Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TD 93W (JOLINA)

for Saturday, 01 August 2009 [7:05 PM PST]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sat August 01 2009):

Now initializing advisories on Tropical Depression 93W (JOLINA), as the system intensified.

93W (JOLINA) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93W [JOLINA]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 002
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Sat 01 August 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JMA & JTWC SATFIX
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

The broad but weak Tropical Depression 93W (JOLINA) slowing down as it prepares to cross Northern Luzon via Northern Aurora-Isabela area. Strong Southwest (SW) Monsoon continues to bring widespread-scattered rains and winds across most of the Philippines.

*Residents and visitors along Northern Philippines should closely monitor the progress of 93W.

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: 93W is expected to continue moving West to WNW and cross Northern Luzon early tonight and shall be over the South China Sea tomorrow morning. It shall reach tropical storm status upon reaching the much conducive environment of the South China Sea.

+ Effects: 93W's broad circulation continues to affect the whole of Luzon except Southern Quezon and Bicol Region. Rainfall accumulations of up to 300 mm can be expected tonight until tomorrow. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong southwesterly winds not in excess of 65 kph with occasional rains, and passing squalls can be expected along the following affected areas: VISAYAS, PALAWAN, MINDORO, METRO MANILA, SOUTHERN & WESTERN LUZON, AND PARTS OF BICOL REGION. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Sat August 01 2009
Location of Center: 16.5º N Lat 122.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 80 km (42 nm) ENE of Casiguran, Aurora
Distance 2: 150 km (80 nm) NE of Baler, Aurora
Distance 3: 170 km (92 nm) SE of Tuguegarao City
Distance 4: 235 km (127 nm) East of Baguio City
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Central Pressure: 992 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WNW @ 22 kph (12 kts)
General Direction: Northern Luzon
Size (in Diameter): 670 km (362 nm) / Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 ft (3.6 m)
T2K TrackMap (for Public): -->6 PM PST Sat Aug 01
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 00Z Sat Aug 01
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time

PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # TWO (2)
In Effect: AURORA, ISABELA & CAGAYAN.

The above areas will experience stormy weather tonight (with winds from 60 to 90 kph). Coastal waters will be rough to very rough and extremely dangerous to all types of seacrafts.

PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
In Effect: NORTHERN QUEZON, NUEVA ECIJA, BULACAN, TARLAC, ZAMBALES, PAMPANGA, THE REST OF NORTHERN LUZON, & THE BATANES GROUP OF ISLANDS.

The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph tonight. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.

Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.
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RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER

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NOTE:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.

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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TD 93W (JOLINA)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

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