Sunday, August 02, 2009

TD 93W (JOLINA) - Update #001

 


for Saturday, 01 August 2009 [2:57 PM PST]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sat August 01 2009):

Now initializing advisories on Tropical Depression 93W (JOLINA), as the system intensified.


93W (JOLINA) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93W [JOLINA]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 001 [INITIAL]

2:00 PM PST (06:00 GMT) Sat 01 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC SATFIX
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

  • The large tropical disturbance (LPA) near the coast of Northern Luzon has strengthened into Tropical Depression 93W (JOLINA)...rapidly approaching the coast of Aurora-Isabela. Strong Southwest (SW) Monsoon bringing widespread rains and winds across most of the Philippines.

    *Residents and visitors along Northern Philippines should closely monitor the progress of 93W.

    *Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.


    + Forecast Outlook: 93W is expected to cross Northern Luzon tonight and shall be over the South China Sea tomorrow.

    + Effects: 93W's broad circulation is now covering and affecting the whole of Luzon except Southern Quezon and Bicol Region. Rainfall accumulations of up to 400 mm can be expected today. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

    + Current SW Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong southwesterly winds not in excess of 65 kph with occasional rains, and passing squalls can be expected along the following affected areas: VISAYAS, PALAWAN, MINDORO, METRO MANILA, SOUTHERN & WESTERN LUZON, AND PARTS OF BICOL REGION. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

    [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!] 
    Time/Date: 2:00 PM PST Sat August 01 2009
    Location of Center: 16.2º N Lat 123.3º E Lon
    Distance 1: 120 km (65 nm) East of Casiguran, Aurora
    Distance 2: 185 km (100 nm) ENE of Baler, Aurora
    Distance 3: 230 km (125 nm) SE of Tuguegarao City
    Distance 4: 290 km (157 nm) East of Baguio City
    MaxWinds (1-min avg):
    55 kph (30 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
    Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
    Central Pressure: 995 millibars (hPa)
    Recent Movement: West @ 33 kph (18 kts)
    General Direction: Northern Luzon
    Size (in Diameter): 670 km (362 nm) / Large
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 ft (3.6 m)
    JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap:
    00Z Sat Aug 01
    Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time

    PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # TWO (2) click to know meaning
    In Effect: AURORA, ISABELA & CAGAYAN.

    The above areas will experience stormy weather today (with winds from 60 to 100 kph). Coastal waters will be rough to very rough and extremely dangerous to all types of seacrafts.

    PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1) click to know meaning
    In Effect: NORTHERN QUEZON, NUEVA ECIJA, BULACAN, TARLAC, ZAMBALES, PAMPANGA, THE REST OF NORTHERN LUZON, & THE BATANES GROUP OF ISLANDS.

    The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph today. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.

    Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.

  • RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


    > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
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    NOTE:
     
      ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

       
    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
       
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
        http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
        http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
        http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    For the complete details on TD 93W (JOLINA)...go visit our website @:

    >
    http://www.typhoon2000.com
    http://www.maybagyo.com

    :: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
       
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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