Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #006
Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION HIGOS [PABLO/21W/0817]
Issued: 12:00 AM MANILA TIME (16:00 GMT) SAT 04 OCTOBER 2008
Source: JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (JTWC) TC WARNING #018
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
Source: JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (JTWC) TC WARNING #018
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
_____________________________________________________________________________
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HIGOS (PABLO) DISSIPATING AS IT PASSES OVER THE
EASTERN PART OF HAINAN.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: HIGOS is expected to move into Western Guangdong,
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: HIGOS is expected to move into Western Guangdong,
China tomorrow morning. It shall then completely over main land China
tomorrow evening.
+ EFFECTS: HIGOS' dying circulation remains over Hainan Island. Scattered
+ EFFECTS: HIGOS' dying circulation remains over Hainan Island. Scattered
showers can be expected over the whole island as the system passes by.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
_____________________________________________________________________________
TIME/DATE: 11:00 PM HONG KONG TIME (15:00 GMT) FRI 03 OCT 2008
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 19.6º N...LONGITUDE 110.8º E
DISTANCE 1: 55 KM (30 NM) NE OF QIONGHAI, HAINAN ISLAND
DISTANCE 2: 75 KM (40 NM) SE OF HAIKOU, HAINAN ISLAND
DISTANCE 3: 195 KM (105 NM) SSE OF ZHANJIANG, CHINA
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 19.6º N...LONGITUDE 110.8º E
DISTANCE 1: 55 KM (30 NM) NE OF QIONGHAI, HAINAN ISLAND
DISTANCE 2: 75 KM (40 NM) SE OF HAIKOU, HAINAN ISLAND
DISTANCE 3: 195 KM (105 NM) SSE OF ZHANJIANG, CHINA
DISTANCE 4: 465 KM (251 NM) SW OF HONG KONG, CHINA
MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 45 KM/HR (25 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 65 KM/HR (35 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COASTAL STORM SURGE HEIGHT: 0 FEET (0 METERS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1002 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NORTH @ 15 KM/HR (08 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: WESTERN GUANGDONG
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 390 KM (210 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 11 FEET (3.3 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 8 PM MANILA TIME FRI OCT 3
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 48 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: NONE
12, 24, 48 HR. FORECAST:
8 AM (00 GMT) 04 OCTOBER: 25.0N 110.3E / 45-65 KPH / N @ 09 KPH
MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 45 KM/HR (25 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 65 KM/HR (35 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COASTAL STORM SURGE HEIGHT: 0 FEET (0 METERS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1002 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NORTH @ 15 KM/HR (08 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: WESTERN GUANGDONG
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 390 KM (210 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 11 FEET (3.3 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 8 PM MANILA TIME FRI OCT 3
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 48 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: NONE
12, 24, 48 HR. FORECAST:
8 AM (00 GMT) 04 OCTOBER: 25.0N 110.3E / 45-65 KPH / N @ 09 KPH
8 PM (12 GMT) 04 OCTOBER: 21.5N 110.2E / 35-55 KPH / NNE @ 09 KPH
8 PM (12 GMT) 05 OCTOBER: 23.0N 111.5E / 35-55 KPH / --- @ -- KPH
REMARKS: 8 PM (12 GMT) 03 OCTOBER POSITION: 19.3N 110.9E.
^OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTY
AS IT TRACKED POLEWARD AT 08 KNOTS UNDER THE STEERING FLOW OF
THE LOW LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTH. RECENT ANIMATED
METSAT IMAGERY REVEALS A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC)
WHICH HAS BECOME PARTIALLY EXPOSED, AND APPEARS TO BE TRACKING NORTH-
NORTHWESTWARD AWAY FROM THE WANING CONVECTION WHICH IS BEING SHEARED
TO THE WEST OF THE SYSTEM. A 031030Z WINDSAT IMAGE CONFIRMS THESE
CHARACTERISTICS, AND SHOWS CURVED BANDING CONVERGING ON AN ILL-DEFINED
CENTER. THE MODEL TRACKERS REMAIN IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH DIFFERENCES
EXISTING IN THE TIMING OF THE RECURVATURE...(more)
>> HIGOS, meaning: A Chamorro word for "Fig." Name contributed by:
United States of America.
_____________________________________________________________________________
REMARKS: 8 PM (12 GMT) 03 OCTOBER POSITION: 19.3N 110.9E.
^OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTY
AS IT TRACKED POLEWARD AT 08 KNOTS UNDER THE STEERING FLOW OF
THE LOW LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTH. RECENT ANIMATED
METSAT IMAGERY REVEALS A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC)
WHICH HAS BECOME PARTIALLY EXPOSED, AND APPEARS TO BE TRACKING NORTH-
NORTHWESTWARD AWAY FROM THE WANING CONVECTION WHICH IS BEING SHEARED
TO THE WEST OF THE SYSTEM. A 031030Z WINDSAT IMAGE CONFIRMS THESE
CHARACTERISTICS, AND SHOWS CURVED BANDING CONVERGING ON AN ILL-DEFINED
CENTER. THE MODEL TRACKERS REMAIN IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH DIFFERENCES
EXISTING IN THE TIMING OF THE RECURVATURE...(more)
>> HIGOS, meaning: A Chamorro word for "Fig." Name contributed by:
United States of America.
____________
_____________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA Satellite Service (http://www.noaa.gov/ )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: NOAA Satellite Service (http://www.noaa.
____________
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TD HIGOS (PABLO)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest 6-hrly storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To get:
Send T2K TYPHOON to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TD HIGOS (PABLO)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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