Bushman's Typhoon Blog: Typhoon NAKRI (ENTENG)

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #006

Name: TYPHOON NAKRI [ENTENG/06W/0805]

Issued: 6:00 PM MANILA TIME (10:00 GMT) FRI 30 MAY 2008
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 014
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

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TYPHOON NAKRI (06W) HAS REACHED ITS PEAK INTENSITY AND IS NOW WEA-

KENING...ACCELERATING NORTHWEST ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN PHILIPPINE

SEA...REMAINS NO THREAT TO THE PHILIPPINES.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: NAKRI is expected to begin turning towards the NNW to
Northward within the next 24 to 36 hours, & shall continue losing strength.

The 2 to 5-day long range forecast shows NAKRI recurving NNEward on Sunday

morning, June 01 - exiting PAR Sunday evening. It shall start transitioning

into an Extratropical Cyclone as it passes in between Southern Japan and

Chichi Jima Island on Monday evening, June 2.

+ EFFECTS: NAKRI's intense eyewall with its radial, spiral cloud band

circulation remains over the Northeastern Philippine Sea and is not

affecting any small or large landmass at this time.

+ CURRENT ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH: Weak ITCZ (aka. Monsoon Trough) affecting
NCR, Luzon, Rest of Visayas and Mindanao - may continue to bring scattered
rains and chances of isolated thunderstorms - most especially in the

afternoon or evening.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
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TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 30 MAY
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 17.3º N...LONGITUDE 133.8º E {Sat Fix}
DISTANCE 1: 1,085 KM (585 NM) ENE OF BICOL REGION, PH

DISTANCE 2: 1,185 KM (640 NM) SSE OF OKINAWA, JAPAN

DISTANCE 3: 1,250 KM (675 NM) ENE OF CASIGURAN, AURORA, PH

DISTANCE 4: 1,285 KM (693 NM) ESE OF APARRI, CAGAYAN, PH

DISTANCE 5: 1,290 KM (695 NM) ESE OF BASCO, BATANES, PH
MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 205 KM/HR (110 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 250 KM/HR (135 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY FOUR (4)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 935 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NW @ 15 KM/HR (08 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: NORTHERN PHILIPPINE SEA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 555 KM (300 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 32 FEET (9.7 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM MANILA TIME FRI MAY 30
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A

12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 31 MAY: 18.1N 133.6E / 230-280 KPH / N @ 13 KPH

2 PM (06 GMT) 31 MAY: 19.5N 133.4E / 215-260 KPH / N @ 15 KPH

2 PM (06 GMT) 01 JUNE: 22.9N 134.2E / 165-205 KPH / NNE @ 24 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 02 JUNE: 27.2N 137.3E / 100-130 KPH / NE @ 39 KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 30 MAY POSITION: 17.0N 134.1E.
^TYPHOON (TY) 06W (NAKRI) HAS REMAINED NEARLY QUASISTATIONARY
OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND MAINTAINED AN INTENSITY OF 125 KNOTS.
THE EXTENSION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGING TO THE NORTH OF THE
SYSTEM HAS PROMOTED A CONTINUED WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK.
INDICATIONS OF THE WEAKENING OF THIS RIDGE ARE INHERENT IN A MORE
RECENT GAIN IN LATITUDE. EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT HAS REMAINED
THE PRIMARY EXHAUST MECHANISM IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE RADIAL
OUTFLOW FROM THE SYSTEM'S MESOSCALE ANTICYCLONE...(more)

>> NAKRI {pronounced: na~kree}, meaning: A kind of flower.
Name contributed by: Cambodia.
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RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.Org (http://www.digital-typhoon.org/)
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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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