Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #006
Name: TYPHOON KROSA [INENG/17W/0715]
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) THU 04 OCTOBER 2007
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) FRI 05 OCTOBER
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 012
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) FRI 05 OCTOBER
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 012
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
_____________________________________________________________________________
TYPHOON KROSA (INENG) RESUMES ITS DANGEROUS NORTHWEST MOVEMENT TOWARDS
TAIWAN...THREAT TO EXTREME NORTHERN LUZON DECREASES SLIGHTLY.+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: KROSA is expected to continue moving NW'ly for the
next 24 to 48 hours, intensifying into a Super Typhoon on Friday, Oct 05.
The 3 to 5-day forecast shows KROSA's Eye making landfall over NE Taiwan
on Sunday Oct 7, around 6 AM local time. The eye shall cross Northeastern
Taiwan slowly between 7 AM til 1PM on Sunday Oct 7. It shall pass over
or very close to Taipei, Taiwan Sunday morning, Oct 7 (approx 10 AM HK
Time). Upon its landfall over Taiwan, KROSA shall be downgraded to a
Category 3 (185 kph) Typhoon and shall continue losing strength as it
bears down the coast of SE China on Monday & making landfall anew over
SE China on Tuesday Oct 9.
+ EFFECTS: KROSA's outer rainbands spreading across the coastal areas of
+ EFFECTS: KROSA's outer rainbands spreading across the coastal areas of
Taiwan and Extreme Northern Luzon. Cloudy skies with passing light to
moderate and sometimes heavy downpour can be expected along Lekima's ou-
ter bands...becoming more intense and windy as the inner bands approaches.
Coastal Storm Surge flooding of 13 to 18 feet above normal tide levels...
along with large and dangerous battering waves can be expected near and
to the north of KROSA's projected path. Extreme damage is possible on
this type of storm surge. Far-fetched storm surge is possible along the
eastern coastal stretch of Taiwan and the Philippines.
+ CURRENT ITCZ/MONSOON INTENSITY: Weak Southwest (SW)Monsoon enhanced
+ CURRENT ITCZ/MONSOON INTENSITY: Weak Southwest (SW)Monsoon enhanced
by Powerful Typhoon KROSA (INENG) - will continue to bring mostly cloudy
skies with possible intermittent afternoon or evening rainfall & SW'ly
winds of 10 km/hr or higher across Western Philippines becoming more
frequent over Mindoro & Lubang Island. Landslides and flooding is likely
to occur along steep mountain slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-
prone areas of the affected areas, while big sea waves or surges genera-
ted by this monsoon can affect the coastal and beach-front areas of Wes-
tern Visayas and Western Luzon. Meanwhile, the rest of the Philippines
is under the ITCZ (Monsoon Trough), which will bring scattered rains
and thunderstorms most especially in the afternoon or evening.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
_____________________________________________________________________________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 04 OCTOBER
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 19.5º N...LONGITUDE 127.0º E
DISTANCE 1: 570 KM (307 NM) ENE OF APARRI, CAGAYAN, PH
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 19.5º N...LONGITUDE 127.0º E
DISTANCE 1: 570 KM (307 NM) ENE OF APARRI, CAGAYAN, PH
DISTANCE 2: 535 KM (290 NM) ESE OF BASCO, BATANES, PH
DISTANCE 3: 825 KM (445 NM) SE OF TAIPEI, TAIWAB
DISTANCE 4: 830 KM (448 NM) NE OF METRO MANILA, PH
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 260 KM/HR (140 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY FOUR (4)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 933 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NW @ 17 KM/HR (09 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: TAIWAN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 1,295 KM (700 NM)/VERY LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 39 FEET (11.8 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM MANILA TIME THU OCTOBER 04
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#01 - CAGAYAN, BABUYAN ISLANDS & BATANES GROUP OF ISLANDS.
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 05 OCTOBER: 20.3N 126.0E / 220-270 KPH / NW @ 13 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 05 OCTOBER: 21.3N 124.9E / 220-270 KPH / NW @ 13 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 06 OCTOBER: 23.4N 123.0E / 220-270 KPH / NW @ 11 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 04 OCTOBER POSITION: 19.2N 127.3E.
^...(more)
>> KROSA {pronounced: kro~saah}, meaning: Crane.
Name contributed by: Cambodia.
_____________________________________________________________________________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 04 OCTOBER POSITION: 19.2N 127.3E.
^...(more)
>> KROSA {pronounced: kro~saah}, meaning: Crane.
Name contributed by: Cambodia.
____________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 4 PM (08 GMT) 04 OCTOBER: 19.3N 127.1E / NW @ 15 KPH / 160 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.
_____________________________________________________________________________
RECENT TRACKING CHART:
RECENT TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TY KROSA (INENG)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TY KROSA (INENG)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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