Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TS YAGI (DANTE) Update #005

for Monday, 10 June 2013 [1:39 PM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL STORM YAGI (DANTE) UPDATE NUMBER 005
Issued: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Monday 10 Jun 2013
Next Update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Monday 10 Jun 2013

Tropical Storm YAGI (DANTE) has gained strength as it moves farther away from the Philippine Sea...will exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tonight.

Residents and visitors along Southern Japan should closely monitor the development of YAGI (DANTE).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This update is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your national weather agency for official warnings, advisories or bulletins.

CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS

As of 12:00 noon today, the center of Tropical Storm Yagi (Dante) was located over the northeastern part of the Philippine Sea...about 708 km southeast of Okinawa, Japan or 1,254 km east-northeast of Basco, Batanes...currently moving north-northeast with a forward speed of 19 km/hr in the general direction of the Sea South of Japan.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have increased to 85 km/hr near the center with higher gusts. Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-95 km/hr) extend outward up to 55 kilometers from the center. Yagi (Dante) is an average-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 555 kilometers across. The 24-hour rainfall accumulation near the center of Yagi (Dante) is estimated to be heavy (310 mm).

3-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

TS Yagi (Dante) is expected to continue moving north-northeast during the next 24 to 36 hours, with a turn to the northeast or east-northeast between 48 to 72 hours. On the forecast track, the core of Yagi (Dante) will exit the PAR tonight and will be just along the open waters of the Northwest Pacific, south of Japan through Thursday noon.

Yagi (Dante) is forecast to still gain strength during the next 12 hours reaching a possible peak winds of 95 kph tonight or early Tuesday...but will start to weaken beginning Tuesday evening, dissipating into an area of low pressure on Thursday noon.

The following is the summary of the 3-day forecast outlook on this system:

TUESDAY NOON: Already outside of the PAR...cruising across the open waters of the Northwest Pacific Ocean...about 667 km south of Tanabe, Japan [12PM JUN 11: 27.8N 135.4E @ 85kph].
WEDNESDAY NOON: Starts to weaken and decelerate while over the sea south of Japan...begins to move northeast to east-northeast...about 304 km south-southeast of Tanabe, Japan [12PM JUN 12: 31.2N 136.7E @ 65kph].
THURSDAY NOON: Dissipating over the Northwest Pacific Ocean...just an area of low pressure...about 442 km south-southwest of Tokyo, Japan [12PM JUN 13: 31.9N 138.3E @ 35kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas. You can also view this image link for you to understand the parts.

INNER RAINBANDS - over water (NW Pacific Ocean). Affected Areas: None. Tropical Storm Conditions with Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-100 kph) will be expected along these bands.
OUTER RAINBANDS - spreading across the North Philippine Sea and Northwest Pacific Ocean. Affected Areas: None. Tropical Depression Conditions with light, moderate to strong winds (30-60 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 200 mm (slight to heavy rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 201 to 310 mm (heavy) along areas to the south and near the center of Yagi (Dante).

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION

Time/Date: 12:00 NN PhT Mon June 10, 2013
Class/Name: TS Yagi (Dante)
Location of Center: 23.2º N Lat 133.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 708 km SE of Okinawa, Japan
Distance 2: 724 km SSE of Amami Is., Japan
Distance 3: 986 km SSE of Kagoshima, Japan
Distance 4: 1,156 km S of Kochi, Japan
Distance 5: 1,254 km ENE of Basco, Batanes
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 85 kph near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 100 kph
Present Movement: NNE @ 19 kph
Towards: Sea South of Japan
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): Heavy [310 mm]
Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
Size (in Diameter): 555 km [Average]
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 15 feet
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft (0 m)
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF | Google Map (Flash)

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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:

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CURRENT TRACKING MAP:

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NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS YAGI (DANTE)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

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