Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TS HAGIBIS (LANDO) heading for Mindoro-Bicol Area...[Update #008]

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #008

Name: TROPICAL STORM HAGIBIS [LANDO/23W/0724]

Issued: 10:00 AM MANILA TIME (02:00 GMT) TUE 27 NOVEMBER 2007
Source: JMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY: 27/00UTC
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

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TROPICAL STORM HAGIBIS (LANDO) AFTER LINGERING OFF THE COAST OF SOUTH-

EASTERN VIETNAM FOR 3 TO 4 DAYS HAS TURNED BACK DUE TO THE BINARY IN-

TERACTION WITH TYPHOON MITAG AND A STRONG NEAR-EQUATORIAL HIGH PRESSURE
...NOW HEADING TOWARDS THE WESTERN PHILIPPINES. THREATENS MINDORO AND
BICOL PROVINCES.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: HAGIBIS is expected to continue accelerating ENE-ward
for the next 24 hours and shall make landfall over Mindoro this afternoon.
The storm may pass in between Romblon and Marinduque later tonight and

across Ragay Gulf early tomorrow morning. It shall make landfall over
Pasacao, Camarines Sur around 5-6 AM tomorrow, passing very close to

Naga City around 7 AM. HAGIBIS is forecast to be over Lagonoy Gulf around

8 AM tomorrow, and move across the island of Catanduanes later (approx

9 AM) before exiting out into the Philippine Sea.

+ EFFECTS: HAGIBIS' circulation is now affecting Calamian & Mindoro, with
its center partially exposed - meaning the rain clouds of this system is

displaced away or west of the center. A new burst of convective rainclouds

has developed right of the center. This rainclouds may bring moderate to

heavy rains across the affected and forecasted area. People living around

the slopes of Mayon Volcano in Albay & of Bulusan Volcano in Sorsogon -

especially along the areas where possible LAHAR FLOWS (mixture of volcanic

mud and water) are located must stay alert as moderate to heavy rains

associated by this cloudiness are likely to prevail beginning late

this afternoon. Low-lying areas of Rinconada and Partido District of

Camarines Sur must seek higher grounds for possible flooding due to

the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this "balikbayan" storm.

Precautionary measures must be implemented now.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
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TIME/DATE: 8:00 AM MANILA TIME (00:00 GMT) 27 NOVEMBER
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 12.0º N...LONGITUDE 119.0º E
DISTANCE 1: 130 KM (70 NM) WEST OF CORON, PALAWAN, PH

DISTANCE 2: 230 KM (125 NM) WSW OF SAN JOSE, OCC. MINDORO, PH

DISTANCE 3: 315 KM (170 NM) WEST OF BORACAY ISLAND RESORT, PH
DISTANCE 4: 490 KM (265 NM) WSW OF NAGA CITY, PH
DISTANCE 5: 530 KM (285 NM) WSW OF LEGAZPI CITY, PH
MAX WINDS [10-MIN AVG]: 85 KM/HR (45 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 120 KM/HR (65 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 994 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: ENE @ 24 KM/HR (13 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: MINDORO-ROMBLON-MARINDUQUE-BICOL AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 685 KM (370 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 13 FEET (3.9 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 11 AM MANILA TIME TUE NOVEMBER 27
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 96 HRS LEAD

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#01 - ORIENTAL MINDORO, OCCIDENTAL MINDORO, LUBANG IS., ROMBLON,

MARINDUQUE, BATANGAS, LAGUNA, RIZAL, SOUTHERN QUEZON,

CAMARINES NORTE, CAMARINES SUR, ALBAY, BURIAS ISLAND,

CATANDUANES, PALAWAN AND CALAMIAN GROUP OF ISLANDS.

24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
8 AM (00 GMT) 27 NOVEMBER: 13.7N 123.9E / 95-130 KPH / ENE @ 24 KPH

8 AM (00 GMT) 28 NOVEMBER: 15.9N 129.0E / 85-120 KPH / ENE @ 24 KPH

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PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):

> 10 AM (02 GMT) 27 NOVEMBER: 12.2N 119.0E / ENE @ 22 KPH / 55 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml

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RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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