Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TD BEBINCA (FABIAN) Final Update

for Sunday, 23 June 2013 [10:00 PM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL DEPRESSION BEBINCA (FABIAN) UPDATE NUMBER 008 [FINAL]
Issued: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Sunday 23 June 2013

Tropical Depression BEBINCA (FABIAN) has moved northwestward as it makes landfall over Northern Vietnam...likely to dissipate within the next 12 to 24 hours.

This depression will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) and bring windy/cloudy conditions with occasionally slight to moderate to sometimes heavy rains and thunderstorms across Vietnam, Laos and Thailand.

*This is the last and final update on Bebinca (Fabian).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This update is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your national weather agency for official warnings, advisories or bulletins.

CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS

As of 5:00 pm today, the center of TD Bebinca (Fabian) was located over the coast of Northern Vietnam...about 25 km south-southwest of Hai Phong, Vietnam or 90 km east-southeast of Hanoi, Vietnam...currently moving northwest with an accelerated forward speed of 19 km/hr in the general direction of the Northern Vietnam.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) remains at 45 km/hr near the center with higher gusts. Bebinca (Fabian) is an average-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 445 kilometers across. The 24-hour rainfall accumulation near the center of Bebinca (Fabian) is estimated to be extreme (600 mm).

1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

TD Bebinca (Fabian) is expected to move north-northwest slowly for the next 24 hours. On the forecast track, the core of Bebinca (Fabian) will traverse Northern Vietnam tonight thru Monday afternoon.

Bebinca (Fabian) is forecast to gradually weaken and dissipate as it interacts with the land mass of Northern Vietnam tonight, and will be just an area of low pressure on Monday afternoon.

The following is the summary of the 1-day forecast outlook on this system:

MONDAY AFTERNOON: Dissipating along Northern Vietnam...just an area of low pressure...about 88 km north-northeast of Hanoi, Vietnam [5PM JUNE 24: 21.7N 106.2E @ 30kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas. You can also view this image link for you to understand the parts.

DECAYING RAINBANDS - spreading across the Gulf of Tonkin and Northern Vietnam. Affected Areas: Hainan Island and the Vietnamese cities of Nam Dinh-Hanoi-Hai Phong-Ha Long-Thanh Hoa-Mong Cai. Tropical Depression Conditions with light, moderate to strong winds (30-62 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 200 mm (slight to heavy rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 201 to 600 mm (heavy to extreme) along areas to the south, west and near the center of Bebinca (Fabian).

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Sun June 23, 2013
Class/Name: TD Bebinca (Fabian)
Location of Center: 20.2º N Lat 106.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 25 km SSW of Hai Phong, Vietnam
Distance 2: 53 km SW of Ha Long, Vietnam
Distance 3: 53 km ENE of Nam Dinh, Vietnam
Distance 4: 90 km ESE of Hanoi, Vietnam
Distance 5: 130 km NE of Thanh Hoa, Vietnam
Distance 6: 170 km SW of Mong Cai, Vietnam
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph
Present Movement: NW @ 19 kph
Towards: Northern Vietnam
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): Extreme [600 mm]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Size (in Diameter): 445 km [Average]
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 feet
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft (0 m)
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF | Google Map (Flash)

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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:

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CURRENT TRACKING MAP:

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NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TD BEBINCA (FABIAN)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

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