for Thursday, 06 August 2009 [6:37 PM PST]
<<<Typhoon2000.com Mobile >>>
Get the latest 6-hrly SMS Storm Alerts on KIKO!
For more details: Text T2K TYPHOON to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.-->
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thu August 06 2009):
Good News! The T2K SMS Alerts are finally back ONLINE after a major failure of the server...A big thanks and good job to our tech engineers @ Synermaxx Corp. (www.synermaxx.com.ph ) for fixing the problem right away. Meanwhile, the other services (Web & Email) continues to run - issuing 6-hrly updates (except 12:00 AM) on TYPHOON MORAKOT (KIKO).
MORAKOT (KIKO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 145 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 145 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 140 km/hr
TYPHOON MORAKOT [KIKO/09W/0908]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 011
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Thu 06 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #011
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Typhoon MORAKOT (KIKO) slowing down as it moves closer to the island chain of Yaeyama...currently no change in strength.
*Residents and visitors along Ryukyu Islands, Taiwan & Eastern China should closely monitor the progress of MORAKOT.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: MORAKOT is expected to continue tracking west for the next 18 hours and intensify - reaching Category 3 status w/ 185-kph winds as it passes very close to the south of Yaeyama Islands tomorrow morning. The 4-day Medium-Range Forecast shows the system turning slightly WNW as it approaches the east coast of Northern Taiwan. The core (eye & eyewall) shall make landfall just north of the industrial city of Hualien in Taiwan by tomorrow evening and cross Northern Taiwan passing very close south of Metro Taipei on dawn of Saturday Aug 8 (approx 2-3AM). MORAKOT is forecast to traverse Taiwan Strait on Saturday afternoon and make its 2nd landfall over Southeastern China by Sunday afternoon, Aug 9 - passing close to the south of Fuzhou City (China). This typhoon shall rapidly dissipate on Monday Aug 9 while hovering along the mountainous terrain of mainland China.
+ Effects: MORAKOT's large circulation continues to track westward with the continued development of its cloud-filled eye while traversing the warm waters of the Northernmost Philippine Sea. The storm's outer (feeder) bands continues to spread across Okinawa and Taiwan...with its inner (rain) bands remaining over Yaeyama Islands - Increasing winds of not more than 100 kph w/ moderate to slightly heavy rains can be expected along its inner bands....and 30-60 kph gusty winds w/ occasional squalls along its outer bands. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 300 mm can be expected along the storm's inner and outer bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 500 mm near the center of MORAKOT. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 4 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Okinawa-Ryukyu-Yaeyama Islands and Eastern Taiwan today. Minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Eastern & SE China.
+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong southwesterly winds not in excess of 65 kph with passing occasional showers or rains can be expected along the following affected areas: METRO MANILA, WESTERN LUZON, VISAYAS, MINDORO, AND PARTS OF SOUTHERN LUZON-BICOL REGION. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Thu August 06 2009
Location of Eye: 23.2º N Lat 126.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 400 km (215 nm) SSW of Okinawa, Japan
Distance 2: 495 km (267 nm) ESE of Hualien, Taiwan
Distance 3: 525 km (283 nm) ESE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 4: 545 km (295 nm) NE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 5: 785 km (425 nm) SE of Fuzhou, China
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 150 kph (80 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 185 kph (100 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 1
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 4-5 feet [1.2-1.7 meters]
Central Pressure: 963 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: West @ 19 kph (10 kts)
General Direction: Yaeyama-Northern Taiwan Area
Size (in Diameter): 1,295 km (700 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 25 ft (7.6 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Thu Aug 06
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 06Z Thu Aug 06
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 5 PM Thu Aug 06
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 96 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
Now In Effect: BATANES, BABUYAN & CALAYAN GROUP OF ISLANDS.
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph tonight and tomorrow. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.
Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides...while those living in coastal & beach-front areas are advised to seek higher grounds due to possible storm surge that could reach a high of 1 to 3 feet.
JTWC 12, 24, 48, & 72 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 07 AUGUST: 23.3N 124.8E / 165-205 KPH (Category 2) / WNW @ 15 KPH
<<<Typhoon2000.
Get the latest 6-hrly SMS Storm Alerts on KIKO!
For more details: Text T2K TYPHOON to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.-->
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thu August 06 2009):
Good News! The T2K SMS Alerts are finally back ONLINE after a major failure of the server...A big thanks and good job to our tech engineers @ Synermaxx Corp. (www.synermaxx.
MORAKOT (KIKO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 150 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 145 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 145 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 140 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 140 km/hr
TYPHOON MORAKOT [KIKO/09W/0908]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 011
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Thu 06 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #011
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along Ryukyu Islands, Taiwan & Eastern China should closely monitor the progress of MORAKOT.
