WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM BEBINCA (FABIAN) UPDATE NUMBER 005
Issued: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Saturday 22 June 2013
Next Update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Sunday 23 June 2013
Tropical Storm BEBINCA (FABIAN) is now approaching Southwestern China as it increases its threat to Hainan Island and Southwestern Guangdong...landfall expected near Haikou, Hainan this afternoon.
This storm will enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) and bring windy/cloudy conditions with occasionally slight to moderate to sometimes heavy rains and thunderstorms across Vietnam.
Residents and visitors along Southwestern Guangdong, Hainan Island and Northern Vietnam should closely monitor the development of BEBINCA (FABIAN).
Do not use this for life or death decision. This update is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your national weather agency for official warnings, advisories or bulletins.
CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS
As of 5:00 am today, the center of TS Bebinca (Fabian) was located over the South China Sea...about 191 km east-southeast of Haikou, Hainan Island or 243 km south-southeast of Zhanjiang, China...currently moving west-northwest with a forward speed of 26 km/hr in the general direction of Northern Hainan and the Southwestern tip of Guangdong Province.
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) remain at 65 km/hr near the center with higher gusts. Bebinca (Fabian) is an average-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 500 kilometers across. The 24-hour rainfall accumulation near the center of Bebinca (Fabian) is estimated to be extreme (500 mm).
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TS Bebinca (Fabian) is expected to continue moving west-northwestward for the next 12 hours...with a turn towards the northwest throughout the forecast period. On the forecast track, the core of Bebinca (Fabian) will traverse Northern Hainan this afternoon passing, very close to Haikou, Hainan...and will emerge over the Gulf of Tonkin tonight. The storm will then make landfall over Northern Vietnam on Sunday morning and will be just along the China-Vietnam border on Monday.
Bebinca (Fabian) is forecast to weaken within the next 12 to 24 hours...becoming just a Tropical Depression (TD) on Sunday and dissipating over land on Monday.
The following is the summary of the 2-day forecast outlook on this system:
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY
Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas. You can also view this image link for you to understand the parts.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION
Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Sat June 22, 2013
Class/Name: TS Bebinca (Fabian)
Location of Center: 19.8º N Lat 112.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 180 km ENE of Qionghai, Hainan Is.
Distance 2: 191 km ESE of Haikou, Hainan Is.
Distance 3: 243 km SSE of Zhanjiang, China
Distance 4: 309 km SW of Macau
Distance 5: 345 km SW of Hong Kong
Distance 6: 467 km SE of Mong Cai, Vietnam
Distance 7: 548 km ESE of Ha Long, Vietnam
Distance 8: 670 km ESE of Hanoi, Vietnam
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph
Present Movement: WNW @ 26 kph
Towards: Northern Hainan
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): Extreme [500 mm]
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Size (in Diameter): 500 km [Average]
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 17 feet
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft (0 m)
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF | Google Map (Flash)
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
_____________________________________________________________________________>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TS BEBINCA (FABIAN)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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