Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #001
Name: TYPHOON USAGI [05W/0705]
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) MON 30 JULY 2007
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) MON 30 JULY
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #006
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) MON 30 JULY
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #006
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THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NORTH OF THE MARIANAS WHICH DEVELOPED
INTO A TROPICAL STORM, HAS BECOME THE 4TH TYPHOON OF 2007 NAMED
USAGI (05W)...THREATENS SOUTHERN JAPAN.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: USAGI is expected to turn towards the WNW INTO A TROPICAL STORM, HAS BECOME THE 4TH TYPHOON OF 2007 NAMED
USAGI (05W)...THREATENS SOUTHERN JAPAN.
to NW'ly within 24 to 48 hours on a path towards Southern Japan.
The advance 3 to 5-day long-range forecast shows USAGI turning
more to the NNW to Northerly and becoming a Category 4 system
with winds of 230 km/hr. The core is forecast to make landfall
over the eastern part of Shikoku and traversing Honshu - passing
very close to Kyoto, Japan early Friday mornning, Aug 4. USAGI
shall be off the Northern coast of Honshu or over the Sea of
Japan early Saturday morning, Aug 5.
+ EFFECTS: USAGI over-all circulation continues to expand with
its Western outer bands still affecting the Agrihan and other
small islands of Northernmost Mariana.
+ MONSOON INTENSITY FORECAST: N/A.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 30 JULY
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 18.9º N...LONGITUDE 142.6º E
DISTANCE 1: 520 KM (280 NM) NW OF SAIPAN
DISTANCE 2: 670 KM (360 NM) SSE OF IWO TO, JAPAN
DISTANCE 3: 2,210 KM (1,195 NM) ENE OF APARRI, CAGAYAN
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 120 KM/HR (65 KTS)PEAK WIND GUSTS: 150 KM/HR (80 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY TWO (2)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 974 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WEST @ 19 KM/HR (10 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTHERN JAPAN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 610 KM (330 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 20 FEET (6.0 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 3 AM JST MON JULY 30
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 30 JULY: 19.6N 141.2E / 140-165 KPH / NW @ 20 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 31 JULY: 21.1N 139.6E / 165-205 KPH / NW @ 20 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 01 AUGUST: 24.9N 136.7E / 215-260 KPH / NNW @ 24 KPH
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 30 JULY POSITION: 18.7N 143.1E.
^SYSTEM WAS UPGRADED TO TY STATUS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS AND EVIDENCE OF A DEVELOPING EYE ON
THE MOST RECENT TRMM MICROWAVE IMAGE...(more info)
____________
____________
RECENT TRACKING CHART:
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TY USAGI (05W)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TY USAGI (05W)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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