Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TS HAGIBIS (LANDO) zooms past Bicol...now over RP Sea...[Update #009]

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #009

Name: TROPICAL STORM HAGIBIS [LANDO/23W/0724]

Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) WED 28 NOVEMBER 2007
Source: JMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY: 27/21UTC
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

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THE WEAK TROPICAL STORM HAGIBIS (LANDO) HAS ZOOMED OUT OF CAMARINES SUR
AND IS NOW WELL OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MERGE
WITH THE NEW STRONG DISTURBANCE (LPA) LOCATED OUTSIDE OF THE PHILIPPINE

AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY (PAR). IMPROVING WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED
ACROSS THE BICOL REGION TODAY.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: HAGIBIS is expected to accelerate towards the outer

bands of the the strong disturbance (LPA) outside of PAR.

+ EFFECTS: HAGIBIS' circulation has remained displaced and is now lo-

cated north of its low-level circulation (LLCC). These rainclouds may

bring moderate to heavy rains across the open sea.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: The Tropical Depression 25W (NONAME) which is a very

small or midget system over the Philippine Sea...has become Extratropical

and is no longer a Tropical Cyclone. Meanwhile, another strong Tropical

Disturbance 95W (LPA/1003 MB) is currently developing over the NW Pacific,

just outside of PAR...located about 1,520 km. (820 nm) East of Northern

Luzon, Philippines [17.0N 136.7E]...with max sustained winds of 35 km/hr

near the center...moving NNW @ 45 kph (25 kts) towards the open seas of

the North Pacific Ocean. Even if this system becomes a Tropical Cyclone,

it will not be a threat to any part of the Philippine Islands.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
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TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 28 NOVEMBER
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 14.9º N...LONGITUDE 124.9º E
DISTANCE 1: 160 KM (85 NM) NNE OF VIRAC, CATANDUANES, PH

DISTANCE 2: 235 KM (127 NM) ENE OF DAET, CAMARINES NORTE, PH

DISTANCE 3: 235 KM (127 NM) NE OF NAGA CITY, PH
DISTANCE 4: 345 KM (185 NM) EAST OF INFANTA, QUEZON, PH
DISTANCE 5: 410 KM (220 NM) ENE OF METRO MANILA, PH
MAX WINDS [10-MIN AVG]: 65 KM/HR (35 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 95 KM/HR (50 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 996 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: ENE @ 31 KM/HR (17 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: PHILIPPINE SEA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 610 KM (330 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 12 FEET (3.6 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 5 AM MANILA TIME WED NOVEMBER 28
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 24 HRS LEAD

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#01 - POLILLO ISLAND, CAMARINES NORTE, CAMARINES SUR, ALBAY

& CATANDUANES.

24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 29 NOVEMBER: 17.2N 129.1E / 75-110 KPH / ENE @ 24 KPH

2 AM (18 GMT) 30 NOVEMBER: 20.3N 132.8E / 65-95 KPH / NE @ 22 KPH

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PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):

> 4 AM (20 GMT) 28 NOVEMBER: 14.9N 124.9E / ENE @ 24 KPH / 55 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml

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RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: NOAA
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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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