Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TS 23W (LANDO) crossing Palawan...[Update #005]

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #005

Name: TROPICAL STORM 23W [LANDO]

Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) TUE 20 NOVEMBER 2007
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) WED 21 NOVEMBER
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 007
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

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TROPICAL STORM 23W (LANDO) NOW PASSING VERY CLOSE TO THE SOUTH OF

PUERTO PRINCESA CITY, PALAWAN...STRONG WINDS AND RAINS LASHING THE

AREA.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: 23W (LANDO) is expected to continue tracking

Westward for the next 2 days and intensify slightly reaching forecast

wind speeds of 100 km/hr - as it approaches the Southern Coast of

Vietnam Thursday afternoon. It shall make landfall over Southern

Vietnam, passing very close to Ho Chi Minh City on Friday evening,

Nov 23 and dissipate.

+ EFFECTS: 23W's large rain circulation is now affecting the whole

island of Palawan & Sulu Sea...bringing moderate to heavy rains with

winds not exceeding 85 km/hr tonight..becoming more intense along

Central and Southern Palawan including Puerto Princesa.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Strong Northeast (NE) Monsoon enhanced by

Tropical Storm 23W (LANDO) will continue to bring cloudy skies with

intermittent rainshowers & strong NE'ly winds of 30 km/hr or higher

across Northern and Eastern Philippines. Landslides, mudflows (lahars)

and flooding is likely to occur along steep mountain/volcano slopes,

river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas,

while big sea waves or surges generated by this monsoon can affect

the coastal and beach-front areas of Eastern Philippines.

+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: Separate email updates on TROPICAL STORM

MITAG (MINA) will begin tomorrow morning. Click HERE to view the
latest satellite image on this new developing system.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
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TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 20 NOVEMBER
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 9.5º N...LONGITUDE 118.9º E
DISTANCE 1: 30 KM (17 NM) SE OF PUERTO PRINCESA CITY, PH

MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 65 KM/HR (35 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 85 KM/HR (45 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 996 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WEST @ 20 KM/HR (11 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTHERN PALAWAN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 500 KM (270 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 12 FEET (3.6 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 5 PM MANILA TIME TUE NOVEMBER 20
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:

#02 - PALAWAN
#01 - CUYO ISLAND AND CALAMIAN GROUP OF ISLANDS.

12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 21 NOVEMBER: 9.5N 117.4E / 75-95 KPH / W @ 24 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 21 NOVEMBER: 9.6N 114.6E / 85-100 KPH / W @ 22 KPH

2 PM (06 GMT) 22 NOVEMBER: 9.8N 109.9E / 100-130 KPH / WNW @ 13 KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 20 NOVEMBER POSITION: 9.5N 119.4E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) 23W HAS MAINTAINED INTENSITY OVER THE
PAST 12 HOURS AS THE STORM REMAINS IN THE DIFFLUENT SOUTHWESTERN
QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL (200 MB) RIDGE TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST.
A 200956Z WINDSAT (36GHZ) IMAGE REVEALS AN IMPROVING LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER JUST TO THE EAST OF PALAWAN. THE SYSTEM
HAS SLOWED CONSIDERABLY AS IT RE-CONSOLIDATES AND INTERACTS WITH
PALAWAN...(more)
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PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):

> 4 PM (08 GMT) 20 NOVEMBER: 10.0N 119.3E / W @ 26 KPH / 65 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml

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RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS 23W (LANDO)...go visit
our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

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