Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TD 93W (JOLINA) now over the South China Sea... [Update #004]

for Sunday, 02 August 2009 [6:33 AM PST]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sat August 01 2009):

Currently issuing advisories on Tropical Depression 93W (JOLINA).

93W (JOLINA) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93W [JOLINA]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 004
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Sun 02 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JMA & JTWC SATFIX
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

Tropical Depression 93W (JOLINA) moving into the South China Sea, just west of Ilocos Sur. Strong Southwest (SW) Monsoon continues to bring widespread-scattered rains and winds across most of the Philippines.

*Residents and visitors along Southern China should closely monitor the progress of 93W.

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: 93W is expected to continue moving WNW across the South China Sea this morning and shall exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) later this afternoon.

+ Effects: 93W's broad circulation is now off the South China Sea, with its fringes just affecting Western Luzon. Rainfall accumulations of up to 300-400 mm can be expected along its circulation. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong southwesterly winds not in excess of 65 kph with occasional rains, and passing squalls can be expected along the following affected areas: VISAYAS, PALAWAN, MINDORO, METRO MANILA, SOUTHERN & WESTERN LUZON, AND PARTS OF BICOL REGION. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Sun August 02 2009
Location of Center: 17.7º N Lat 119.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 95 km (50 nm) West of Vigan City
Distance 2: 130 km (70 nm) WSW of Laoag City
Distance 3: 185 km (100 nm) NW of Baguio City
Distance 4: 230 km (125 nm) West of Tuguegarao City
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Central Pressure: 994 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 20 kph (11 kts)
General Direction: South China Sea
Size (in Diameter): 600 km (325 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 ft (3.6 m)
T2K TrackMap (for Public): 6 PM PST Sat Aug 01
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Sat Aug 01
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time

PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
In Effect: ILOCOS NORTE, ILOCOS SUR, ABRA, LA UNION & PANGASINAN.

The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph today. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.

Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.
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RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER

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NOTE:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.

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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TD 93W (JOLINA)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

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