Bushman's Typhoon Blog: Typhoon KROSA (INENG) makes landfall over Taiwan... [Update #010]

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #010

Name: TYPHOON KROSA [INENG/17W/0715]

Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) SAT 06 OCTOBER 2007
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) SUN 07 OCTOBER
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 020
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

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THE EYE OF TYPHOON KROSA (INENG) HAS UNDERGONE AN UNBELIEVABLE WEST-

WARD MOTION AND STRUCK THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN TAIWAN IN THE LAST

FEW HOURS, THEN IT MOVED TO A SOUTHERLY-COUNTERCLOCKWISE TRACK AS

SHOWN ON TAIWAN'S RADAR SYSTEM...PLACING THE EYE STILL ALONG THE

COAST OF NORTHERN TAIWAN, NEAR HUALIEN CITY. CATASTROPHIC WINDS

WITH HEAVY TORRENTIAL RAINS IS NOW LASHING THE AREA INCLUDING

TAIPEI.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: KROSA is expected to resume moving WNW'ly with

its EYE passing very close to the capital of Taipei at this moment.

The very dangerous Eyewall will continue to affect Northern Taiwan

throughout the evening. The EYE shall exit NW Taiwan early tomorrow

morning in a slow trek northward passing very close to the coast of

Fujian and Zhejiang Province in SE China tomorrow evening til

Monday, Oct 08.

+ EFFECTS: KROSA's EyeWall continues to blast Northern & Central

Taiwan while its inner rainbands spreading across Southern Taiwan,

Taiwan Strait and the Coastal areas of SE China. Extreme Typhoon-

force winds with very heavy rains can be expected within the Eyewall

while Tropical Storm-Force winds not exceeding 110 kph and intermi-

ttent rainfall can be expected along its inner rainbands. Meanwhile,

Krosa's outer rainbands continues to spread across Extreme Northern

Luzon, extending over SE China and Okinawa. Cloudy skies with passing

light to moderate and sometimes heavy downpour can be expected along

its outer bands. Coastal Storm Surge flooding of 13 to 18 feet above

normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves

can be expected near and to the north of KROSA's projected path par-

ticularly over Taiwan & Yaeyama Islands. Extreme damage is possible

on this type of storm surge. Far-fetched storm surge is possible

along the SE Coast of China, Okinawa and the Northern coastal

stretch of the Philippines. Flash floods and mudslides are imminent

along river banks, low-lying and mountainous regions of the affected

areas. Precautionary measures must be initiated especially along

the path of this monster typhoon.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Moderate Southwest (SW)Monsoon enhanced

by Super Typhoon KROSA (INENG) - will continue to bring mostly cloudy

skies with possible intermittent rains & SW'ly winds of 15 km/hr or

higher across Western Philippines becoming more frequent over Mindoro.

Landslides and flooding is likely to occur along steep mountain slopes,

river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas, while

big sea waves or surges generated by this monsoon can affect the coastal

and beach-front areas of Western Visayas and Western Luzon. Meanwhile,

the rest of the Philippines is under the active ITCZ (Monsoon Trough),

which will bring scattered rains and thunderstorms most especially in

the afternoon or evening.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
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TIME/DATE: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) 06 OCTOBER
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 24.1º N...LONGITUDE 121.7º E [CWB RADARFIX]
DISTANCE 1: 15 KM (08 NM) NNE OF HUALIEN, TAIWAN

DISTANCE 2: 100 KM (55 NM) SOUTH OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN

DISTANCE 3: 400 KM (215 NM) NNW OF BASCO, BATANES, PH

DISTANCE 4: 220 KM (120 NM) NE OF KAOSHIUNG, TAIWAN

DISTANCE 5: 330 KM (178 NM) SE OF FUZHOU, CHINA

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 230 KM/HR (125 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 280 KM/HR (150 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY FOUR (4)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 929 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WSW @ 22 KM/HR (12 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: NORTHERN TAIWAN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 1,205 KM (650 NM)/VERY LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 27 FEET (8.2 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM MANILA TIME SUN OCTOBER 06
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A

12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 07 OCTOBER: 26.0N 121.0E / 195-240 KPH / N @ 09 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 07 OCTOBER: 27.0N 121.0E / 185-230 KPH / NNE @ 13 KPH

2 PM (06 GMT) 08 OCTOBER: 29.2N 122.9E / 140-165 KPH / NE @ 13 KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 06 OCTOBER POSITION: 24.5N 122.3E.
^...(more)

>> KROSA {pronounced: kro~saah}, meaning: Crane.
Name contributed by: Cambodia.
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PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):

> 4 PM (08 GMT) 06 OCTOBER: 24.7N 121.9E / NW @ 19 KPH / 185 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml

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RECENT TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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