Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #001
Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W [UNNAMED]
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) WED 08 AUGUST 2007
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) WED 08 AUGUST
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #002 (RELOCATED)
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) WED 08 AUGUST
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #002 (RELOCATED)
_______________________________________________________________________
THE STRONG DISTURBANCE OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA, EAST OF
LUZON HAS STRENGTHENED INTO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W
(UNNAMED)
...RELOCATED FURTHER NORTH AS IT SLOWS DOWN...(UNNAMED)
REMAINS A THREAT TO BATANSE-TAIWAN AREA. THIS DEPRESSION
CONTINUES TO ENHANCE THE SOUTHWEST MONSOON BRINGING
OCCASIONAL RAINS ACROSS LUZON AND WESTERN VISAYAS PAR-
TICULARLY METRO MANILA.
*Note: PAGASA is not yet issuing any warnings on this
system, thus it remains a strong Tropical Disturbance
(Active LPA) on their bulletins. Watch out around 11
AM today, if they upgrade it into a Depression.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: 08W is expected to continue moving
NW'ly for the next 24 hours before turning WNW into
Taiwan. It shall become a Tropical Storm today, passing
just to the NE of the Batanes Group of Islands early
tomorrow morning, Aug 9. The 2 to 3-day forecast shows
08W becoming a minimal Typhoon as it makes landfall
over Taiwan tomorrow evening around 8 PM HK Time and
cross the island nation. It shall be over Taiwan Strait
on Friday morning, Aug 10.
+ EFFECTS: 08W's circulation remains broad with most of
its outer bands affecting the Eastern Coastline of Nor-
thern Luzon. Passing moderate rains and winds can be
expected along the outer bands of this system. Mean-
while, its western Inner Bands is expected to reach
Batanes and the Babuyan Group of Islands late tonight
or early tomorrow morning. These bands may bring gale-
force winds with moderate to heavy rains. Typhoon con-
ditions is likely early Thursday night or Friday mor-
ning over Taiwan if 08W follows its forecast track to-
wards the area. Flash floods and mudslides are imminent
along river banks, low-lying and mountainous areas of
Extreme Northern Luzon. Precautionary measures must
be initiated as the system approaches.
+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: The Southwest (SW) Monsoon
continues to be enhanced by PABUK and Tropical Depression
08W...Cloudy skies with occasional rains with SW'ly winds
*Note: PAGASA is not yet issuing any warnings on this
system, thus it remains a strong Tropical Disturbance
(Active LPA) on their bulletins. Watch out around 11
AM today, if they upgrade it into a Depression.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: 08W is expected to continue moving
NW'ly for the next 24 hours before turning WNW into
Taiwan. It shall become a Tropical Storm today, passing
just to the NE of the Batanes Group of Islands early
tomorrow morning, Aug 9. The 2 to 3-day forecast shows
08W becoming a minimal Typhoon as it makes landfall
over Taiwan tomorrow evening around 8 PM HK Time and
cross the island nation. It shall be over Taiwan Strait
on Friday morning, Aug 10.
+ EFFECTS: 08W's circulation remains broad with most of
its outer bands affecting the Eastern Coastline of Nor-
thern Luzon. Passing moderate rains and winds can be
expected along the outer bands of this system. Mean-
while, its western Inner Bands is expected to reach
Batanes and the Babuyan Group of Islands late tonight
or early tomorrow morning. These bands may bring gale-
force winds with moderate to heavy rains. Typhoon con-
ditions is likely early Thursday night or Friday mor-
ning over Taiwan if 08W follows its forecast track to-
wards the area. Flash floods and mudslides are imminent
along river banks, low-lying and mountainous areas of
Extreme Northern Luzon. Precautionary measures must
be initiated as the system approaches.
+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: The Southwest (SW) Monsoon
continues to be enhanced by PABUK and Tropical Depression
08W...Cloudy skies with occasional rains with SW'ly winds
of 20 km/hr or higher can be expected along Luzon (inclu-
ding Bicol Region) & Visayas - becoming more intense along
the western sections particularly Metro Manila, Zambales,
Bataan, Pangasinan, La Union, Benguet and the Ilocos Pro-
vinces. Mudslides and flooding is likely along river banks,
low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas. Stay
tuned for more Monsoon updates on the next advisory.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 08 AUGUST
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 18.7º N...LONGITUDE 126.4º E
DISTANCE 1: 510 KM (275 NM) ENE OF TUGUEGARAO CITY, PH
DISTANCE 2: 495 KM (267 NM) ENE OF APARRI, CAGAYAN, PH
DISTANCE 3: 500 KM (270 NM) ESE OF BASCO, BATANES
DISTANCE 4: 860 KM (465 NM) SE OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 55 KM/HR (30 KTS)DISTANCE 4: 860 KM (465 NM) SE OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 75 KM/HR (40 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1000 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NW @ 17 KM/HR (09 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: BATANES-TAIWAN AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 500 KM (270 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 10 FEET (3.0 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 2 AM MANILA TIME AUGUST 08
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 72 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 08 AUGUST: 19.6N 125.5E / 65-85 KPH / NW @ 22 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 09 AUGUST: 21.3N 123.6E / 75-95 KPH / NW @ 19 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 10 AUGUST: 23.1N 120.7E / 120-150 KPH / WNW @ 09 KPH
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 08 AUGUST POSITION: 18.4N 126.7E.
^TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 08W (NONAME) HAS CONSOLIDATED
AND STRENGTHENED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS DUE TO STRONG
LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE
ALOFT. THE SYSTEM IS TRACKING GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF SUBTROPICAL RIDGING TO THE NORTH-
EAST AND INTERACTION WITH TROPICAL STORM PABUK (CHEDENG)
TO THE NORTHWEST. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH
THE OUTFLOW FROM TS PABUK HAS INHIBITED RAPID DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM BUT HAS NOT PREVENTED CONSOLIDATION INTO
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. STRONG CONVERGENT BANDING IS EVI-
DENT ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVEC-
TION. A BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS ALSO APPEARED DU-
RING THE PAST FEW HOURS. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED ON THE NORTHWESTERN
SIDE...(more)
_______________________________________________________________________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 08 AUGUST POSITION: 18.4N 126.7E.
^TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 08W (NONAME) HAS CONSOLIDATED
AND STRENGTHENED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS DUE TO STRONG
LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE
ALOFT. THE SYSTEM IS TRACKING GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF SUBTROPICAL RIDGING TO THE NORTH-
EAST AND INTERACTION WITH TROPICAL STORM PABUK (CHEDENG)
TO THE NORTHWEST. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH
THE OUTFLOW FROM TS PABUK HAS INHIBITED RAPID DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM BUT HAS NOT PREVENTED CONSOLIDATION INTO
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. STRONG CONVERGENT BANDING IS EVI-
DENT ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVEC-
TION. A BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS ALSO APPEARED DU-
RING THE PAST FEW HOURS. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER REMAINS PARTIALLY EXPOSED ON THE NORTHWESTERN
SIDE...(more)
____________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 4 AM (20 GMT) 08 AUGUST: XX.XN XXX.XE / XXX @ XX KPH / XXX kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website
at: http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website
at: http://www.pagasa.
_______________________________________________________________________
RECENT TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TD 08W (UNNAMED)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TD 08W (UNNAMED)...
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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