Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #008
Name: SUPER TYPHOON SEPAT [EGAY/09W/0708]
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) THU 16 AUGUST 2007
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) FRI 17 AUGUST
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #017
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) FRI 17 AUGUST
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #017
_______________________________________________________________________
SUPER TYPHOON SEPAT (EGAY) REMAINS EXTREMELY CATASTROPHIC
WITH ITS CORE HEADING DANGEROUSLY TOWARDS BATANES-TAIWANAREA. THIS TYPHOON IS ENHANCING HEAVY MONSOON RAINS ACROSS
WESTERN MINDORO, WESTERN VISAYAS ESPECIALLY WESTERN PANAY
INCLUDING BORACAY ISLAND RESORT.
*SEPAT continues to display a cloud-free, 30-km. diameter Eye
*SEPAT continues to display a cloud-free, 30-km. diameter Eye
- with intense, central convective shield (from the EyeWall
thru the Inner Bands) measuring approx. 250 km across.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: SEPAT is expected to maintain its Ca-
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: SEPAT is expected to maintain its Ca-
tegory 5 strength of 260 km/hr for the next 24 hours and
shall pass close to the northeast of Batanes Group of Is-
lands by tomorrow afternoon (Aug 17) and approach the
Southeastern Coast of Taiwan early Saturday morning before
making landfall over the island nation around 3-4 AM HK
time (Sat 18 Aug). The 2 to 4-day forecast shows SEPAT
exiting the Southwestern Coast of Taiwan Saturday afternoon
Aug 18 after crossing the island nation. The typhoon shall
cross Taiwan Strait and make its last landfall over South-
eastern China late Saturday evening or early morning Sunday
(Aug 19) - passing over or very close to Xiamen City as a
downgraded Category 1 Typhoon. This system shall dissipate
off the mountainous region of China on Monday afternoon,
Aug 20.
+ EFFECTS: SEPAT's western outer bands continues to spread
+ EFFECTS: SEPAT's western outer bands continues to spread
across the provinces of Ilocos Norte, Batanes Group, Cagayan,
Isabela and Northern Aurora. Cloudy skies with passing occa-
sionally light to sometimes heavy rainfall and strong winds
of up to 60 km/hr can be expected along these bands. Large
waves can be expected along the coastline of Eastern Luzon
(from Cagayan down to Bicol Peninsula). Stormy weather con-
ditions is likely to prevail tomorrow over Babuyan and Bata-
nes Group of Islands as the typhoon's inner spiral bands
approaches. Coastal Storm Surge flooding of more than 20
feet above normal tide levels...along with large and dange-
rous battering waves can be expected near and to the north
of SEPAT's projected path particularly along the Southern
and Eastern Coast of Taiwan including the Batanes Group.
Flash floods and mudslides are imminent along river banks,
low-lying and mountainous regions of the affected areas.
Precautionary measures must be initiated as the powerful
system moves closer.
+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: The Southwest (SW) Monsoon
+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: The Southwest (SW) Monsoon
continues to be enhanced (pulled) by SEPAT. Cloudy skies
with passing light to moderate to sometimes heavy rains &
SW'ly winds of 20 km/hr or higher can be expected today
along Luzon and Visayas - becoming more frequent & intense
over the Western sections including Metro Manila, Southern
Tagalog Provinces, Mindoro, Calamian Group, & Western Panay.
Mudslides and flooding is likely along river banks,
low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 16 AUGUST
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 18.3º N...LONGITUDE 125.8º E
DISTANCE 1: 455 KM (245 NM) NE OF CASIGURAN, AURORA, PH
DISTANCE 2: 440 KM (237 NM) ENE OF TUGUEGARAO CITY, PH
DISTANCE 3: 435 KM (235 NM) EAST OF APARRI, CAGAYAN, PH
DISTANCE 4: 470 KM (253 NM) SE OF BASCO, BATANES
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 260 KM/HR (140 KTS)DISTANCE 4: 470 KM (253 NM) SE OF BASCO, BATANES
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 315 KM/HR (170 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY FIVE (5)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 918 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NNW @ 15 KM/HR (08 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: BATANES-TAIWAN AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 815 KM (440 NM)/LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 46 FEET (14.0 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 5 PM MANILA TIME THU AUGUST 16
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 96 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#02 - BATANES GROUP OF ISLANDS.
#01 - BABUYAN ISLANDS, CATANDUANES, CAGAYAN & ISABELA.
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 17 AUGUST: 19.4N 124.8E / 260-315 KPH / NW @ 20 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 17 AUGUST: 21.0N 123.2E / 260-315 KPH / NW @ 20 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 18 AUGUST: 23.8N 119.6E / 165-215 KPH / WNW @ 17 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 16 AUGUST POSITION: 17.9N 126.1E.
^SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 09W (SEPAT) HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY OVER
THE PAST 12 HOURS, BUT THE EYE TEMPERATURE HAS COOLED SOMEWHAT
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 16 AUGUST POSITION: 17.9N 126.1E.
^SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 09W (SEPAT) HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY OVER
THE PAST 12 HOURS, BUT THE EYE TEMPERATURE HAS COOLED SOMEWHAT
FROM FIXES 03 HOURS AGO. OVERALL, STY 09W HAS MAINTAINED INTEN-
SITY SINCE 2AM AUG 16, OBTAINING A PEAK INTENSITY BETWEEN 2AM AUG
15 AND 8AM AUG 16. THE STORM HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT NEARLY
15 AND 8AM AUG 16. THE STORM HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT NEARLY
08 KNOTS ALONG THE SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL STEERING
RIDGE OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND HAS MAINTAINED A CLOUD FREE
EYE...(more)
>> SEPAT {pronounced: se~pa~t}, meaning: A fresh water fish
with small climbing perch, is often found in rivers, swampy
>> SEPAT {pronounced: se~pa~t}, meaning: A fresh water fish
with small climbing perch, is often found in rivers, swampy
areas with a lot of weeds and paddy fields. Name contributed
by: Malaysia.
_______________________________________________________________________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
by: Malaysia.
____________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 4 PM (08 GMT) 16 AUGUST: 18.1N 126.0E / NW @ 15 KPH / 215 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website
at: http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website
at: http://www.pagasa.
_______________________________________________________________________
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA Satellite Page (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: NOAA Satellite Page (http://www.ssd.
____________
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on STY SEPAT (EGAY)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on STY SEPAT (EGAY)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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