Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #008
Name: TYPHOON MITAG [MINA/24W/0723]
Issued: 6:00 PM MANILA TIME (10:00 GMT) SUN 25 NOVEMBER 2007
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 021
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 021
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
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TYPHOON MITAG {pronounced as: me~tok} (MINA) WEAKENS SLIGHTLY...MAY
BARELY MISS LUZON AS ITS TRACK TURNED MORE NORTHWESTERLY...NOW EYEING
NORTHERN CAGAYAN . EYEWALL EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS CAGAYAN OR ISABELA
BARELY MISS LUZON AS ITS TRACK TURNED MORE NORTHWESTERLY.
NORTHERN CAGAYAN
EARLY TOMORROW (APPROX 2 TO 3 AM LOCAL TIME).
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: MITAG (MINA) is expected to continue moving
more northwesterly, making landfall along the northern part of
Cagayan early tomorrow morning approx 2-3 AM local time. The
typhoon shall start weakening upon returning back to sea and
may stall anew along the Balintang Channel due to weak steering
flow. The 3 to 5-day forecast shows MITAG drifting towards the
northeast and weakening further into a Tropical Storm then
later into a Tropical Depression due to increasing wind shear
(upper level winds) and lower sea surface over the area. This
(upper level winds) and lower sea surface over the area. This
system is likely to become Extratropical on the 6th day. Landfall
Impact Forecast (LIF) of this system now shows MITAG barely
hitting Luzon and is now expected to come ashore across the Nor-
Impact Forecast (LIF) of this system now shows MITAG barely
hitting Luzon and is now expected to come ashore across the Nor-
thern part of Cagayan in Northern Luzon, Philippines early tomo-
rrow morning.
+ EFFECTS: MITAG's Inner rainbands now spreading across the eastern
+ EFFECTS: MITAG's Inner rainbands now spreading across the eastern
provinces of Northern Luzon (Cagayan, Isabela & Aurora). Strong
winds not in excess of 100 kph w/ moderate to heavy rains can be
expected within these areas tonight & tomorrow. Meanwhile, the outer
rainbands continues to spread across the whole of Northern & Central
winds not in excess of 100 kph w/ moderate to heavy rains can be
expected within these areas tonight & tomorrow. Meanwhile, the outer
rainbands continues to spread across the whole of Northern & Central
Luzon including Metro Manila and Bicol Provinces. Cloudy Skies with
passing rainshowers and winds not exceeding 60 km/hr can be expected
along the typhoon's outer bands. Coastal Storm Surge flooding of 4 to
5 feet above normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous ba-
passing rainshowers and winds not exceeding 60 km/hr can be expected
along the typhoon's outer bands. Coastal Storm Surge flooding of 4 to
5 feet above normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous ba-
ttering waves can be expected near and to the north of MITAG's pro-
jected path particularly over Northeastern Luzon and, on where the
center makes landfall in Cagayan area. Minimal damage is possible
on this type of storm surge. Far-fetched Storm Surge is also possible
along coastal areas of Bicol Region.
+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Strong Northeast (NE) Monsoon enhanced by
Typhoon MITAG (MINA) will continue to bring cloudy skies with inter-
center makes landfall in Cagayan area. Minimal damage is possible
on this type of storm surge. Far-fetched Storm Surge is also possible
along coastal areas of Bicol Region.
+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Strong Northeast (NE) Monsoon enhanced by
Typhoon MITAG (MINA) will continue to bring cloudy skies with inter-
mittent rainshowers & strong NE'ly winds of 30 km/hr or higher across
Taiwan and SE China. Landslides, mudflows (lahars) and flooding is
likely to occur along steep mountain/volcano slopes, river banks,
low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas, while big sea
waves or surges generated by this monsoon can affect the coastal and
beach-front areas of Taiwan and SE China.
