Thursday, August 09, 2007

Typhoon PABUK (CHEDENG) - Update #07


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #007
Name: TROPICAL STORM PABUK [CHEDENG/07W/0706] 
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) WED 08 AUGUST 2007
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) WED 08 AUGUST
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #013
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
PABUK (CHEDENG) DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM AS IT SLOWED
DOWN...ON ITS WAY TO SOUTHERN CHINA-HONG KONG AREA.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: PABUK is expected to make landfall over
Macau tomorrow morning around 8 AM HK Time, after passing
directly over Hong Kong around 4 or 5 AM. Tomorrow after-
noon, PABUK is forecast to weaken over Southwestern China
and dissipate early Friday morning, Aug 10


+ EFFECTS: PABUK's circulation continues to deteriorate
with just a few convection near its center. However,
since convection can regenerate overnight, the storm can
still bring moderate rains and winds over Southern China
tonight until tomorrow. Coastal Storm Surge flooding of
1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels...along with large
and dangerous battering waves can be expected near and
to the north of PABUK's projected path particularly the
along the Southern Coast of China. Flash floods and mud-
slides are imminent along river banks, low-lying and
mountainous areas of Southern China. Precautionary
measures must be initiated as the storm approaches.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 08 AUGUST
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 22.4º N...LONGITUDE 116.8º E
DISTANCE 1: 110 KM (60
NM) SOUTH OF SHANTOU, CHINA
DISTANCE 2: 270 KM (145 NM) EAST OF HONG KONG, CHINA
DISTANCE 3: 330 KM (178 NM) EAST OF MACAU, CHINA
DISTANCE 4: 360 KM (195 NM) WEST OF KAOSHIUNG, TAIWAN
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 100 KM/HR (55 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 130 KM/HR (70 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 982 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WEST @ 19 KM/HR (10 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: HONG KONG-CHINA AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 405 KM (220 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 18 FEET (5.4 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 2 PM MANILA TIME AUGUST 08
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 36 HRS LEAD
  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12 & 24 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 09 AUGUST: 22.3N 114.7E / 85-100 KPH / W @ 22 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 09 AUGUST: 22.1N 112.2E / 65-85 KPH / W @ 20 KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 09 AUGUST POSITION: 22.4N 117.5E.
^..
.(more)

>> PABUK {pronounced: pa~book}, meaning: Big fresh water fish. 
  
Name contributed by: Lao PDR.

_______________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________

RECENT TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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For the complete details on TS PABUK (CHEDENG)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

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