Monday, August 13, 2007

TS SEPAT (EGAY) - Update #002


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #002
Name: TROPICAL STORM SEPAT [EGAY/09W/0708] 
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) MON 13 AUGUST 2007
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) TUE 14 AUGUST
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #005
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
TROPICAL STORM SEPAT (EGAY) INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES
WEST-SOUTHWEST SLOWLY...THREATENS EXTREME NORTHERN LUZON-
TAIWAN AREA. MAY BECOME A TYPHOON TONIGHT.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: SEPAT is expected to continue moving
WSW'ly to Westerly under weak steering flow, as the high
pressure ridge re-establishes North of this system and will
be the dominant steering factor in the coming days. SEPAT is
likely to strengthen into a full-blown typhoon tonight. The 3
to 5-day forecast calls for SEPAT to accelerate NW'ly over the
Philippine Sea, in the direction of Batanes-Taiwan Area. It
shall reach the coast of Eastern Taiwan on Saturday morning,
Aug 18 as a 195-km/hr Category 3 Typhoon

+ EFFECTS: SEPAT is now an average-sized system as its circu-
lation expands...not yet affecting any land mass at this time
as it remains over sea.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: The Southwest (SW) Monsoon now
being enhanced (pulled) by SEPAT. Cloudy skies with passing
light occasional rains with SW'ly winds of 20 km/hr or
higher can be expected tomorrow along Southern Luzon, Bicol
Region, Visayas and Mindanao - becoming more frequent over
the Western sections. The SW Monsoon is likely to reach
Northern and Central Luzon by Wednesday or Thursday.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 13 AUGUST
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 16.6º N...LONGITUDE 133.4º E
DISTANCE 1: 1,205 KM (650
NM) ENE OF CASIGURAN, AURORA, PH
DISTANCE 2: 1,250 KM (675 NM) ESE OF TUGUEGARAO CITY, PH
DISTANCE 3: 1,255 KM (678 NM) ESE OF APARRI, CAGAYAN, PH
DISTANCE 4: 1,275 KM (690 NM) ESE OF BASCO, BATANES
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 100 KM/HR (55 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 130 KM/HR (70 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 983 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WSW @ 13 KM/HR (07 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: BATANES-TAIWAN AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 425 KM (230 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 17 FEET (5.1 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 5 PM MANILA TIME MON AUGUST 13
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 14 AUGUST: 16.5N 132.4E / 120-150 KPH / W @ 11 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 14 AUGUST: 16.5N 131.1E / 140-165 KPH / W @ 11 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 15 AUGUST: 16.9N 128.5E / 165-205 KPH / NW @ 13 KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 13 AUGUST POSITION: 16.6N 133.8E.
^
...(more)

>> SEPAT {pronounced: se~pa~t}, meaning: A fresh water fish 
   with small climbing perch, is often found in rivers, swampy
   areas with a lot of weeds and paddy fields. Name contributed 
   by:
Malaysia.

_______________________________________________________________________

PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.): 
> 2 PM (06 GMT) 13 AUGUST: 16.6N 133.7E / WEST @ 15 KPH / 65 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website 
   at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
_______________________________________________________________________


RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

:: Typhoon2000.com (T2K) Mobile >> Powered by: Synermaxx
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800
(GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN) 
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TS SEPAT (EGAY)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


__._,_.___
Recent Activity
Visit Your Group
SPONSORED LINKS
Travel Deals

Take a Trip Now

Yahoo! Travel

makes it easy

Yoga Resources

on Yahoo! Groups

Take the stress

out of your life.

Fitness Edge

on Yahoo! Groups

Learn how to

increase endurance.

.

__,_._,___

No comments: