Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TD LEEPI (EMONG) Final Update

for Friday, 21 June 2013 [9:49 AM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL STORM LEEPI (EMONG) UPDATE NUMBER 010 [FINAL]
Issued: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Friday 21 June 2013

Tropical Depression LEEPI [EMONG] downgraded from a Tropical Storm...approaching the west coast of Kyushu, Japan.

Residents and visitors along Western & Central Japan should closely monitor the development of LEEPI (EMONG).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This update is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your national weather agency for official warnings, advisories or bulletins.

CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS

As of 5:00 am today, the center of TD Leepi (Emong) was located over the East China Sea...about 167 km south of Jeju Island, South Korea or 321 km west-southwest of Nagasaki, Japan...currently moving north-northeast to northeast with a decreased forward speed of 26 km/hr in the general direction of Kyushu, Japan.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have decreased to 45 km/hr near the center with higher gusts. Leepi (Emong) is a large-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 740 kilometers across. The 24-hour rainfall accumulation near the center of Leepi (Emong) is estimated to be heavy (200 mm).

1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

TD Leepi (Emong) is expected to move rapidly east-northeast within the next 12 to 24 hours. On the forecast track, the core of Leepi (Emong) will make landfall over Western Kyushu...near the city of Sasebo before or after noon today...and will traverse Shikoku and Southern Honshu late this afternoon or evening.

Leepi (Emong) is forecast to maintain its strength during the next 24 hours...and will start to become an Extratropical Cyclone.

The following is the summary of the 1-day forecast outlook on this system:

SATURDAY MORNING: Becomes an Extratropical Cyclone while along the southern coast of Honshu, Japan...about 133 km south of Tokyo, Japan [5AM JUNE 22: 34.6N 139.7E @ 45kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas. You can also view this image link for you to understand the parts.

DECAYING RAINBANDS - spreading across East China Sea and Western Japan. Affected Areas: Jeju Island and Kyushu. Tropical Depression Conditions with light, moderate to strong winds (30-62 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 100 mm (slight to heavy rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 101 to 200 mm (heavy) along areas near the center of Leepi (Emong).

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Fri June 21, 2013
Class/Name: TD Leepi (Emong)
Location of Center: 31.8º N Lat 126.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 167 km S of Jeju Island
Distance 2: 321 km WSW of Nagasaki, Japan
Distance 3: 313 km WSW of Sasebo, Japan
Distance 4: 360 km WNW of Kagoshima, Japan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph
Present Movement: NNE @ 26 kph
Towards: Kyushu
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): Heavy [200 mm]
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Size (in Diameter): 740 km [Large]
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 feet
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft (0 m)
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF | Google Map (Flash)

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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:

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CURRENT TRACKING MAP:

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NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TD LEEPI (EMONG)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

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