Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TS YAGI (DANTE) Update #007

for Tuesday, 11 June 2013 [9:13 AM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL STORM YAGI (DANTE) UPDATE NUMBER 007
Issued: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Tuesday 11 Jun 2013
Next Update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Tuesday 11 Jun 2013

Tropical Storm YAGI (DANTE) has gained a little bit of strength as it left the Philippine Area of Resposnibility (PAR) last night.

Residents and visitors along Southern Japan should closely monitor the development of YAGI (DANTE).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This update is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your national weather agency for official warnings, advisories or bulletins.

CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS

As of 5:00 am today, the center of Tropical Storm Yagi (Dante) was located over the Northwest Pacific Ocean...about 478 km west of Bonin Island or 836 km east of Okinawa, Japan...currently moving north-northeast with an increased forward speed of 28 km/hr in the general direction of the Sea South of Japan.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have increased to 95 km/hr near the center with higher gusts. Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-95 km/hr) extend outward up to 175 kilometers from the center. Yagi (Dante) is an average-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 555 kilometers across. The 24-hour rainfall accumulation near the center of Yagi (Dante) is estimated to be heavy (220 mm).

3-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

TS Yagi (Dante) is expected to continue moving north-northeast during the next 24 to 36 hours, with a turn to the east-northeast, east to southeast between 48 to 72 hours. On the forecast track, the core of Yagi (Dante) will be just along the open waters of the Northwest Pacific, south of Japan through Friday morning.

Yagi (Dante) is forecast to start losing strength during the next 24 to 48 hours...and will dissipate into an area of low pressure on Friday morning.

The following is the summary of the 3-day forecast outlook on this system:

WEDNESDAY MORNING: Moving north-northeast across the open waters of the Northwest Pacific Ocean...about 388 km south-southeast of Tanabe, Japan [6AM JUN 12: 30.8N 137.5E @ 65kph].
THURSDAY MORNING: Starts to weaken and decelerate while over the sea south of Japan...begins to move east-northeast to eastward...about 450 km south-southwest of Tokyo, Japan [6AM JUN 13: 31.8N 138.4E @ 45kph].
FRIDAY MORNING: Dissipating over the Northwest Pacific Ocean...just an area of low pressure...about 514 km south-southwest of Tokyo, Japan [6AM JUN 14: 31.1N 139.1E @ 35kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas. You can also view this image link for you to understand the parts.

INNER RAINBANDS - over water (NW Pacific Ocean). Affected Areas: None. Tropical Storm Conditions with Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-120 kph) will be expected along these bands.
OUTER RAINBANDS - over water (NW Pacific Ocean). Affected Areas: None. Tropical Depression Conditions with light, moderate to strong winds (30-60 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 100 mm (slight to heavy rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 101 to 220 mm (heavy) along areas to the south and near the center of Yagi (Dante).

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Tue June 11, 2013
Class/Name: TS Yagi (Dante)
Location of Center: 26.5º N Lat 136.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 478 km W of Bonin Island
Distance 2: 815 km S of Tanabe, Japan
Distance 3: 820 km SSE of Kochi, Japan
Distance 4: 836 km E of Okinawa, Japan
Distance 5: 1,593 km ENE of Basco, Batanes
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 95 kph near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 120 kph
Present Movement: NNE @ 28 kph
Towards: Sea South of Japan
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): Heavy [220 mm]
Minimum Central Pressure: 985 millibars (hPa)
Size (in Diameter): 555 km [Average]
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 19 feet
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft (0 m)
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF | Google Map (Flash)

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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:

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CURRENT TRACKING MAP:

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NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS YAGI (DANTE)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

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