Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TD ROLLY (94W)

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #001

Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ROLLY [94W]

Issued: 1:00 PM MANILA TIME (05:00 GMT) SAT 08 NOVEMBER 2008
Source: PAGASA SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #002
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ROLLY (94W) NEWLY-F0RMED NOW OFF THE WATERS

OF BOHOL SEA...APPROACHING THE VISAYAN ISLANDS OF BOHOL, CEBU AND

NEGROS. WIDESPREAD RAINS WITH ACCOMPANYING SQUALLS (AKA. "SUBASKO")

WITHIN ITS RAINBANDS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS VISAYAS AND NORTHERN

MINDANAO.

*Interests along the Visayas should closely monitor the progress of ROLLY.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: ROLLY is expected to slow down due to a possible
interaction with TS MAYSAK (QUINTA) situated over the South China

Sea...its center is forecast to cross Central Visayas throughout

the day. ROLLY shall be off the western coast of Panay Island

tomorrow morning.

+ EFFECTS: ROLLY's developing rainbands continues to affect Northern

Mindanao and is now spreading across the whole of the Visayas. These

bands is expected to bring widespread rains with passing moderate to

strong squalls...with wind gusts not in excess of 55 kph. 1-day rainfall

accumulations of 100 up to 200 mm is possible along its rain bands...

with isolated accumulations of up to 300 mm along mountain slopes and

near the center of ROLLY. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes

must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash

floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought

about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if

necessary.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
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TIME/DATE: 10:00 AM MANILA TIME (02:00 GMT) SAT 08 NOV 2008
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 9.8º N...LONGITUDE 125.2º E
DISTANCE 1: 35 KM (20 NM) WNW OF SURIGAO CITY, PH
DISTANCE 2: 155 KM (83 NM) EAST OF TAGBILARAN CITY, PH
DISTANCE 3: 155 KM (83 NM) ESE OF CEBU CITY, PH

DISTANCE 4: 215 KM (115 NM) ENE OF DUMAGUETE CITY, PH
DISTANCE 5: 275 KM (148 NM) ESE OF BACOLOD CITY, PH
DISTANCE 6: 300 KM (162 NM) ESE OF ILOILO CITY, PH

MAX WINDS [10-MIN AVG]: 45 KM/HR (25 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 65 KM/HR (35 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COASTAL STORM SURGE HEIGHT: 0 FEET (0 METERS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1005 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 19 KM/HR (10 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: BOHOL-CEBU-NEGROS AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 370 KM (200 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 10 FEET (3.0 METERS)
VIEW PAGASA TRACKING MAP: 10 AM MANILA TIME SAT NOV 08

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#01 - NEGROS ISLAND, ILOILO, GUIMARAS IS., CAPIZ, LEYTE, SOUTHERN LEYTE,
BOHOL, CEBU, CAMOTES IS., SIQUIJOR IS., SURIGAO DEL NORTE, SURIGAO

DEL SUR, SIARGAO IS., DINAGAT IS., AGUSAN DEL SUR, AGUSAN DEL NORTE,
MISAMIS ORIENTAL & CAMIGUIN IS.

24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
8 AM (00 GMT) 09 NOVEMBER: 10.9N 121.5E

8 AM (00 GMT) 10 NOVEMBER: 12.5N 117.7E

8 AM (00 GMT) 11 NOVEMBER: 14.8N 114.0E

REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 08 NOVEMBER POSITION: 9.8N 125.5E.

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RECENT PAGASA TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: NOAA Satellite Service (http://www.noaa.gov/)
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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
      signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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