hours before losing strength through 48 hours...and will become an Extratropical (Mid-latitude) Cyclone on Saturday morning. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows Kong-Rey (Nando) reaching a 1-minute sustained winds of 65 km/hr on Saturday morning.

The following is the summary of the 2-day forecast outlook on this system:

SATURDAY AFTERNOON: Re-intensifies slightly while over the Sea of Japan, as it accelerates toward Northern Honshu...about 160 km northwest of Kyoto, Japan [5PM AUG 31: 36.3N 134.4E @ 65kph].
SUNDAY AFTERNOON: Over the Pacific Ocean just south of Hokkaido (Japan)...weakens into an area of low pressure...about 390 km east of Sapporo, Japan [5PM SEP 01: 42.9N 146.2E @ 45kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Tracks have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas. You can also view this image link for you to understand the parts.

DECAYING RAINBANDS - where Tropical Depression Conditions with light, moderate to strong winds (30-62 kph) will be expected. Affected Areas: Northern Taiwan and rest of East China Sea (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 25 mm (slight to moderate rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 26 to 100 mm (moderate to heavy) along areas to the southwest of the center of Kong-Rey (Nando).

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Fri Aug 30, 2013
Class/Name: TD Kong-Rey (Nando)
Location of Center: Near 30.5º N Lat 125.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 520 km NE of Wenzhou, China
Distance 2: 360 km ENE of Ningbo, China
Distance 3: 700 km NNE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 4: 510 km NW of Okinawa, Japan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph
Present Movement: NE @ 30 kph
Towards: Northern Kyushu, Japan
24hr Rainfall Accum (SW of Center): Heavy [100 mm]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Size (in Diameter): 390 km [Average]
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 14 feet
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF | Google Map (Flash)

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CURRENT TRACKING MAP:

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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:

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NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TD KONG-REY (NANDO)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

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