Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TS YAGI (DANTE) Update #006

for Monday, 10 June 2013 [6:58 PM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL STORM YAGI (DANTE) UPDATE NUMBER 006
Issued: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Monday 10 Jun 2013
Next Update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Tuesday 11 Jun 2013

Tropical Storm YAGI (DANTE) is about to leave the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) as it tracks northeastward toward the Sea south of Japan.

Residents and visitors along Southern Japan should closely monitor the development of YAGI (DANTE).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This update is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your national weather agency for official warnings, advisories or bulletins.

CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS

As of 6:00 pm today, the center of Tropical Storm Yagi (Dante) was located over the northeastern corner of the PAR...about 757 km east-southeast of Okinawa, Japan or 1,374 km east-northeast of Basco, Batanes...currently moving northeast with a forward speed of 19 km/hr in the general direction of the Sea South of Japan.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) remains at 85 km/hr near the center with higher gusts. Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-95 km/hr) extend outward up to 55 kilometers from the center. Yagi (Dante) is an average-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 555 kilometers across. The 24-hour rainfall accumulation near the center of Yagi (Dante) is estimated to be heavy (250 mm).

3-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

TS Yagi (Dante) is expected to continue moving north-northeast during the next 24 to 36 hours, with a turn to the northeast or east-northeast between 48 to 72 hours. On the forecast track, the core of Yagi (Dante) will be just along the open waters of the Northwest Pacific, south of Japan through Thursday evening.

Yagi (Dante) is forecast to maintain its strength during the next 12 to 24 hours...and will start to weaken beginning Tuesday evening, dissipating into an area of low pressure on Thursday evening.

The following is the summary of the 3-day forecast outlook on this system:

TUESDAY EVENING: Moving northeast across the open waters of the Northwest Pacific Ocean...about 542 km south-southeast of Tanabe, Japan [6PM JUN 11: 28.9N 136.4E @ 85kph].
WEDNESDAY EVENING: Starts to weaken and decelerate while over the sea south of Japan...begins to move northeast to east-northeast...about 334 km south-southeast of Tanabe, Japan [6PM JUN 12: 31.4N 137.7E @ 65kph].
THURSDAY EVENING: Dissipating over the Northwest Pacific Ocean...just an area of low pressure...about 448 km south-southwest of Tokyo, Japan [6PM JUN 13: 31.7N 139.1E @ 35kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas. You can also view this image link for you to understand the parts.

INNER RAINBANDS - over water (NW Pacific Ocean). Affected Areas: None. Tropical Storm Conditions with Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-100 kph) will be expected along these bands.
OUTER RAINBANDS - over water (NE portion of Philippine Sea & NW Pacific Ocean). Affected Areas: None. Tropical Depression Conditions with light, moderate to strong winds (30-60 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 100 mm (slight to heavy rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 101 to 250 mm (heavy) along areas to the south and near the center of Yagi (Dante).

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION

Time/Date: 6:00 PM PhT Mon June 10, 2013
Class/Name: TS Yagi (Dante)
Location of Center: 23.9º N Lat 134.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 666 km WSW of Iwo To Island
Distance 2: 757 km ESE of Okinawa, Japan
Distance 3: 1,085 km SSE of Kochi, Japan
Distance 4: 1,091 km SSW of Tanabe, Japan
Distance 5: 1,374 km ENE of Basco, Batanes
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 85 kph near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 100 kph
Present Movement: NE @ 19 kph
Towards: Sea South of Japan
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): Heavy [250 mm]
Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
Size (in Diameter): 555 km [Average]
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 15 feet
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft (0 m)
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF | Google Map (Flash)

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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:

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CURRENT TRACKING MAP:

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NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS YAGI (DANTE)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

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