Thursday, August 09, 2007

TS PABUK (CHEDENG) - Update #08


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #008
Name: TROPICAL STORM PABUK [CHEDENG/07W/0706] 
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) THU 09 AUGUST 2007
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) THU 09 AUGUST
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #015
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
TROPICAL STORM PABUK (CHEDENG) JUST PASSED DIRECTLY OVER
HONG KONG A COUPLE OF HOURS AGO...APPROACHING MACAU. STRONG
WINDS AND RAINS EXPECTED.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: PABUK is expected to make landfall over
Macau this morning. It shall start to dissipate along Western
Guangdong this afternoon


+ EFFECTS: PABUK's circulation has shrunked considerably
into a small-sized TC and is now affecting Hong Kong-Macau
area and portions of Western Guangdong. Flash floods and
mudslides are imminent along river banks, low-lying and
mountainous areas of Western Guangdong. Precautionary
measures must remain on alert as the storm passes by.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 09 AUGUST
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 22.3º N...LONGITUDE 114.0º E
DISTANCE 1: 20 KM (11
NM) WEST OF HONG KONG, CHINA
DISTANCE 2: 45 KM (25 NM) EAST OF MACAU, CHINA
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 65 KM/HR (35 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 85 KM/HR (45 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 996 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WEST @ 28 KM/HR (15 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: MACAU-WESTERN GUANGDONG AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 220 KM (120 NM)/SMALL
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 11 FEET (3.3 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 2 AM MANILA TIME AUGUST 09
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 24 HRS LEAD
  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12 & 24 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 09 AUGUST: 22.3N 112.6E / 45-65 KPH / W @ 07 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 10 AUGUST: 22.3N 111.7E / 35-55 KPH / W @ 07 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 09 AUGUST POSITION: 22.3N 114.5E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (PABUK) HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY
OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS DUE TO INCREASING VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY, INCLUDING A MICROWAVE
PASS, SHOW THAT DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE
SYSTEM HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY MORE
DISORGANIZED..
.(more)

>> PABUK {pronounced: pa~book}, meaning: Big fresh water fish. 
  
Name contributed by: Lao PDR.

_______________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________

RECENT TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TS PABUK (CHEDENG)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

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