Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #004
Name: TYPHOON SEPAT [EGAY/09W/0708]
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) TUE 14 AUGUST 2007
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) WED 15 AUGUST
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #009
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) WED 15 AUGUST
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #009
_______________________________________________________________________
SEPAT (EGAY) RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING...BECOMES THE SIXTH
TYPHOON OF THE 2007 NORTHWEST PACIFIC SEASON...THREATENSEXTREME NORTHERN LUZON AND TAIWAN.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: SEPAT is expected to continue moving
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: SEPAT is expected to continue moving
Westerly for the next 12 to 24 hours before turning WNW
tomorrow afternoon - with projected peak winds of 195 km/hr
(Category 3). The 3 to 5-day forecast calls for SEPAT to
accelerate NW'ly across the Northern Philippine Sea, towards
Batanes-Taiwan Area. It shall pass very close to the NE of
Batanes around Friday afternoon, Aug 17 & reach the Southern
Coast of Taiwan early Saturday morning, Aug 18 before making
landfall over Southern Taiwan. Weakening is expected Saturday
afternoon as the typhoon crosses the rugged mountainous
terrain of Taiwan. It shall be off SE China (2nd landfall)
as a weakened Tropical Storm on Sunday afternoon, Aug 19.
+ EFFECTS: SEPAT remains an average-sized system with compact
+ EFFECTS: SEPAT remains an average-sized system with compact
circulation, however this system may grow larger as it approa-
ches Batanes-Taiwan area. The typhoon is not yet affecting
any land mass at this time as it remains over sea.
+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: The Southwest (SW) Monsoon now
+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: The Southwest (SW) Monsoon now
being enhanced (pulled) slowly by SEPAT. Cloudy skies with
passing light occasional rains with SW'ly winds of 20 km/hr
or higher can be expected today along Visayas and Mindanao -
becoming more frequent over the Western sections. The SW
Monsoon is likely to reach Western Luzon tomorrow or
Thursday. Stay tuned.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 14 AUGUST
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 16.1º N...LONGITUDE 130.2º E
DISTANCE 1: 865 KM (467 NM) EAST OF CASIGURAN, AURORA, PH
DISTANCE 2: 920 KM (497 NM) ESE OF TUGUEGARAO CITY, PH
DISTANCE 3: 940 KM (507 NM) ESE OF APARRI, CAGAYAN, PH
DISTANCE 4: 995 KM (537 NM) SE OF BASCO, BATANES
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 160 KM/HR (85 KTS)DISTANCE 4: 995 KM (537 NM) SE OF BASCO, BATANES
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 195 KM/HR (105 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY TWO (2)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 959 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WEST @ 17 KM/HR (09 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: BATANES-TAIWAN AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 630 KM (340 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 28 FEET (8.5 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 5 PM MANILA TIME TUE AUGUST 14
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 15 AUGUST: 16.2N 129.1E / 175-215 KPH / WNW @ 11 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 15 AUGUST: 16.5N 127.9E / 185-230 KPH / WNW @ 11 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 16 AUGUST: 18.2N 125.6E / 195-240 KPH / NW @ 17 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 14 AUGUST POSITION: 16.1N 130.6E.
^TYPHOON (TY) 09W (SEPAT) HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE AND
INTENSIFY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. RECENT MICROWAVE SATE-
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 14 AUGUST POSITION: 16.1N 130.6E.
^TYPHOON (TY) 09W (SEPAT) HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE AND
INTENSIFY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. RECENT MICROWAVE SATE-
LLITE IMAGERY, INCLUDING A 132104Z SSMI 85GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGE, SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED EYE FEATURE. FORWARD TRACK
SPEED HAS INCREASED IN RESPONSE TO A DEVELOPING SUBTRO-
PICAL STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTH...(more)
>> SEPAT {pronounced: se~pa~t}, meaning: A fresh water fish
with small climbing perch, is often found in rivers, swampy
IMAGE, SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED EYE FEATURE. FORWARD TRACK
SPEED HAS INCREASED IN RESPONSE TO A DEVELOPING SUBTRO-
PICAL STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTH...(more)
>> SEPAT {pronounced: se~pa~t}, meaning: A fresh water fish
with small climbing perch, is often found in rivers, swampy
areas with a lot of weeds and paddy fields. Name contributed
by: Malaysia.
_______________________________________________________________________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
by: Malaysia.
____________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 2 PM (06 GMT) 14 AUGUST: 16.2N 130.7E / WEST @ 11 KPH / 120 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website
at: http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website
at: http://www.pagasa.
_______________________________________________________________________
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TY SEPAT (EGAY)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TY SEPAT (EGAY)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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