Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #002
Name: TYPHOON USAGI [05W/0705]
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) MON 30 JULY 2007
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) TUE 31 JULY
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #008
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) TUE 31 JULY
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #008
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TYPHOON USAGI (05W) GAINED MORE STRENGTH AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTH-
WESTWARD...THREAT TO JAPAN CONTINUES.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: USAGI is expected to continue moving towards WESTWARD...THREAT TO JAPAN CONTINUES.
the NW for the next 2 to 3 days in the direction of Southwestern
Japan particularly Shikoku and Western Honshu. The advance 3 to
5-day long-range forecast shows USAGI turning more Northerly,
becoming a Category 4 system with winds of 230 km/hr before
making landfall over the western part of Shikoku Thursday eve-
ning, Aug 2. It shall then traverse Western Honshu Friday mor-
ning, Aug 3 - passing very close to Hiroshima, Japan. USAGI shall
be off the Northwestern coast of Honshu or over the Sea of Japan
Friday afternoon Aug 3.
+ EFFECTS: USAGI over-all circulation continues to expand
with its Eastern outermost bands still affecting the
Agrihan and other small islands of Northernmost Mariana.
+ MONSOON INTENSITY FORECAST: N/A.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 30 JULY
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 20.3º N...LONGITUDE 141.3º E
DISTANCE 1: 735 KM (397 NM) NW OF SAIPAN
DISTANCE 2: 500 KM (270 NM) SOUTH OF IWO TO, JAPAN
DISTANCE 3: 2,020 KM (1,090 NM) EAST OF BASCO, BATANES
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 140 KM/HR (75 KTS)PEAK WIND GUSTS: 165 KM/HR (90 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY TWO (2)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 967 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 17 KM/HR (09 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTHERN JAPAN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 650 KM (350 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 22 FEET (6.7 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 3 PM JST MON JULY 30
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 31 JULY: 21.4N 139.9E / 165-205 KPH / NW @ 20 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 31 JULY: 23.1N 138.3E / 185-230 KPH / NW @ 20 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 01 AUGUST: 26.9N 134.9E / 220-270 KPH / NNW @ 24 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 30 JULY POSITION: 20.0N 141.8E.
^TYPHOON (TY) 05W (USAGI) HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY AT A
CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND DEVELOPED
TIGHTLY CURVED BANDING DURING THAT PERIOD. TY USAGI HAS
TRACKED ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE STEERING
RIDGE. A MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGE DEPICTED A DEVELOPING
EYE. A LONGWAVE TROUGH HAS CONTINUED TO DIG IN OVER JAPAN,
WHICH HAS CREATED A FAVORABLE OUTFLOW PATTERN, AIDING IN
THE INTENSIFICATION OF THE STORM. THIS TROUGH HAS ALSO
INFLUENCED A MORE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOVEMENT OVER THE
PAST 06 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM HAS TRACKED TOWARD A WEAK-
NESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE...(more info)
>> USAGI {pronounced: usa-gi}, meaning: Lepus (rabbit).
Name contributed by: Japan.
____________
____________
RECENT TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TY USAGI (05W)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TY USAGI (05W)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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