Taiwan and SE China. Landslides, mudflows (lahars) and flooding is
likely to occur along steep mountain/volcano slopes, river banks,
low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas, while big sea
waves or surges generated by this monsoon can affect the coastal and
beach-front areas of Taiwan and SE China.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
_____________________________________________________________________________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 25 NOVEMBER
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 16.9º N...LONGITUDE 123.5º E
DISTANCE 1: 205 KM (110 NM) ESE OF TUGUEGARAO CITY, PH
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 16.9º N...LONGITUDE 123.5º E
DISTANCE 1: 205 KM (110 NM) ESE OF TUGUEGARAO CITY, PH
DISTANCE 2: 260 KM (140 NM) SE OF APARRI, CAGAYAN, PH
DISTANCE 3: 370 KM (200 NM) NORTH OF NAGA CITY, PH
DISTANCE 4: 425 KM (230 NM) NNW OF LEGAZPI CITY, PH
DISTANCE 5: 170 KM (92 NM) NE OF CASIGURAN, AURORA, PH
DISTANCE 6: 360 KM (195 NM) NE OF METRO MANILA, PH
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 185 KM/HR (100 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 963 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NW @ 19 KM/HR (10 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: NORTHERN CAGAYAN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 555 KM (300 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 36 FEET (10.9 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 5 PM MANILA TIME SUN NOVEMBER 25
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#03 - ISABELA, CAGAYAN, APAYAO, KALINGA, MT. PROVINCE, IFUGAO
NUEVA VIZCAYA, QUIRINO, AURORA AND POLILLO ISLAND. #02 - CATANDUANES, CAMARINES NORTE, NORTHERN QUEZON, NUEVA
ECIJA, BENGUET, LA UNION, ILOCOS PROVINCES, ABRA & BABUYAN
GROUP OF ISLANDS.
#01 - ALBAY, CAMARINES SUR, REST OF QUEZON, LAGUNA, RIZAL, BULACAN,
#01 - ALBAY, CAMARINES SUR, REST OF QUEZON, LAGUNA, RIZAL, BULACAN,
PAMPANGA, TARLAC, ZAMBALES, PANGASINAN & THE BATANES GROUP OF
ISLANDS.
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 25 NOVEMBER: 18.2N 122.2E / 150-185 KPH / NW @ 17 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 26 NOVEMBER: 19.3N 120.8E / 140-165 KPH / NNW @ 05 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 25 NOVEMBER: 18.2N 122.2E / 150-185 KPH / NW @ 17 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 26 NOVEMBER: 19.3N 120.8E / 140-165 KPH / NNW @ 05 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 27 NOVEMBER: 20.4N 120.8E / 100-130 KPH / NE @ 05 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 25 NOVEMBER POSITION: 16.5N 123.9E.
^TYPHOON (TY) 24W (MITAG) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE STORM HAS BEEN LOCATED IN A WEAK
STEERING ENVIRONMENT ON THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUB-
TROPICAL RIDGE (STR). TY 24W HAS MAINTAINED INTENSITY OVER THE PAST
12 HOURS, THOUGH CENTRAL CONVECTIVE BANDING HAS BECOME LIMITED TO
THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN QUADRANTS...(more)
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PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 25 NOVEMBER POSITION: 16.5N 123.9E.
^TYPHOON (TY) 24W (MITAG) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE STORM HAS BEEN LOCATED IN A WEAK
STEERING ENVIRONMENT ON THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUB-
TROPICAL RIDGE (STR). TY 24W HAS MAINTAINED INTENSITY OVER THE PAST
12 HOURS, THOUGH CENTRAL CONVECTIVE BANDING HAS BECOME LIMITED TO
THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN QUADRANTS...(more)
____________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 4 PM (08 GMT) 25 NOVEMBER: 15.5N 123.6E / NW @ 15 KPH / 160 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate_mina.shtml
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.
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RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA Satellite Imagery, USA (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/mtsatfloat2.html )
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NOTES:
> Image source: NOAA Satellite Imagery, USA (http://www.ssd.
________________________
RECENT METEO-7 MICROWAVE IMAGE: new!
As of 4:30 PM Manila Time (08:30Z) 25 November 2007
> Image source: NRL TC Page, USA (http://199.9.2.143/tc_pages/tc_home.html )
As of 4:30 PM Manila Time (08:30Z) 25 November 2007
> Image source: NRL TC Page, USA (http://199.9.
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NOTES:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red bold letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TYPHOON MITAG (MINA)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red bold letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TYPHOON MITAG (MINA)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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