Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #006
Name: TYPHOON PEIPAH [KABAYAN/21W/0721]
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) TUE 06 NOVEMBER 2007
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) TUE 06 NOVEMBER
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 011
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) TUE 06 NOVEMBER
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 011
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
_____________________________________________________________________________
PEIPAH (KABAYAN) RE-INTENSIFIED BACK INTO A TYPHOON
...BARELY MOVINGOVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA, NEAR THE WEST COAST OF NORTHERN LUZON. ITS
CIRCULATION HAS BECOME SMALLER, BUT MORE COMPACT.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: PEIPAH is expected to track Westward for the next
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: PEIPAH is expected to track Westward for the next
24 hours and intensify slightly. The 2 to 5-day forecast shows PEIPAH
maintaining its minimal Typhoon intensity while turning SW'ly across
the South China Sea. The system shall be approaching the Eastern Coast
of Southern Vietnam Friday, Nov 9 as a downgraded Tropical Storm and
shall make landfall just North of Nha Trang, Vietnam just after mid-
night on Saturday, Nov 10 and dissipate.
+ EFFECTS: PEIPAH's circulation has become compact and shrunked in its
+ EFFECTS: PEIPAH's circulation has become compact and shrunked in its
size. Extreme Eastern portion of its outer rainbands continues to spread
across coastal areas of Ilocos Provinces, La Union down to Pangasinan.
Scattered rains with moderate to strong winds of not more than 60 km/hr
will prevail along the Western portions of Northern and Central Luzon.
Coastal Storm Surge flooding of 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...
along with large and dangerous battering waves can be expected near and
to the north of PEIPAH's projected path Minimal damage is possible on
this type of storm surge. Far-fetched storm surge is also possible along
coastal areas of Western Luzon.
+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: The Tropical Disturbance (LPA/98W/1004 MB)
+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: The Tropical Disturbance (LPA/98W/1004 MB)
over the Philippine Sea, has tracked WNW slowly. The system was located
about 595 km. ESE of Borongan, Eastern Samar (10.8N 130.8E). With winds
of 30 km/hr..it was moving WNW slowly. This disturbance will be closely
monitored for possible development into a Tropical Cyclone within a day
soon enhanced by TY PEIPAH (KABAYAN) will continue to bring cloudy skies
with intermittent rains & strong NE'ly winds of 30 km/hr or higher across
Taiwan and the Coastal areas of Southern and Eastern China. Landslides,
mudflows (lahars) and flooding is likely to occur along steep mountain/
volcano slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected
areas, while big sea waves or surges generated by this monsoon can affect
the coastal and beach-front areas of Extreme Northern Luzon. Meanwhile,
the rest of the Philippines is under the active ITCZ (Monsoon Trough),
which will bring scattered rains and thunderstorms most especially in
the afternoon or evening.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
_____________________________________________________________________________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 06 NOVEMBER
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 18.0º N...LONGITUDE 118.6º E
DISTANCE 1: 195 KM (105 NM) WNW OF VIGAN CITY, PH
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 18.0º N...LONGITUDE 118.6º E
DISTANCE 1: 195 KM (105 NM) WNW OF VIGAN CITY, PH
DISTANCE 2: 215 KM (115 NM) WSW OF LAOAG CITY, PH
DISTANCE 3: 275 KM (148 NM) NW OF BAGUIO CITY, PH
DISTANCE 4: 285 KM (155 NM) NW OF DAGUPAN CITY, PH
DISTANCE 5: 455 KM (245 NM) NW OF METRO MANILA, PH
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 150 KM/HR (80 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 974 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 04 KM/HR (02 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTH CHINA SEA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 465 KM (250 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 22 FEET (6.7 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 5 AM MANILA TIME TUE NOVEMBER 06
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#02 - ILOCOS NORTE & ILOCOS SUR.
#01 - PANGASINAN, LA UNION, BENGUET, MT. PROVINCE, KALINGA,
APAYAO, ABRA, WESTERN CAGAYAN & THE BABUYAN GROUP OF
ISLANDS.
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 06 NOVEMBER: 17.9N 117.9E / 130-160 KPH / WSW @ 09 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 07 NOVEMBER: 17.6N 116.9E / 130-160 KPH / SW @ 11 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 08 NOVEMBER: 16.1N 114.8E / 120-150 KPH / SW @ 17 KPH
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 06 NOVEMBER POSITION: 18.0N 118.8E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (PEIPAH) HAS MAINTAINED INTENSITY
OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS UNDER THE COMPETING INFLUENCES OF FAVORABLE
POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND UNFAVORABLE INTERACTION BETWEEN THE EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION AND THE ISLAND OF
LUZON...(more)
>> PEIPAH {pronounced: pey~pah}, meaning: A popular pet fish in Macau.
Name contributed by: Macau.
_____________________________________________________________________________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 06 NOVEMBER POSITION: 18.0N 118.8E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (PEIPAH) HAS MAINTAINED INTENSITY
OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS UNDER THE COMPETING INFLUENCES OF FAVORABLE
POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND UNFAVORABLE INTERACTION BETWEEN THE EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION AND THE ISLAND OF
LUZON...(more)
>> PEIPAH {pronounced: pey~pah}, meaning: A popular pet fish in Macau.
Name contributed by: Macau.
____________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 4 AM (20 GMT) 06 NOVEMBER: 18.0N 118.7E / WEST @ 13 KPH / 105 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.
_____________________________________________________________________________
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TY PEIPAH (KABAYAN)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TY PEIPAH (KABAYAN)...
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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