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: MORAKOT is expected to continue tracking west for the next 18 hours and intensify - reaching Category 3 status w/ 185-kph winds as it passes very close to the south of Yaeyama Islands tomorrow morning. The 4-day Medium-Range Forecast shows the system turning slightly WNW as it approaches the east coast of Northern Taiwan. The core (eye & eyewall) shall make landfall just north of the industrial city of Hualien in Taiwan by tomorrow evening and cross Northern Taiwan passing very close south of Metro Taipei on dawn of Saturday Aug 8 (approx 2-3AM). MORAKOT is forecast to traverse Taiwan Strait on Saturday afternoon and make its 2nd landfall over Southeastern China by Sunday afternoon, Aug 9 - passing close to the south of Fuzhou City (China). This typhoon shall rapidly dissipate on Monday Aug 9 while hovering along the mountainous terrain of mainland China.
+ Effects: MORAKOT's large circulation continues to track westward with the continued development of its cloud-filled eye while traversing the warm waters of the Northernmost Philippine Sea. The storm's outer (feeder) bands continues to spread across Okinawa and Taiwan...with its inner (rain) bands remaining over Yaeyama Islands - Increasing winds of not more than 100 kph w/ moderate to slightly heavy rains can be expected along its inner bands....and 30-60 kph gusty winds w/ occasional squalls along its outer bands. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 300 mm can be expected along the storm's inner and outer bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 500 mm near the center of MORAKOT. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 4 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...accompanie
+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong southwesterly winds not in excess of 65 kph with passing occasional showers or rains can be expected along the following affected areas: METRO MANILA, WESTERN LUZON, VISAYAS, MINDORO, AND PARTS OF SOUTHERN LUZON-BICOL REGION. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Thu August 06 2009
Location of Eye: 23.2º N Lat 126.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 400 km (215 nm) SSW of Okinawa, Japan
Distance 2: 495 km (267 nm) ESE of Hualien, Taiwan
Distance 3: 525 km (283 nm) ESE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 4: 545 km (295 nm) NE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 5: 785 km (425 nm) SE of Fuzhou, China
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 150 kph (80 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 185 kph (100 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 1
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 4-5 feet [1.2-1.7 meters]
Central Pressure: 963 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: West @ 19 kph (10 kts)
General Direction: Yaeyama-Northern Taiwan Area
Size (in Diameter): 1,295 km (700 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 25 ft (7.6 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Thu Aug 06
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 06Z Thu Aug 06
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 5 PM Thu Aug 06
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 96 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
Now In Effect: BATANES, BABUYAN & CALAYAN GROUP OF ISLANDS.
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph tonight and tomorrow. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.
Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides..
2 AM (18 GMT) 07 AUGUST: 23.3N 124.8E / 165-205 KPH (Category 2) / WNW @ 15 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 07 AUGUST: 23.7N 123.2E / 185-230 KPH (Category 3) / WNW @ 19 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 08 AUGUST: 25.4N 120.4E / 130-160 KPH (Category 2) / NW @ 05 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 08 AUGUST: 25.4N 120.4E / 130-160 KPH (Category 2) / NW @ 05 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 09 AUGUST: 26.0N 119.4E / 95-120 KPH (Tropical Storm) / NW @ 07 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 06 AUGUST POSITION: 23.1N 126.9E.
^ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS TY 09W HAS MAIN-
TAINED A SYMMETRICAL LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH TIGHTLY
CONSOLIDATED FEEDER BANDS. THE CURRENT INTENSITY AND POSITION ARE
BASED FROM DVORAK FIXES FROM PGTW, RJTD, AND KNES WITH A FAIR DEGREE
OF CONFIDENCE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS DIRECTLY
UNDER A MESOSCALE ANTICYCLONE IN AN AREA OF LIGHT VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY ALSO SHOWS EXCELLENT DUAL
OUTFLOW CHANNELS OVER THE SYSTEM. THE TYPHOON IS BEING STEERED
WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO
THE NORTH. ADDITIONALLY, ALONG-TRACK SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE
OVER 28 DEGREES CELSIUS. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDI-
TIONS, TYPHOON MORAKOT IS EXPECTED TO PEAK INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS BEFORE IT CROSSES NORTHERN TAIWAN THEN MAKE LANDFALL NEAR
FUZHOU, CHINA BY TAU 72. AVAILABLE TRACK GUIDANCE ARE MOSTLY IN
AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST WITH A COUPLE OF OUTLIERS BRINGING THE
SYSTEM NORTH OF TAIWAN...(more)
>> MORAKOT, meaning: Emerald. Name contributed by: Thailand.
____________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 4 PM (08 GMT) 06 AUGUST: 23.3N 125.9E / WEST @ 22 kph / 140 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.
____________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
NOTE:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TY MORAKOT (KIKO)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
Copyright © 2009 Typhoon2000.
__._,_.___
Change settings via the Web (Yahoo! ID required)
Change settings via email: Switch delivery to Daily Digest | Switch format to Traditional
Visit Your Group | Yahoo! Groups Terms of Use | Unsubscribe
.
__,_._,___
No comments:
Post a Comment