Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TD LAWIN relocated... [Update #003]

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #003

Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION LAWIN [98W]

Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) TUE 26 AUGUST 2008
Source: T2K SATELLITE ANALYSIS & FORECAST
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION LAWIN (98W) HAS BEEN RELOCATED FURTHER TO THE

NORTH...THREATENS NORTHERN LUZON PARTICULARLY AURORA AND ISABELA

AREA.

*The SW Monsoon has been enhanced by this system and is expected to bring wide-
spread rains across Metro Manila, Southern Luzon, Western Luzon & Visayas.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: LAWIN is expected to continue moving WNW to NW for

the next 24 hours and shall be off the coast of Isabela tomorrow

afternoon. The 2-day short range forecast shows LAWIN crossing Northern

Luzon tomorrow evening, Aug 27 and shall be over the South China Sea

Thursday afternoon Aug 28.

+ EFFECTS: LAWIN's circulation remains small over the Philippine Sea

near the east coast of Luzon. Its western & southern outer bands con-

tinues to spread across Catanduanes and the Bicol Region. Light to

moderate to sometimes heavy rains with gusty winds not exceeding 30

km/hr can be expected along these bands. Residents in low-lying areas

must seek higher grounds for possible flooding & landslides due to the

anticipated heavy rains brought about by this depression. Precautionary

measures must be initiated if necessary.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: The Southwest (SW) Monsoon is now being

enhanced by LAWIN across Visayas and Western Luzon including Metro

Manila. This wind system is expected to bring mostly cloudy skies

with possible "on-&-off" light to moderate to sometimes heavy rains

& winds not exceeding 30 km/hr. Landslides, mudflows (lahars) and

flooding is likely to occur along steep mountain/volcano slopes,

river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
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TIME/DATE: 6:00 PM MANILA TIME (10:00 GMT) 26 AUGUST
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 15.7º N...LONGITUDE 125.5º E
DISTANCE 1: 270 KM (145 NM) NNE OF VIRAC, CATANDUANES, PH

DISTANCE 2: 340 KM (185 NM) NE OF NAGA CITY, PH

DISTANCE 3: 330 KM (178 NM) NE OF DAET, CAMARINES NORTE, PH

DISTANCE 4: 415 KM (225 NM) EAST OF BALER, AURORA, PH
DISTANCE 5: 370 KM (200 NM) ESE OF CASIGURAN, AURORA, PH
MAX WINDS [10-MIN AVG]: 55 KM/HR (30 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 70 KM/HR (38 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1000 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 19 KM/HR (10 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: AURORA-ISABELA AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 320 KM (170 NM)/SMALL
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 09 FEET (2.7 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 6 PM MANILA TIME TUE AUGUST 26

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#01 - CAMARINES SUR, CAMARINES NORTE, CATANDUANES, ALBAY,
BURIAS ISLAND, TICAO ISLAND, SORSOGON, QUEZON, POLILLO ISLAND,
MARINDUQUE, LAGUNA, RIZAL, & AURORA.

24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 27 AUGUST: 17.6N 122.2E

2 PM (06 GMT) 28 AUGUST: 19.6N 120.2E

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 26 AUGUST POSITION: 15.7N 126.1E.
^...(more)

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RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: NOAA Satellite Service (http://www.noaa.gov/)
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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
      signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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