Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #002
Name: TROPICAL STORM PABUK [CHEDENG/07W/0706]
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) MON 06 AUGUST 2007
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) MON 06 AUGUST
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #003
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) MON 06 AUGUST
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #003
_______________________________________________________________________
TROPICAL STORM PABUK (CHEDENG) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT
TURNS WESTWARD OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA...THREATENS TAIWAN-
BATANES AREA. THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO ENHANCE THE SOUTH-
WEST MONSOON AND BRING MONSOON RAINS ACROSS LUZON IN THE
COMING DAYS.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: PABUK is expected to resume its WNW and track in the direction of Northern Taiwan, becoming a 120-
km/hr Typhoon early tomorrow morning, Aug 7. The 2 to 5-day
forecast shows PABUK accelerating further becoming a 175-
km/hr Category 2 Typhoon before passing close to the north
of Taiwan on Wednesday morning, Aug 08. This potential ty-
phoon shall make landfall over Eastern China, just to the
north of Wenzhou, China on Wednesday evening, Aug 08 or
early Thursday morning, Aug 9 as a downgraded Category 1
Typhoon (120 km/hr). It shall track NW'ly across Eastern
to NE China and dissipate early Saturday morning, Aug 10.
+ EFFECTS: PABUK's circulation continues to consolidate.
As of the moment, the large circulation remains over the
Northern Philippine Sea only affecting various shipping
lines.
+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: The Southwest (SW) Monsoon
is now starting to be enhanced by PABUK...Cloudy skies
with possible intermittent passing rains or thunderstorms
with SW'ly winds of 15 km/hr or higher can be expected
along the western sections of Southern Luzon (including
Bicol Region), Visayas & Mindanao particularly the wes-
tern sections. This monsoon system may reach Northern &
Central Luzon tomorrow or Wednesday. Meanwhile, strong
Thunderstorms can be expected again over Luzon this
afternoon until early evening, bringing moderate to
heavy rains.
+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: Refer to TD 06W for more up-
dates.
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 06 AUGUST
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 20.4º N...LONGITUDE 132.6º E
DISTANCE 1: 825 KM (445 NM) SE OF OKINAWA, JAPAN
DISTANCE 2: 1,115 KM (600 NM) EAST OF BASCO, BATANES, PH
DISTANCE 3: 1,165 KM (630 NM) ENE OF APARRI, CAGAYAN, PH
DISTANCE 4: 1,240 KM (670 NM) SE OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 85 KM/HR (45 KTS)DISTANCE 4: 1,240 KM (670 NM) SE OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 100 KM/HR (55 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 992 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WEST @ 19 KM/HR (10 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: TAIWAN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 445 KM (240 NM)/ AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 12 FEET (3.6 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 2 AM MANILA TIME AUGUST 06
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 06 AUGUST: 20.9N 130.6E / 100-130 KPH / WNW @ 24 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 07 AUGUST: 21.8N 128.0E / 120-150 KPH / WNW @ 24 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 08 AUGUST: 24.2N 123.5E / 175-215 KPH / NW @ 24 KPH
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 06 AUGUST POSITION: 20.2N 133.2E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (PABUK) HAS UNDERGONE CONSIDERABLE
DEVELOPMENT OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULA-
TION CENTER (LLCC) HAS CONSOLIDATED UNDER THE MAIN CONVEC-
TION WITH CONVERGENT BANDS WRAPPING IN FROM THE SOUTHEAS-
TERN QUADRANT. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE LLCC UNDER THE CENTRAL CONVECTION,
WHILE A MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS CONVECTION FLARING ON THE
SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE LLCC...(more)
>> PABUK {pronounced: pa~book}, meaning: Big fresh water fish.
Name contributed by: Lao PDR.
_______________________________________________________________________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 06 AUGUST POSITION: 20.2N 133.2E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) 07W (PABUK) HAS UNDERGONE CONSIDERABLE
DEVELOPMENT OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULA-
TION CENTER (LLCC) HAS CONSOLIDATED UNDER THE MAIN CONVEC-
TION WITH CONVERGENT BANDS WRAPPING IN FROM THE SOUTHEAS-
TERN QUADRANT. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THE LLCC UNDER THE CENTRAL CONVECTION,
WHILE A MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS CONVECTION FLARING ON THE
SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE LLCC...(more)
>> PABUK {pronounced: pa~book}, meaning: Big fresh water fish.
Name contributed by: Lao PDR.
____________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 2 AM (18 GMT) 06 AUGUST: 20.2N 133.0E / WNW @ 19 KPH / 95 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website
at: http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website
at: http://www.pagasa.
_______________________________________________________________________
RECENT TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TS PABUK (CHEDENG)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TS PABUK (CHEDENG)...
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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