Thursday, November 08, 2007

TS PEIPAH (KABAYAN) - Final Update


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #010 **FINAL**
Name: TROPICAL STORM PEIPAH [KABAYAN/21W/0721] 
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) THU 08 NOVEMBER 2007
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 019
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
_____________________________________________________________________________
 
 
PEIPAH (KABAYAN) RAPIDLY WEAKENING OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA...DOWNGRADED
TO A
TROPICAL STORM
.

...DUE TO CONTINUED DISSIPATION OF THIS SYSTEM, THIS WILL BE THE
FINAL
UPDATE ON THIS SYSTEM.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: PEIPAH is expected to continue moving SW for the
next 12 hours and shall be downgraded into a Tropical Depression this
afternoon. The 2-day forecast now shows PEIPAH dissipating further
into a Tropical Disturbance (LPA) upon approaching the coast of
Vietnam. The remnants of this storm shall move into Vietnam on
tomorrow evening, Nov 9

+ EFFECTS: PEIPAH's circulation continues to dissipate as drier air
from China enters. Not affecting any land mass.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITYNortheast (NE) Monsoon enhanced by TS
PEIPAH (KABAYAN) will continue to bring cloudy skies with intermittent
rains & strong NE'ly winds of 30 km/hr or higher across Batanes Group,
Taiwan and the Coastal areas of Southern and Eastern China. Landslides
and flooding is likely to occur along steep mountain/volcano slopes,
river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas, while
big sea waves or surges generated by this monsoon can affect the coastal
and beach-front areas of Extreme Northern Luzon & Taiwan.
 
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes 
every 06 to 12 hours!

_____________________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 08 NOVEMBER
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 16.9º N...LONGITUDE 114.2º E
DISTANCE 1: 695 KM (375
NM) WSW OF LAOAG CITY, PH
DISTANCE 2: 665 KM (360 NM) WNW OF VIGAN CITY, PH
DISTANCE 3: 685 KM (370 NM) WNW OF BAGUIO CITY, PH
DISTANCE 4: 645 KM (350 NM) ENE OF DA NANG, VIETNAM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 75 KM/HR (40 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 95 KM/HR (50 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 993 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: SW @ 17 KM/HR (09 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTH CHINA SEA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 425 KM (230 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 16 FEET (4.8 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM HK TIME THU NOVEMBER 08
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 48 HRS LEAD  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A

12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 08 NOVEMBER: 16.3N 113.2E / 55-75 KPH / SW @ 17 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 09 NOVEMBER: 15.3N 111.6E / 45-65 KPH / SW @ 17 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 10 NOVEMBER: 13.3N 108.4E / 35-55 KPH / SW @ 17 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 08 NOVEMBER POSITION: 17.1N 114.6E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (PEIPAH) HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN OVER
THE PAST 12 HOURS AND HAS FALLEN BELOW TYPHOON INTENSITY. ANIMATED
INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICT A LACK OF DEEP CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM. TS 21W HAS BEGUN TO ENTRAIN SOME DRIER
CONTINENTAL AIR, WHICH HAS AIDED IN THE WEAKENING OF TS 21W. THE
STORM HAS RESUMED A MORE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK, AFTER BRIEFLY
TRACKING WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. THE TRACK SPEED HAS INCREASED
OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS AFTER MAINTAINING A RELATIVELY SLOW RATE OF
FORWARD MOTION DURING THE PREVIOUS 06 HOURS
.
..(more)

>> PEIPAH {pronounced: pey~pah}, meaning: A popular pet fish in Macau
   Name contributed by: Macau.

_____________________________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________________________

RECENT TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TS PEIPAH (KABAYAN)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

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