Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #006
Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION LAWIN [14W]
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) THU 28 AUGUST 2008
Source: JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (JTWC) TC WARNING #006
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
Source: JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (JTWC) TC WARNING #006
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
_____________________________________________________________________________
LAWIN (14W) BARELY A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...FULLY-EXPOSED CENTER NOW
APPROACHING THE BATANES GROUP...CONVECTIVE RAINCLOUDS DISPLACED ALONG
SOUTH CHINA SEA AND NORTHWESTERN COAST OF LUZON BRINGING LIGHT RAINS
AND WINDS ACROSS THE AREA.
SOUTH CHINA SEA AND NORTHWESTERN COAST OF LUZON BRINGING LIGHT RAINS
AND WINDS ACROSS THE AREA.
*Weakening Southwest (SW) Monsoon continues to be enhanced by this system and is currently
bringing light rains across Western Luzon.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: LAWIN is expected to continue moving North to NNW as it
passes very close to Batanes Group of Islands later this afternoon, and
shall dissipate just to the South of Taiwan later tomorrow.
+ EFFECTS: LAWIN's circulation remains disorganized with its rainbands
sheared more or less 100 km southwest (SW) of its totally exposed Low
bringing light rains across Western Luzon.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: LAWIN is expected to continue moving North to NNW as it
passes very close to Batanes Group of Islands later this afternoon, and
shall dissipate just to the South of Taiwan later tomorrow.
+ EFFECTS: LAWIN's circulation remains disorganized with its rainbands
sheared more or less 100 km southwest (SW) of its totally exposed Low
Level Circulation Center (LLCC). These rainclouds is expected to affect
the western-half of Northern Luzon today - bringing light to moderate
rains especially along the mountain slopes & coastal areas. Residents
in low-lying areas & steep slopes must seek evacuation for possible
flooding & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about
by this storm. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.
+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: The Southwest (SW) Monsoon continues to be
enhanced by LAWIN but is now very weak. This wind system is expected to
by this storm. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.
+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: The Southwest (SW) Monsoon continues to be
enhanced by LAWIN but is now very weak. This wind system is expected to
bring mostly cloudy skies with possible "on-&-off" light to moderate to
sometimes heavy rains & winds not exceeding 30 km/hr across Western
Luzon including Metro Manila today. Landslides, mudflows (lahars) and
flooding is likely to occur along steep mountain/volcano slopes, river
sometimes heavy rains & winds not exceeding 30 km/hr across Western
Luzon including Metro Manila today. Landslides, mudflows (lahars) and
flooding is likely to occur along steep mountain/volcano slopes, river
banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas. Meanwhile,
ITCZ (aka. Monsoon Trough) & Southwest Windflow affecting Southern
Luzon, Bicol Region, Visayas and Mindanao. It shall bring widespread
scattered rains and thunderstorms - most especially in the afternoon
or evening.
ITCZ (aka. Monsoon Trough) & Southwest Windflow affecting Southern
Luzon, Bicol Region, Visayas and Mindanao. It shall bring widespread
scattered rains and thunderstorms - most especially in the afternoon
or evening.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
_____________________________________________________________________________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 28 AUGUST
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 19.7º N...LONGITUDE 122.3º E
DISTANCE 1: 95 KM (50 NM) NE OF CALAYAN ISLAND, CAGAYAN, PH
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 19.7º N...LONGITUDE 122.3º E
DISTANCE 1: 95 KM (50 NM) NE OF CALAYAN ISLAND, CAGAYAN, PH
DISTANCE 2: 100 KM (55 NM) SSE OF BASCO, BATANES, PH
DISTANCE 3: 135 KM (73 NM) SSE OF ITBAYAT, BATANES, PH
DISTANCE 4: 160 KM (85 NM) NNE OF APARRI, CAGAYAN, PH
MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 55 KM/HR (30 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 75 KM/HR (40 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1000 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NORTH @ 20 KM/HR (11 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: BATANES GROUP OF ISLANDS
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 400 KM (215 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 8 FEET (2.4 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 5 AM MANILA TIME THU AUGUST 28
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#01 - CAGAYAN, BATANES-BABUYAN-CALAYAN GROUP OF ISLANDS, APAYAO,
KALINGA, ABRA & ILOCOS NORTE.
12, 24, & 36 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 28 AUGUST: 20.8N 122.0E / 55-75 KPH / NW @ 07 KPH
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 28 AUGUST POSITION: 19.4N 122.4E.
^THE SYSTEM WAS DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON THE 27/06Z
WARNING. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE
IMAGERY CONTINUE TO DEPICT A FULLY-EXPOSED AND WEAKENING LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED ABOUT 45 NM
WEST. TD 14W HAS ALSO SLOWED AS IT APPROACHES NORTHERN LUZON DUE TO
A WEAK STEERING INFLUENCE AND LAND INTERACTION. THE AVAILABLE
DYNAMIC MODEL TRACKERS ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT BUT STILL FAIR OVER-
ALL WITH SEVERAL OUTLIERS (JGSM, GFS AND ECMWF)...(more)
_____________________________________________________________________________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 75 KM/HR (40 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1000 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NORTH @ 20 KM/HR (11 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: BATANES GROUP OF ISLANDS
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 400 KM (215 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 8 FEET (2.4 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 5 AM MANILA TIME THU AUGUST 28
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#01 - CAGAYAN, BATANES-BABUYAN-
KALINGA, ABRA & ILOCOS NORTE.
12, 24, & 36 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 28 AUGUST: 20.8N 122.0E / 55-75 KPH / NW @ 07 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 29 AUGUST: 21.3N 121.3E / 45-65 KPH / NW @ 05 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 29 AUGUST: 21.7N 120.9E / 35-55 KPH / -- @ -- KPH
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 28 AUGUST POSITION: 19.4N 122.4E.
^THE SYSTEM WAS DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON THE 27/06Z
WARNING. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE
IMAGERY CONTINUE TO DEPICT A FULLY-EXPOSED AND WEAKENING LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED ABOUT 45 NM
WEST. TD 14W HAS ALSO SLOWED AS IT APPROACHES NORTHERN LUZON DUE TO
A WEAK STEERING INFLUENCE AND LAND INTERACTION. THE AVAILABLE
DYNAMIC MODEL TRACKERS ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT BUT STILL FAIR OVER-
ALL WITH SEVERAL OUTLIERS (JGSM, GFS AND ECMWF)...(more)
____________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 4 AM (20 GMT) 28 AUGUST: 19.7N 121.9E / NW @ 11 KPH / 55 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.
_____________________________________________________________________________
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA Satellite Service (http://www.noaa.gov/ )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: NOAA Satellite Service (http://www.noaa.
____________
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TD LAWIN (14W)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest 6-hrly storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To get:
Send T2K TYPHOON to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TD LAWIN (14W)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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