Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #010 **FINAL**
Name: TROPICAL STORM USAGI [05W/0705]
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) FRI 03 AUGUST 2007
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #024
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #024
_______________________________________________________________________
USAGI (05W) WEAKENS INTO A TROPICAL STORM...TO BECOME
AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE TOMORROW.
**THIS IS THE FINAL UPDATE ON THIS SYSTEM...PLEASE REFER
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W FOR MORE UPDATES.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: USAGI will continue accelerating to-**THIS IS THE FINAL UPDATE ON THIS SYSTEM...PLEASE REFER
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W FOR MORE UPDATES.
wards the NE to ENE'ly as it becomes Extratropical Cyclone
in 24 hours. The 36-hour forecast shows the system moving
fast across the Sea of Japan and becoming Extratropical
upon crossing Hokkaido, Japan tomorrow afternoon, Aug 4.
+ EFFECTS: USAGI's circulation continues to weaken and re-
mains over the Sea of Japan. Inner bands continues to spread
across the coast of NW Honshu...while its outer bands spreads
across the Sea of Japan, Southwestern Japan & Northern Hon-
shu. Flash floods and mudslides are imminent along river
banks, low-lying and mountainous areas of the affected areas
of SW Japan.
+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Southwest (SW) Monsoon is now
starting to be enhanced by a developing LPA over the Pacific
Ocean north of Palau Island & TD 06W...Cloudy skies with po-
ssible intermittent passing rains or thunderstorms with SW'ly
winds of 10 km/hr or higher can be expected along the western
sections of Visayas & Mindanao particularly Western Zamboanga,
Palawan, Western Panay & Western Negros. This monsoon system
is expected to reach Luzon next week.
+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: The European Centre for Medium-Range
Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) continues to forecast the formation
of a Tropical Cyclone around August 7 or 8. During the latest
run of the model forecast (8 AM Aug 03), it showed the system
forming over the Philippine Sea, just to the East of Luzon -
then heading WNW to NW in the direction of Taiwan as a Tro-
pical Storm between Aug 9 to 10. This potential storm shall
enhance the Southwest Monsoon and bring moderate to heavy
rains over Luzon particularly the western portions. If this
happens, it may bring relief to the dry areas of Luzon par-
ticularly over Angat Dam and other reservoirs. This scenario
remains supported by the Global Tropics Benefits/Hazard
Assessment of NOAA. Watch out for continued updates on
this potential systems.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 03 AUGUST
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 37.9º N...LONGITUDE 134.5º E
DISTANCE 1: 360 KM (195 NM) NNE OF OKAYAMA, JAPAN
DISTANCE 2: 405 KM (220 NM) WEST OF NIIGATA, JAPAN
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 95 KM/HR (50 KTS)PEAK WIND GUSTS: 120 KM/HR (65 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 985 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NE @ 37 KM/HR (20 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SEA OF JAPAN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 520 KM (280 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 16 FEET (4.8 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 3 PM JST FRI AUGUST 03
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 72 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
12, 24 & 36 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 04 AUGUST: 39.9N 137.3E / 75-95 KPH / ENE @ 39 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 04 AUGUST: 42.0N 142.1E / 65-85 KPH / ENE @ 42 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 05 AUGUST: 43.4N 148.0E / 55-75 KPH / ENE @ 42 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 03 AUGUST POSITION: 37.2N 133.6E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W - DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON -
EMERGED OVER THE SEA OF JAPAN AFTER CROSSING SOUTH-
WESTERN HONSHU. THE STORM CONTINUES TO WEAKEN UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND
COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. RECENT WATER VAPOR
AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL A SIGNIFICANT
DISSIPATION OF DEEP CONVECTION DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS.
INTERACTION WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE TO THE NORTH AND
WEST OF THE STORM CENTER HAS INDUCED EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION...(more info)
>> USAGI {pronounced: usa-gi}, meaning: Lepus (rabbit).
Name contributed by: Japan.
____________
____________
RECENT TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh..noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TS USAGI (05W)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TS USAGI (05W)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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