Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TS KAMMURI (JULIAN) approaching the coast of Western Guangdong...[Update #005]

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #005

Name: TROPICAL STORM KAMMURI [JULIAN/10W/0809]

Issued: 6:00 AM MANILA TIME (22:00 GMT) WED 06 AUGUST 2008
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 008
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

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TROPICAL STORM KAMMURI (JULIAN) INTENSIFIES FURTHER AS IT SLOWLY

APPROACHES THE COAST OF SOUTHERN CHINA...ENDANGERS WESTERN GUANGDONG

PROVINCE.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: KAMMURI is expected to continue heading WNW for the

next 24 hours towards the Coast of Western Guangdong, and shall make

landfall along Western Guangdong tonight - about more or less 100 km.

West of Hong Kong. Complete dissipation of this cyclone is forecast to-

morrow afternoon of Aug 7 while moving WNW across the Chinese Province

of Guangxi. This storm may likely reach near-typhoon strength of 100 to

110 km/hr prior to landfall.

+ EFFECTS: KAMMURI's circulation has shrunked a little and covers the

northern portion of the South China Sea, with its inner-spiral rain bands

spreading across the Southern Coastal areas of Guangdong, Hong Kong &

Macau. Widespread rains and winds not in excess of 85 km/hr can be ex-

pected along the affected areas. Western and SW outer rain bands affec-

ting Hainan Island with moderate to heavy rains with winds not exceeding

60 km/hr. Residents in low-lying areas must seek higher grounds for po-

ssible flooding & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought

about by this disturbance. Precautionary measures must be initiated if

necessary.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: The Southwest (SW) Monsoon continues to be

enhanced by TS KAMMURI (JULIAN). This wind system is currently bringing

cloudy skies with "on-&-off" to sometimes continuous moderate to heavy

rains & winds not exceeding 50 km/hr across the Rest of Luzon, becoming

more intense across Western Luzon including Metro Manila & Subic Bay.

Landslides, mudflows (lahars) and flooding is likely to occur along

steep mountain/volcano slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone

areas of the affected areas. Strong ITCZ (aka. Monsoon Trough) affec-

ting the whole Philippines. It will continue to bring widespread

scattered rains and thunderstorms - most especially in the afternoon

or evening.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
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TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 06 AUGUST
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 21.1º N...LONGITUDE 114.1º E
DISTANCE 1: 135 KM (73 NM) SOUTH OF HONG KONG, CHINA

DISTANCE 2: 130 KM (70 NM) SE OF MACAU, CHINA

DISTANCE 3: 375 KM (203 NM) EAST OF ZHANJIANG, CHINA

DISTANCE 4: 755 KM (408 NM) WNW OF LAOAG CITY, PH

MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 85 KM/HR (45 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 100 KM/HR (55 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 989 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 11 KM/HR (06 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: WESTERN GUANGDONG, CHINA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 665 KM (360 NM)/AVG/LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 14 FEET (4.2 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM MANILA TIME WED AUGUST 06
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 36 HRS LEAD

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: NONE.

12, 24, 36 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 06 AUGUST: 21.5N 113.3E / 85-100 KPH / WNW @ 15 KPH

2 AM (18 GMT) 07 AUGUST: 22.1N 111.8E / 75-95 KPH / WNW @ 19 KPH

2 PM (06 GMT) 07 AUGUST: 22.6N 109.7E / 35-55 KPH / . @ .. KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 06 AUGUST POSITION: 20.9N 114.4E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) 10W (KAMMURI) HAS SLOWLY INTENSIFIED WHILE
TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. RECENT MICROWAVE
IMAGERY SHOWS IMPROVED LOW LEVEL ORGANIZATION DESPITE SLOW CONSOLI-
DATION OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
...(more)

>> KAMMURI {pronounced: ka~moo~ree}, meaning: Corona Borealis; crown.
Name contributed by: Japan.
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RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.Org (http://www.digital-typhoon.org/)
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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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