Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TD 04W (NONAME)

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #003

Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W [NONAME]

Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) THU 15 MAY 2008
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 005
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (NONAME) ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM

THE COAST OF NORTHERN LUZON.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: 04W is expected to become a minimal Tropical Storm
tonight and accelerate further towards the northeast. The 2-day medium

range forecast shows the system, becoming Extratropical tomorrow.

+ EFFECTS: N/A.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Intensified Southwest (SW) Monsoon

which is locally induced by 04W & TD COSME continues to affect Western

Visayas, Mindoro, Rest of Luzon including Metro Manila and Bicol Region.

The monsoon-affected areas will have cloudy skies with moderate to heavy

rains, thunderstorms & SW'ly winds not exceeding 40 km/hr today. Land-

slides, mudflows (lahars) and flooding is likely to occur along steep

mountain/volcano slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of

the affected areas. Meanwhile, big sea waves or surges generated by this

monsoon can affect the coastal and beach-front areas of the abovemen-

tioned areas. Meanwhile, the rest of the Philippines is under the active

ITCZ (Monsoon Trough), which will bring scattered rains and thunderstorms

most especially in the afternoon or evening.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
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TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 15 MAY
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 19.6º N...LONGITUDE 125.5º E
DISTANCE 1: 380 KM (205 NM) ESE OF BASCO, BATANES, PH

DISTANCE 2: 420 KM (225 NM) ENE OF APARRI, CAGAYAN, PH

MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 55 KM/HR (30 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 75 KM/HR (40 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1000 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NE @ 22 KM/HR (12 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: PHILIPPINE SEA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): ... KM (... NM)/N/A
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 17 FEET (5.1 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM MANILA TIME THU MAY 15
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 48 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A

12, 24, & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 16 MAY: 21.1N 127.1E / 65-85 KPH / NE @ 35 KPH

2 PM (06 GMT) 16 MAY: 23.2N 130.4E / 65-85 KPH / ENE @ 42 KPH

2 PM (06 GMT) 17 MAY: 27.2N 141.2E / 55-75 KPH / ENE @ 55 KPH
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RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.Org (http://www.digital-typhoon.org/)
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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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