Thursday, July 05, 2007

Tropical Storm 03W (UNNAMED) - Update #01


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #001 
Name: TROPICAL STORM 03W [UNNAMED] 
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) THU 05 JULY 2007
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) THU 05 JULY
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #003
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL STORM 03W (UNNAMED) JUST CROSSED THE
ISLAND OF HAINAN...NOW OFF THE WESTERN COAST, ENTERING THE
GULF OF TONKIN
.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: 03W is expected to turn NW'ly & intensify
slightly over the warm waters of the Gulf of Tonkin within 06
hours. It shall weaken later tonight as it makes its 2nd land-
fall along the Vietnam-China border approx 205 km. ENE of Hanoi,
Vietnam. The 24 to 36-hr. Short-Range Forecast shows the system
moving further inland into the rugged terrain of Western China,
dissipating overland


+ EFFECTS: 03W's cloud circulation continues to cover the whole
island of Hainan and the Gulf of Tonkin, bringing gale-force
winds and widespread rains across the area. Flooding can be
expected along the low-lying areas of Hainan as moderate to
heavy rains can be expected overnight until tomorrow
.

+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: The weak Tropical Disturbance (90W/
LPA/1008 MB)
over the Philippine Sea is now approaching the
eastern coast of Samar. It was located about 165 km ESE of
Borongan, Eastern Samar or 200 km East of Tacloban City,
Leyte (11.0N 126.8E)...with wind speeds of 30 km/hr. This
disturbance is no longer expected to strengthen into a Tro-
pical Depression due to its close proximity of islands of
Samar & Leyte.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 05 JULY
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 19.5º N...LONGITUDE 108.9º E
DISTANCE 1: 160 KM (85 NM) NNW OF SANYA, HAINAN IS.
DISTANCE 2: 50 KM (27 NM) NE OF DONGFANG, HAINAN IS.
DISTANCE 3: 365 KM (195 NM) ESE OF HANOI, VIETNAM
DISTANCE 4: 630 KM (340 NM) WSW OF HONG KONG, CHINA
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 65 KM/HR (35 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 85 KM/HR (45 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 997 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 11 KM/HR (06 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: GULF OF TONKIN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 300 KM (160 NM)/SMALL
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 12 FEET (3.6 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM HKT THU JULY 05
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 36 HRS LEAD
  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12 & 24 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 05 JULY: 20.3N 108.3E / 75-95 KPH / NNW @ 13 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 06 JULY: 21.5N 107.7E / 65-85 KPH / NW @ 13 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 05 JULY POSITION: 19.2N 109.1E.
^RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS CONSOLIDATED WITH CONVECTION
NOW FLARING OVER THE LLCC. THE PRIMARY INHIBITOR TO INTENSI-
FICATION OVER THE PAST TWELVE HOURS HAS BEEN PROXIMITY TO
(AND MOST RECENTLY LANDFALL ON) HAINAN ISLAND..
.(more info)

_______________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________


RECENT TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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For the complete details on TS 03W (UNNAMED)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

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