Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TD 22W (UNNAMED)

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #002 **FINAL**

Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W [UNNAMED]

Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) WED 15 OCTOBER 2008
Source: JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (JTWC) TC WARNING #005
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.

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22W (UNNAMED) WEAKENS INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AS IT BEGINS TO MAKE

LANDFALL OVER NORTHERN VIETNAM.

*This is the last and final update on this system...as it is expected to dissipate overland
within 24 hours.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: TD 22W is expected to cross Northern Vietnam tonight

and dissipate over Laos and Cambodia area tomorrow afternoon.

+ EFFECTS: 22W's dissipating circulation will continue to dump moderate

to heavy rains across Northern Vietnam, Laos and parts of Cambodia tonight

until tomorrow. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 200 mm is possi-

ble along its rain bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 300 mm near

the center of 22W. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain

alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mud-

slides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by

this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
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TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM HONG KONG TIME (09:00 GMT) WED 15 OCT 2008
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 18.5º N...LONGITUDE 106.0º E
DISTANCE 1: 280 KM (150 NM) SOUTH OF HANOI, VIETNAM
DISTANCE 2: 290 KM (157 NM) WSW OF DONGFANG, HAINAN ISLAND

MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 55 KM/HR (30 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 75 KM/HR (40 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COASTAL STORM SURGE HEIGHT: 0 FEET (0 METERS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1002 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: SW @ 05 KM/HR (03 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: NORTHERN VIETNAM
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): --- KM (--- NM)/N/A
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 10 FEET (3.0 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM MANILA TIME WED OCT 15
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 24 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: NONE

12, 24 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 16 OCTOBER: 18.1N 105.3E / 45-65 KPH / SW @ 09 KPH

2 PM (06 GMT) 16 OCTOBER: 17.7N 104.4E / 35-55 KPH / - @ -- KPH

REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 15 OCTOBER POSITION: 18.6N 106.2E.
^TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS
IN RESPONSE TO INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND LAND INTERACTION.
THIS WEAKENING HAS RESULTED IN A LOWERING OF THE STEERING LEVEL.
CLOSE EXAMINATION OF RECENTLY-OBTAINED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES
THAT THE SYSTEM HAS TURNED SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS,
NECESSITATING AN UPDATE TO THE PRIOR STORM TRACK AND A CONSEQUENT
SHIFT IN THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY...(more)

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RECENT WUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:

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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: NOAA Satellite Service (http://www.noaa.gov/)
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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
      signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TD 22W (UNNAMED)...go visit
our website @:

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> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

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