Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TS YAGI (DANTE) Update #002

for Sunday, 09 June 2013 [9:44 PM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL STORM YAGI (DANTE) UPDATE NUMBER 002
Issued: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Sunday 09 Jun 2013
Next Update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Sunday 09 Jun 2013

Tropical Storm YAGI (DANTE) intensifying over the North Philippine Sea as it moves northeastward towards Southern Japan, away from the Philippines.

Residents and visitors along Southern Japan should closely monitor the development of YAGI (DANTE).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This update is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your national weather agency for official warnings, advisories or bulletins.

CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS

As of 12 noon today, the center of Tropical Storm Yagi (Dante) was located over the northeastern part of the Philippine Sea...about 1,018 km east-northeast of Santa Ana, Cagayan or 1,000 km east of Basco, Batanes...currently moving northeastward with a decreased forward speed of 15 km/hr in the general direction of Southern Japan.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have slightly increased to 75 km/hr near the center with higher gusts. The 24-hour rainfall accumulation near the center of Yagi (Dante) is estimated to be extreme (500 mm).

3-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

TS Yagi (Dante) is expected to continue moving northeast to north-northeast during the next 24 hours, with a turn to the north between 48 to 72 hours. On the forecast track, the core of Yagi (Dante) will exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) late Monday afternoon or evening and will be just along the open waters of the Northwest Pacific through Tuesday evening. It will then be approaching the southern shoreline of Honshu, Japan on Wednesday morning.

Yagi (Dante) is forecast to gain strength during the next 2 days...reaching near-typhoon strength on Tuesday and will start to weaken on Wednesday.

The following is the summary of the 3-day forecast outlook on this system:

MONDAY NOON: Turns north-northeastward as it intensifies over the Northwest Pacific Ocean...about 669 km east-southeast of Okinawa, Japan [12PM JUN 10: 23.9N 133.8E @ 100kph].
TUESDAY NOON: At near-typhoon strength, turns northward...about 586 km south-southeast of Kochi, Japan [12PM JUN 11: 28.4N 134.6E @ 110kph].
WEDNESDAY NOON: Starts to weaken as it approaches the shoreline of Southern Honshu...about 147 km south of Tanabe, Japan [12PM JUN 12: 32.4N 135.1E @ 95kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas. You can also view this image link for you to understand the parts.

RAINBANDS - spreading across the Philippine Sea and Northwest Pacific Ocean. Affected Areas: None. Tropical Depression Conditions with light, moderate to strong winds (30-60 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 200 mm (slight to heavy rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 201 to 500 mm (heavy to extreme) along areas to the south and near the center of Yagi (Dante).

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION

Time/Date: 12:00 NN PhT Sun June 09, 2013
Class/Name: TS Yagi (Dante)
Location of Center: 20.4º N Lat 131.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 781 km SSE of Okinawa, Japan
Distance 2: 906 km SSE of Amami Is., Japan
Distance 3: 1,000 km E of Basco, Batanes
Distance 4: 1,018 km ENE of Sta. Ana, Cagayan
Distance 5: 1,249 km S of Kagoshima, Japan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 75 kph near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 95 kph
Present Movement: NE @ 15 kph
Towards: Southern Japan
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): Extreme [500 mm]
Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
Size (in Diameter): 665 km [Average]
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 14 feet
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft (0 m)
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF | Google Map (Flash)

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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/03W/imagery/rgb-animated.gif

CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/03W/imagery/rgb0-lalo.jpg

CURRENT TRACKING CHART:

http://www.typhoon2000.ph/advisorytrax/2013/dante02.gif

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NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS YAGI (DANTE)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

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