Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TS YAGI (DANTE) Update #003

for Sunday, 09 June 2013 [7:47 PM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL STORM YAGI (DANTE) UPDATE NUMBER 003
Issued: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Sunday 09 Jun 2013
Next Update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Monday 10 Jun 2013

Tropical Storm YAGI (DANTE) churning north-northeast toward Southern Japan.

Residents and visitors along Southern Japan should closely monitor the development of YAGI (DANTE).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This update is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your national weather agency for official warnings, advisories or bulletins.

CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS

As of 6:00 pm today, the center of Tropical Storm Yagi (Dante) was located over the northeastern part of the Philippine Sea...about 1,072 km east-northeast of Santa Ana, Cagayan or 1,041 km east-northeast of Basco, Batanes...currently moving north-northeast with a forward speed of 17 km/hr in the general direction of Southern Japan.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) remains at 75 km/hr near the center with higher gusts. The 24-hour rainfall accumulation near the center of Yagi (Dante) is estimated to be extreme (400 mm).

3-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

TS Yagi (Dante) is expected to continue moving north-northeast during the next 24 hours, with a slight turn to the north between 48 to 72 hours. On the forecast track, the core of Yagi (Dante) will exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) late Monday afternoon or evening and will be just along the open waters of the Northwest Pacific through Tuesday evening. It will then be off the southern coast of Wakayama and Mie Prefectures in Honshu, Japan on Wednesday evening.

Yagi (Dante) is forecast to gain strength during the next 2 days reaching a peak of 95 kph on Tuesday morning...but will start to weaken on Tuesday evening, becoming a Tropical Depression (TD) on Wednesday evening.

The following is the summary of the 3-day forecast outlook on this system:

MONDAY EVENING: Intensifies slightly while over the Northwest Pacific Ocean...exits PAR...about 669 km east-southeast of Okinawa, Japan [6PM JUN 10: 25.1N 134.3E @ 85kph].
TUESDAY EVENING: Turns northward as it moves closer to Southern Honshu...about 345 km south of Tanabe, Japan [6PM JUN 11: 30.6N 135.6E @ 85kph].
WEDNESDAY EVENING: Downgraded to a TD as it moves along the coast of Wakayama and Mie Prefectures...about 93 km east of Tanabe, Japan [6PM JUN 12: 33.8N 136.4E @ 55kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas. You can also view this image link for you to understand the parts.

RAINBANDS - spreading across the Philippine Sea and Northwest Pacific Ocean. Affected Areas: None. Tropical Depression Conditions with light, moderate to strong winds (30-60 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 200 mm (slight to heavy rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 201 to 400 mm (heavy to extreme) along areas to the south and near the center of Yagi (Dante).

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION

Time/Date: 6:00 PM PhT Sun June 09, 2013
Class/Name: TS Yagi (Dante)
Location of Center: 21.0º N Lat 132.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 746 km SSE of Okinawa, Japan
Distance 2: 853 km SSE of Amami Is., Japan
Distance 3: 1,041 km E of Basco, Batanes
Distance 4: 1,072 km ENE of Sta. Ana, Cagayan
Distance 5: 1,187 km S of Kagoshima, Japan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 75 kph near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 95 kph
Present Movement: NNE @ 17 kph
Towards: Southern Japan
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): Extreme [400 mm]
Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
Size (in Diameter): 665 km [Average]
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 feet
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft (0 m)
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF | Google Map (Flash)

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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:

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CURRENT TRACKING MAP:

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NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS YAGI (DANTE)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

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