Tuesday, August 14, 2007

TS SEPAT (EGAY) - Update #003


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #003
Name: TROPICAL STORM SEPAT [EGAY/09W/0708] 
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) TUE 14 AUGUST 2007
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) TUE 14 AUGUST
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #007
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
TROPICAL STORM SEPAT (EGAY) NEARS TYPHOON THRESHOLD AS IT
GATHERS MORE STRENGTH OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA...ITS THREAT
TO EXTREME NORTHERN LUZON AND TAIWAN CONTINUES.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: SEPAT is expected to turn WNW within
the next 24 hours and become a Typhoon today. The 3 to
5-day forecast calls for SEPAT to accelerate NW'ly over
the Philippine Sea, in the direction of Batanes-Taiwan
Area. It shall reach the coast of Southern Taiwan on
Friday evening or Saturday morning, Aug 18 with pro-
jected wind speed of 185-km/hr (Category 3 Typhoon)

+ EFFECTS: SEPAT remains an average-sized system with
compact circulation...not yet affecting any land mass
at this time as it remains over sea
.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: The Southwest (SW) Monsoon
now slowly being enhanced (pulled) by SEPAT. Cloudy skies
with passing light occasional rains with SW'ly winds of
20 km/hr or higher can be expected today along Southern
Visayas and Mindanao - becoming more frequent over the
Western sections. The SW Monsoon is likely to reach
Western Luzon by tomorrow or Thursday.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 14 AUGUST
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 16.5º N...LONGITUDE 131.7º E
DISTANCE 1: 1,025 KM (555
NM) ENE OF CASIGURAN, AURORA, PH
DISTANCE 2: 1,070 KM (580 NM) ESE OF TUGUEGARAO CITY, PH
DISTANCE 3: 1,080 KM (583 NM) ESE OF APARRI, CAGAYAN, PH
DISTANCE 4: 1,115 KM (600 NM) ESE OF BASCO, BATANES
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 110 KM/HR (60 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 140 KM/HR (75 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 978 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WEST @ 19 KM/HR (10 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: BATANES-TAIWAN AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 465 KM (250 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 21 FEET (6.4 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 5 AM MANILA TIME TUE AUGUST 14
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 14 AUGUST: 16.6N 130.5E / 130-160 KPH / WNW @ 13 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 15 AUGUST: 16.9N 129.1E / 150-185 KPH / WNW @ 15 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 16 AUGUST: 18.6N 126.3E / 165-205 KPH / NW @ 13 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 14 AUGUST POSITION: 16.5N 132.1E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) SEPAT HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE AND
INTENSIFY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE
IMAGERY, INCLUDING MICROWAVE IMAGERIES, SHOW WELL-DEFINED
CONVECTIVE BANDING FEATURES, INCLUDING A CLEAR BANDING EYE.
FORWARD TRACK SPEED HAS INCREASED IN RESPONSE TO A DEVELOPING
SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTH
...(more)

>> SEPAT {pronounced: se~pa~t}, meaning: A fresh water fish 
   with small climbing perch, is often found in rivers, swampy
   areas with a lot of weeds and paddy fields. Name contributed 
   by:
Malaysia.

_______________________________________________________________________

PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.): 
> 2 AM (18 GMT) 14 AUGUST: 16.6N 132.4E / WEST @ 15 KPH / 95 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website 
   at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
_______________________________________________________________________


RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TS SEPAT (EGAY)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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