Wednesday, August 08, 2007

TS WUTIP (DODONG) - Update #002


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #002
Name: TROPICAL STORM WUTIP [DODONG/08W/0707] 
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) WED 08 AUGUST 2007
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) THU 09 AUGUST
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #004
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
08W (DODONG) IS NOW NAMED WUTIP AS IT STRENGTHENS INTO A
TROPICAL STORM...NOW PASSING NORTHEAST OF BATANES GROUP
OF ISLANDS. THIS STORM WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE THE
SOUTHWEST MONSOON, BRINGING OCCASIONAL RAINS ACROSS
LUZON AND WESTERN VISAYAS...BECOMING MORE FREQUENT
OVER METRO MANILA AND NEARBY PROVINCES.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: WUTIP is expected to continue moving
NW'ly for the next 24 hours and make landfall over Taiwan
early tomorrow morning, Aug 9 and traverse the island na-
tion before moving back to sea (Taiwan Strait). The 2-day
forecast shows WUTIP making its final landfall over Eas-
tern China tomorrow evening, passing just to the north
of Xiamen, China. The system shall continue moving over-
land, across the rugged terrain of China, dissipating
on the 10th of August (Friday)


+ EFFECTS: WUTIP's broad circulation continues to osci-
llate over the Northern Philippine Sea, with its southern
outer bands affecting Northern Luzon. Moderate to heavy
rains and gusty winds can be expected along the outer
bands of this system. Meanwhile, its western Inner Bands
are now affecting Batanes and the Babuyan Group of Is-
lands. These bands may bring gale-force winds with mode-
rate to heavy rains. Flash floods and mudslides are immi-
nent along river banks, low-lying and mountainous areas
of Northern Luzon. Precautionary measures must be initia-
ted as the system approaches.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: The Southwest (SW) Monsoon
remains strong as it is being enhanced by WUTIP...Cloudy
skies with occasional rains with SW'ly winds of 20 km/hr
or higher can be expected along Luzon (including Bicol
Region) & Visayas - becoming more frequent along the wes-
tern sections particularly Metro Manila, Zambales, Bataan,
Pangasinan, La Union, Benguet, Mindoro and the Ilocos Pro-
vinces. Mudslides and flooding is likely along river banks,
low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas. Stay
tuned for more Monsoon updates on the next advisory.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 08 AUGUST
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 21.4º N...LONGITUDE 123.3º E
DISTANCE 1: 170 KM (92
NM) NE OF BASCO, BATANES, PH
DISTANCE 2: 375 KM (202 NM) NNE OF APARRI, CAGAYAN, PH
DISTANCE 3: 340 KM (183 NM) SSE OF HUALIEN, TAIWAN
DISTANCE 4: 435 KM (235 NM) SSE OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 65 KM/HR (35 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 85 KM/HR (45 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 996 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NW @ 33 KM/HR (18 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: TAIWAN AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 760 KM (410 NM)/LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 12 FEET (3.6 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 2 PM MANILA TIME WED AUGUST 08
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 48 HRS LEAD
  

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#01 -
BATANES & BABUYAN GROUP OF ISLANDS.
           
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 09 AUGUST: 22.6N 121.7E / 75-95 KPH / NW @ 22 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 09 AUGUST: 24.0N 119.6E / 75-95 KPH / NW @ 20 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 10 AUGUST: 26.1N 115.6E / 35-55 KPH / WNW @ 19 KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 08 AUGUST POSITION: 21.0N 123.8E.
^THE SYSTEM CENTER HAS REMAINED BROAD WITH MULTIPLE CIRC-
ULATIONS CLEARLY EVIDENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY ROTATING
CYCLONICALLY AROUND A CENTROID. THE PREVIOUS WARNING WAS
RELOCATED EAST-NORTHEAST ABOUT 95 NM AND WAS POSITIONED
BASED ON THE ESTIMATED POSITION OF THE CENTROID AND AS
WELL AS PROXIMITY TO CURVED DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING SOUTH
OF THE CENTER. THIS WARNING MAINTAINS THIS REASONING AND
IS SUPPORTED BY ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY
...(more)
_______________________________________________________________________

PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.): 
> 4 PM (08 GMT) 08 AUGUST: 20.8N 123.4E / NW @ 19 KPH / 65 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website 
   at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
_______________________________________________________________________


RECENT TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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For the complete details on TS WUTIP (DODONG)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
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