Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TD QUINTA (93W)

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #001

Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION QUINTA [21W]

Issued: 1:00 PM MANILA TIME (05:00 GMT) THU 06 NOVEMBER 2008
Source: PAGASA SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #002
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION QUINTA (93W) NEWLY-F0RMED OVER THE VISAYAN SEA...

APPROACHING CEBU ON A WESTERLY TRACK...WILL CROSS NEGROS AND PANAY

ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD RAINS WITH ACCOMPANYING SQUALLS

WITHIN ITS RAINBANDS CAN BE EXPECTED FROM BICOL REGION, MINDORO DOWN

TO VISAYAS.

*Interests along the Visayas, Mindoro and Northern Palawan should closely monitor the progress

of QUINTA.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: QUINTA is expected to cross the Visayas today
passing over Cebu this noontime and across Negros-Panay this after-

noon...shall be over Sulu Sea tonight. This depression may become

a Tropical Storm once it reaches the Sea of Sulu or South China

Sea.

+ EFFECTS: QUINTA is now affecting the whole of Visayas, Northern

Palawan, Mindoro and portions of Bicol Region - bringing widespread

rains with passing moderate to strong squalls associated within its

rain bands...with wind gusts not in excess of 40 kph can be expected.

1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 150 mm is possible along

its rain bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 200 mm near the

center of QUINTA. People living around the slopes of Mayon Volcano in

Albay & of Bulusan Volcano in Sorsogon - especially along the areas

where possible MUDFLOWS (LAHAR) FLOWS (mixture of volcanic mud and

water) are located must stay alert as moderate to heavy rains asso-

ciated by this system are likely to affect the area today. Residents

in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation

for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due

to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautio-

nary measures must be initiated if necessary.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
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TIME/DATE: 10:00 AM MANILA TIME (02:00 GMT) THU 06 NOV 2008
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 10.5º N...LONGITUDE 124.5º E
DISTANCE 1: 40 KM (23 NM) NE OF MACTAN, CEBU, PH
DISTANCE 2: 160 KM (85 NM) ESE OF BACOLOD CITY, PH
DISTANCE 3: 210 KM (113 NM) EAST OF ILOILO CITY, PH

DISTANCE 4: 325 KM (175 NM) SE OF BORACAY ISLAND RESORT, PH
DISTANCE 5: 220 KM (120 NM) SE OF ROXAS CITY, PH

MAX WINDS [10-MIN AVG]: 45 KM/HR (25 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 65 KM/HR (35 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COASTAL STORM SURGE HEIGHT: 0 FEET (0 METERS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1006 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 19 KM/HR (10 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: CEBU-NEGROS-PANAY AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 445 KM (240 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 10 FEET (3.0 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 10 AM MANILA TIME THU NOV 06

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#01 - MINDORO, NORTHERN PALAWAN, CORON, MASBATE, ROMBLON, BORACAY,
THE WHOLE OF VISAYAS & CUYO ISLAND.

24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
8 AM (00 GMT) 07 NOVEMBER: 11.5N 120.8E

8 AM (00 GMT) 08 NOVEMBER: 12.6N 116.8E

8 AM (00 GMT) 09 NOVEMBER: 13.7N 112.9E

REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 06 NOVEMBER POSITION: 10.5N 124.5E.

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RECENT PAGASA TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: NOAA Satellite Service (http://www.noaa.gov/)
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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
      signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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