Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TD 93W (JOLINA) exits RP...heads for Southern China... [Update #005]

for Sunday, 02 August 2009 [11:27 AM PST]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sun August 02 2009):

Just ended the 6-hrly SMS Storm Updates on JOLINA. Still issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12:00 AM) on Tropical Depression 93W (JOLINA).

93W (JOLINA) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93W [JOLINA]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 005
12:00 PM PST (06:00 GMT) Sun 02 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JMA & JTWC SATFIX
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

Tropical Depression 93W (JOLINA) accelerating rapidly towards the west...exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)...threatens Southern China.

*Residents and visitors along Southern China should closely monitor the progress of 93W.

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: 93W is expected to continue moving West to WNW across the South China Sea and shall strike Southern China either tomorrow or Tuesday, depending on its forward speed of movement.

+ Effects: 93W's broad circulation remains over the South China Sea. Rainfall accumulations of up to 200-300 mm can be expected within its circulation.

+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong southwesterly winds not in excess of 65 kph with occasional showers or rains, and passing squalls can be expected along the following affected areas: VISAYAS, PALAWAN, MINDORO, METRO MANILA, SOUTHERN & WESTERN LUZON, AND PARTS OF BICOL REGION. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:

(1) New Tropical Disturbance 98W (LPA) has been spotted forming off the Philippine Sea...currently located near lat 19.0N lon 131.0E...or about 955 km ESE of Basco, Batanes...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 30 kph...almost stationary while embedded within the active and broad Monsoon Trough (ITCZ).

This system will be closely monitored for possible development into a Significant Tropical Cyclone within the next 06 to 24 hours.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Sun August 02 2009
Location of Center: 17.6º N Lat 116.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 390 km (210 nm) West of Vigan City
Distance 2: 420 km (227 nm) WSW of Laoag City
Distance 3: 575 km (310 nm) SSE of Hong Kong
Distance 4: 680 km (367 nm) ESE of Hainan Island
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Central Pressure: 994 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: West @ 37 kph (20 kts)
General Direction: Southern China
Size (in Diameter): 600 km (325 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 ft (3.6 m)
T2K Final TrackMap (for Public): 12 PM PST Sun Aug 02
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Sun Aug 02
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time

PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
Now lowered: ILOCOS NORTE, ILOCOS SUR, ABRA, LA UNION & PANGASINAN.
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RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER

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NOTE:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.

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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TD 93W (JOLINA)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

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