Sunday, August 05, 2007

Tropical Depression (TD) 06W - Update #04


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #004 
Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W [UNNAMED] 
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) SUN 05 AUGUST 2007
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) SUN 05 AUGUST
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #009
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
06W (UNNAMED) HAS WEAKENED INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WHILE
HUGGING THE COAST OF VIETNAM...UNFAVORABLE ATMOSPHERIC CON-
DITIONS OVER SOUTH CHINA SEA, DISPLACED THE SYSTEM'S CON-
VECTIVE RAIN CLOUDS OVER CENTRAL VIETNAM.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: 06W is expected to turn to the NW pa-
ssing over Central Vietnam in the next 3 days, and
dissipate


+ EFFECTS: 06W's circulation has become disorganized and
is now spreading across Thailand, Cambodia, Laos, Vietnam
& portions of Hainan Island. The weak convective outer
bands will continue to bring scattered moderate to heavy
rains over the area, most especially Central Vietnam.
Flash floods and mudslides are imminent along river
banks, low-lying and mountainous areas of the affected
areas of IndoChina. Precautionary measures must be
implemented on the possible effects of this depression
.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY:  Southwest (SW) Monsoon
continues to be enhanced by a developing Tropical Cy-
clone over NW of Guam & TD 06W located over the South
China Sea...Cloudy skies with possible intermittent
passing rains or thunderstorms with SW'ly winds of
10 km/hr or higher can be expected along the western
sections of Southern Luzon, Visayas & Mindanao parti-
cularly the western sections. This monsoon system may
reach Luzon in the next few days.

+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH:  A strong Tropical Distur-
bance (98W/LPA/1005 MB) is rapidly developing NW of
Guam or about 1,635 km. East of Aparri, Cagayan
(18.5N 137.2E)...with max sustained winds of 30
km/hr. This new system has been drifting Westward
towards the Northern Philippine Sea and may likely
become a Tropical Cyclone within the next 12 to
24 hours.
 
Meanwhile, another Tropical Disturbance (LPA/1006 MB)
is trying to form to the East of Samar about 590 km.
ESE of Catarman, Samar (12.0N 130.0E), however since
this system is weak, there is a strong possibility
that it will merge into the strong circulation of
the other disturbance located northeast of it.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 05 AUGUST
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 14.2º N...LONGITUDE 109.7º E
DISTANCE 1: 220 KM (120 NM) NNE OF NHA TRANG, VIETNAM
DISTANCE 2: 265 KM (142 NM) SSE OF DA NANG, VIETNAM
DISTANCE 3: 445 KM (240 NM) SOUTH OF SANYA, HAINAN IS.
DISTANCE 4: 1,220 KM (660 NM) WEST OF METRO MANILA, PH
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 55 KM/HR (30 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 75 KM/HR (40 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1000 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WEST @ 04 KM/HR (02 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: VIETNAM
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 400 KM (215 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 12 FEET (3.6 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM HKT SUN AUGUST 05
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 72 HRS LEAD
  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 05 AUGUST: 14.4N 109.4E / 55-75 KPH / NW @ 11 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 06 AUGUST: 15.3N 108.7E / 45-65 KPH / NW @ 13 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 07 AUGUST: 17.3N 106.7E / 45-65 KPH / NW @ 11 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 05 AUGUST POSITION: 14.1N 109.8E.
^TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 06W (NONAME) CONTINUES TO SEE BURSTS
OF CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC). THE TRACK SPEED AS SLOWED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, AND THE
LLCC HAS REMAINED OFF SHORE..
.(more info)

_______________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________

RECENT TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh...noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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For the complete details on TD 06W (UNNAMED)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
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