Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #009
Name: TYPHOON PEIPAH [KABAYAN/21W/0721]
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) WED 07 NOVEMBER 2007
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) THU 08 NOVEMBER
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 017
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) THU 08 NOVEMBER
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 017
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
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TYPHOON PEIPAH (KABAYAN) NOW ON A WEAKENING PHASE AS IT DRIFTS WEST-
NORTHWEST DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS...LIKELY TO BE DOWNGRADED INTO A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: PEIPAH is expected to track Westward for the
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: PEIPAH is expected to track Westward for the
next 12 and will continue to weaken. The 2 to 5-day forecast now
shows PEIPAH weakening more rapidly than expected due to increasing
wind shear conditions (upper lever winds) across the South China Sea.
The system shall be approaching the Eastern Coast of Southern Vietnam
Saturday afternoon, Nov 10 as a dissipating Tropical Storm and shall
make landfall in the vicinity Vietnam in the evening. It shall dissi-
pate over Cambodia Sunday afternoon, Nov 11.
+ EFFECTS: PEIPAH's weak circulation remains compact in the middle of
+ EFFECTS: PEIPAH's weak circulation remains compact in the middle of
the South China Sea...no longer affecting any land mass. Coastal Storm
Surge flooding of 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...along with
large and dangerous battering waves can be expected near and to the
north of PEIPAH's projected path Minimal damage is possible on this
type of storm surge. Far-fetched storm surge is also possible along
coastal areas of Western Luzon.
+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: The Tropical Disturbance (LPA/98W/1004 MB)
+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: The Tropical Disturbance (LPA/98W/1004 MB)
over the Philippine Sea has dissipated and is no longer considered
suspect for possible TC development. The remnants of this disturbance
is now moving across the coastal areas of Northern Samar and Bicol
Region, bringing cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers or thunder-
PEIPAH (KABAYAN) will continue to bring cloudy skies with intermittent
rains & strong NE'ly winds of 30 km/hr or higher across Batanes Group,
Taiwan and the Coastal areas of Southern and Eastern China. Landslides
and flooding is likely to occur along steep mountain/volcano slopes,
river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas,
while big sea waves or surges generated by this monsoon can affect the
coastal and beach-front areas of Extreme Northern Luzon & Taiwan.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
_____________________________________________________________________________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 07 NOVEMBER
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 18.5º N...LONGITUDE 116.4º E
DISTANCE 1: 445 KM (240 NM) WNW OF LAOAG CITY, PH
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 18.5º N...LONGITUDE 116.4º E
DISTANCE 1: 445 KM (240 NM) WNW OF LAOAG CITY, PH
DISTANCE 2: 435 KM (235 NM) WNW OF VIGAN CITY, PH
DISTANCE 3: 505 KM (273 NM) NW OF BAGUIO CITY, PH
DISTANCE 4: 480 KM (260 NM) SE OF HONG KONG, CHINA
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 150 KM/HR (80 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 974 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 07 KM/HR (04 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTH CHINA SEA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 465 KM (250 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 22 FEET (6.7 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM HK TIME WED NOVEMBER 07
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 96 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 08 NOVEMBER: 18.4N 115.7E / 110-140 KPH / SW @ 09 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 08 NOVEMBER: 17.9N 114.9E / 100-130 KPH / SW @ 09 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 09 NOVEMBER: 16.6N 113.1E / 85-100 KPH / SW @ 15 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 07 NOVEMBER POSITION: 18.5N 116.7E.
^TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PEIPAH) REACHED PEAK INTENSITY AND BEGAN
TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
IMAGERY, AND A 062247Z IMAGE, SHOW THE SYSTEM TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD.
FORWARD SPEED IS SLOW AS THE STORM REMAINS IN A RELATIVELY WEAK STEE-
RING ENVIRONMENT...(more)
>> PEIPAH {pronounced: pey~pah}, meaning: A popular pet fish in Macau.
Name contributed by: Macau.
_____________________________________________________________________________
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 07 NOVEMBER POSITION: 18.5N 116.7E.
^TYPHOON (TY) 21W (PEIPAH) REACHED PEAK INTENSITY AND BEGAN
TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
IMAGERY, AND A 062247Z IMAGE, SHOW THE SYSTEM TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD.
FORWARD SPEED IS SLOW AS THE STORM REMAINS IN A RELATIVELY WEAK STEE-
RING ENVIRONMENT...(more)
>> PEIPAH {pronounced: pey~pah}, meaning: A popular pet fish in Macau.
Name contributed by: Macau.
____________
_____________________________________________________________________________
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TY PEIPAH (KABAYAN)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TY PEIPAH (KABAYAN)...
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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