Bushman's Typhoon Blog: Typhoon NAKRI (06W)

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #003

Name: TYPHOON NAKRI [06W/0805]

Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) THU 29 MAY 2008
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 008
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

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NAKRI (06W) BECOMES THE 4TH TYPHOON OF THE 2008 SEASON..STILL BARELY

MOVING WITH A DRIFT TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST...MOVING CLOSER TO THE
PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY (PAR)...STILL NOT A THREAT TO THE
PHILIPPINE ISLANDS.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: NAKRI is expected to drift NW'ly for the next

24-36 hours, & shall then enter PAR early tomorrow morning. The 2

to 5-day long range forecast shows NAKRI reaching Category 3 on the

Saffir-Simpson Scale, with projected winds of 185 km/hr. It shall

turn Northward before recurving NNE to NE on Saturday, May 31..and

starts to transition into an Extratropical Cyclone as it passes close

to the north of Chichi Jima Island by early Monday morning, June 2.

+ EFFECTS: NAKRI's compact and intense circulation associated with its

radial, spiral, counter-clockwise cloud bands remains at sea and is not

affecting any small or large islands at the moment.

+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: Meanwhile, Tropical Disturbance 92W (LPA/1010)
has dissipated and is no longer a suspect for TC development.

+ CURRENT ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH: ITCZ (aka. Monsoon Trough) affecting NCR,

Luzon, Rest of Visayas and Mindanao - will continue to bring scattered

rains and thunderstorms - most especially in the afternoon or evening.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
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TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 29 MAY
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 16.2º N...LONGITUDE 136.3º E
DISTANCE 1: 140 KM (75 NM) EAST OF PAR

DISTANCE 2: 1,090 KM (590 NM) SSW OF IWO TO

DISTANCE 3: 1,315 KM (710 NM) ENE OF BICOL REGION, PH

DISTANCE 4: 1,430 KM (772 NM) SE OF OKINAWA, JAPAN

DISTANCE 5: 1,515 KM (817 NM) EAST OF CASIGURAN, AURORA, PH
MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 150 KM/HR (80 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 185 KM/HR (100 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 963 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 05 KM/HR (03 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: NORTHERN PHILIPPINE SEA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 590 KM (320 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 23 FEET (7.0 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM MANILA TIME THU MAY 29
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A

12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 29 MAY: 16.6N 135.8E / 160-195 KPH / NW @ 09 KPH

2 AM (18 GMT) 30 MAY: 17.3N 135.2E / 165-205 KPH / NNW @ 11 KPH

2 AM (18 GMT) 31 MAY: 19.6N 134.6E / 185-230 KPH / NNE @ 22 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 01 JUNE: 24.0N 136.7E / 150-185 KPH / NE @ 28 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 29 MAY POSITION: 16.0N 136.4E.
^TYPHOON (TY) 06W (NAKRI) INTENSIFIED STEADILY OVER THE PAST
12 HOURS AS IT RESUMED A MORE NORTHWEST TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
TRACK AS THE RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST HAS STRENGTHENED POLEWARD OF
THE SYSTEM. THE FORWARD TRACK SPEED HAS DECREASED AND A MICROWAVE
EYE FEATURE IS EVIDENT IN A 5PM MAY 28 TRMM MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGE
AND A 6:04 PM MAY 28 SSMI MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGE. RECENT ANIMATED
WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS IMPROVED EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, BUT
POLEWARD OUTFLOW HAS DECREASED AS THE MIDLATITUDE TROUGH THAT WAS
PREVIOUSLY ENHANCING POLEWARD OUTFLOW HAS MOVED EASTWARD AND THE
AFOREMENTIONED RIDGING HAS BUILT POLEWARD OF THE SYSTEM...(more)

>> NAKRI {pronounced: na~kree}, meaning: A kind of flower.
Name contributed by: Cambodia.
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RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.Org (http://www.digital-typhoon.org/)
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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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